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Q2-2025 Earnings Call
AI Summary
Earnings Call on May 7, 2025
EA Business Exit: Kulicke & Soffa is discontinuing its Electronics Assembly (EA) equipment business, incurring $86.6 million in related charges this quarter and expecting less than $15 million more through the first half of fiscal 2026.
Q2 Results: Revenue was $162 million with gross margin of 24.9%, impacted by EA-related charges. Operating expenses were $125.1 million, including restructuring and impairment costs.
Q3 Outlook: Revenue guidance for Q3 is $145 million, plus or minus $10 million, with gross margin expected to rebound to 46.5%. Non-GAAP operating expenses are forecast at $68 million.
Regional Trends: Significant weakness seen in Southeast Asia due to auto/industrial tariff uncertainty, while utilization and orders are improving in China and Taiwan.
Capacity Utilization: Utilization rates are over 80% in China and near 80% in Taiwan, which would normally trigger new orders, but customers are cautious due to global trade and tariff uncertainties.
Product Momentum: The company is prioritizing growth in advanced dispense, vertical wire, power semiconductors, and thermal compression, and expects new power and memory products to drive revenue in 2026.
TCB & Memory: TCB (Thermal Compression Bonding) revenue is targeted at $70 million in 2025 and $100 million or more in 2026, with expansion into memory (especially HBM4) expected to begin production ramp in the first half of 2026.
Kulicke & Soffa is winding down its Electronics Assembly (EA) equipment business, which generated $25–30 million in annual revenue but was no longer seen as aligned with future technology trends. The move triggered $86.6 million in charges this quarter, mainly for inventory write-down, supply chain, asset impairment, and restructuring. The company expects less than $15 million in residual shutdown expenses through the first half of fiscal 2026.
The company saw notable weakness in Southeast Asia, mainly due to uncertainties around tariffs impacting the auto and industrial sectors. In contrast, China and Taiwan are experiencing increased utilization rates and order activity, though the usual capacity additions are delayed as customers hesitate in light of global trade dynamics. The bifurcation is driven by different sector exposures and tariff impacts.
Utilization rates have risen above 80% in China and are near 80% in Taiwan, levels that would typically lead to additional capacity purchases. However, despite the high utilization, customers are holding off on new orders because of caution surrounding possible tariff and trade policy changes. Management expects that once there is more clarity on tariffs, pent-up demand may be released.
Kulicke & Soffa is focusing on advanced dispense, vertical wire technology, power semiconductor solutions, and thermal compression bonding. The company highlighted new product launches in the power semiconductor space and increasing momentum in vertical wire for both memory and logic. These areas are expected to fuel growth, with significant contributions forecast for 2026.
The company has made progress in thermal compression bonding (TCB), especially for logic, and is pushing into the memory space, specifically targeting high-bandwidth memory (HBM4) and DDR. TCB revenue is expected to reach $70 million in 2025 and at least $100 million in 2026, with a production ramp in memory anticipated in the first half of 2026. The new vertical wire solution is also drawing strong interest from major memory customers.
Management repeatedly cited uncertainty caused by tariffs and global trade policy changes as the primary factor driving customer hesitancy and weakness in Southeast Asia. Although these factors have not directly impacted the company's manufacturing costs or ability to ship to China, they have led to indirect impacts as customers are cautious with capital expenditures.
The company completed its prior share repurchase program and initiated a new $300 million authorization. In Q2, over 500,000 shares were repurchased for $21.3 million. Despite near-term market challenges, management believes the business is optimized for through-cycle performance and is positioned for growth once macro conditions improve.
Greetings, and welcome to the Kulicke & Soffa's 2025 Second Quarter Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Joseph Elgindy, Senior Director, Investor Relations. Thank you, sir. You may begin.
Thank you. Welcome, everyone to Kulicke & Soffa's Fiscal Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call. Susan Chen, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Lester Wong, Chief Financial Officer, are also joining on today's call. Non-GAAP financial measures referenced today should be considered in addition to, not as a substitute for or in isolation from our GAAP financial information. GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation tables are included within our latest earnings release and earnings presentation. Both are available at investor.kns.com along with prepared remarks for today's call.
