Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
HKEX:9633
Intrinsic Value
Nongfu Spring Co. Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and sale of packaged drinking water and beverages. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
stock under the Base Case scenario is
36.91
HKD.
Compared to the current market price of 42.55 HKD,
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
is
Overvalued by 13%.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's market price has consistently been higher than its intrinsic value.This persistent overvaluation suggests the market may be overly optimistic about
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd or that its price is influenced by factors unrelated to fundamentals.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's market capitalization is 478.5B HKD.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd stock price is 42.55 HKD.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd stock (36.91 HKD) is 13% less than its price (42.55 HKD).
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd stock (27.7 HKD) is 35% less than its price (42.55 HKD). Open DCF Valuation
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd stock price (42.55 HKD) is 8% less than its Relative Value (46.11 HKD). Open Relative Valuation
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd has upside potential of 21% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's Revenue has grown by an exceptional 28% over the past 12 months.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's short-term assets (28B CNY) exceed its short-term liabilties (20B CNY).
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 16% per year over the next 3 years.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from 34% to 46%.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from 34% to 53%.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 23% per year for the last 3 years.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is very high and is equal to 46%.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very high and is equal to 53%.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's long-term assets (49B CNY) exceed its long-term liabilties (21B CNY).
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd has very high three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 41%. The company is very efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd has very high three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 43%. The company is very efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.11.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd has negative Net Debt. This means that the company has more cash and short-term investments (24B CNY) than debt (3B CNY).
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's Altman Z-Score is very high and is equal to 17.22.
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd earns more than enough operating income (16B CNY) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (83m CNY).
Valuation Backtest
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
| Current Assets | 28.5B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 24.1B |
| Receivables | 547m |
| Other Current Assets | 3.8B |
| Non-Current Assets | 20.7B |
| Long-Term Investments | 1.5B |
| PP&E | 18.1B |
| Intangibles | 74.2m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 964.2m |
| Current Liabilities | 19.9B |
| Accounts Payable | 1.8B |
| Short-Term Debt | 3.1B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 15B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 689.7m |
| Long-Term Debt | 31.3m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 658.4m |
Earnings Waterfall
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
|
Revenue
|
42.7B
CNY
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-17.3B
CNY
|
|
Gross Profit
|
25.4B
CNY
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-9.6B
CNY
|
|
Operating Income
|
15.8B
CNY
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-3.7B
CNY
|
|
Net Income
|
12.1B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
What is Free Cash Flow?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's profitability score is 85/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's profitability score is 85/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's solvency score is 89/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd's solvency score is 89/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
is 51.38 HKD
with a low forecast of 36.87 HKD and a high forecast of 63.69 HKD.
Shareholder Return
Price
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 18.12% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 56.28% |
| Max Drawdown | -49% |
| Market Capitalization | 481.3B HKD |
| Shares Outstanding | 11 246 466 400 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Nongfu Spring Co. Ltd. engages in the manufacturing and sale of packaged drinking water and beverages. The company is headquartered in Hangzhou, Zhejiang. The company went IPO on 2020-09-08. The firm mainly conducts business through five departments. The Water Products segment engages in the manufacture and sale of natural packaged drinking water. The Functional Drinks Products segment engages in the manufacture and sale of functional beverages. The Ready-to-Drink Tea Products segment engages in the manufacture and sale of ready-to -drink tea beverages. The juice beverage products segment engages in the manufacture and sale of juice beverage products. The Other Products segment engages in the manufacture and sale of agricultural products and other beverages. The firm mainly conducts its businesses in the domestic market.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
stock under the Base Case scenario is
36.91
HKD.
Compared to the current market price of 42.55 HKD,
Nongfu Spring Co Ltd
is
Overvalued by 13%.
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