In addition to historical statements, today's remarks will contain statements relating to future events and our future results. These statements are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause our actual results and financial condition to differ materially from the statements made today.
For a complete discussion of the risks associated with Kulicke & Soffa that could affect our future results and financial condition, please refer to our recent and upcoming SEC filings, specifically our latest Form 10-K as well as the 8-K filed last night. With that said, I would now like to turn the call over to Fusen the business overview. Please go ahead, Fusen.
Good morning, everyone. Last month, we announced the intent to discontinue the electronics assembly or equipment business subject to local regulatory approval. We acquired this business in 2015 and it is currently a component within the all other categories. We intend to fully support and serve our customers with equipment purchase requirements over the coming quarters. .
We will also continue to retain EA equipment technology as well as the related aftermarket parts and service business to support the existing installed base and our customers' operational needs. We believe this decision is not difficult, was critically essential to ensure our underlying business are competitive and are properly aligned with beneficial long-term technology trend.
Looking ahead, we intend to prioritize development and further leverage our dominate wage and thermal combustion position, where we have demonstrated clear technology leadership to address fundamental assembly transition within high-volume, leading-edge and the power semiconductor market. Additionally, our APS business, which provide revenue consistency as well as our emerging advanced dispense portfolio, extend our technology leadership and provide additional growth paths throughout this evolving core market opportunities.
This restructuring effort is also intended to enhance our long-term financial with anticipated improvement in gross margin and through cycle improvement. At Amega label, the ongoing has increased level of uncertainty through our global market and supply chain. This level of mega industry uncertainty has created and a more defensive capacity plan approach throughout our submarket. Sequentially, this hesitation was most evident in the Southeast Asia automotive and industrial market, which had the effect of limiting the seasonal momentum previously anticipated for the June quarter.
Interestingly, over the same period, we saw utilization improvement in other Asia regions. While we are not immune from this near-term dynamics, semiconductor unit growth as well as the increased complexity of semiconductor packaging are expected to expand our self market. We remain confident in the industry's resilience and also remain confident that our global business, supply chain and the development paths are best optimized as we look ahead.
Over the near term, we intend to further strengthen our growth prospects with a focus on vertical wire, power semiconductor, advanced dispense and thermal compression, which I will discuss in more detail shortly. Given the order, the general semiconductor end market, supported by improving broadband iteration rate experienced a 38% sequential increase due to improved demand from low wage and TCB stemming from U.S. and China.
In view of the changes on in the EA equipment business, we decided it was appropriate to simplify our end market disclosure and consolidate LED within automotive and industrial starting in the current quarter as well as leading comparable period. This change is aligned with the external semiconductor marketing forecast where LED is generally subcomponent of the industry market.
With that said, automotive and industrial was sequentially down in the March quarter over the December quarter, largely due to the final project related LED sales, which were recognized in the December quarters. Automotive and Industrial, excluding LED, was down approximately 7% sequentially but was still up nearly 14% from the same period of last year due to ongoing demand improvement of our [indiscernible] and policy solutions.
Within memory, [indiscernible] system demand was the primary driver for our sequential reduction in the March quarter. Today, our current memory exposure is centered on them, but we remain focused to diversify into dynamic memory through the fundamental advanced packaging transition effecting HBM for leading-edge memory, and also driving momentum for our emerging vertical wire solution for high-volume memory.
Finally, within APS, we continue to enjoy a relatively stable base of parts, service and support revenue through this dynamic market environment. While there may be some fluctuation over the coming months, we anticipate overall installed base and the utilization trend will continue to improve, supporting a relatively stable level of ATS revenue. At this point, we anticipate the majority of our business has gone through a long-term period of capacity digestion and remain very well positioned for the next set of both wage advanced expense and similar completion opportunities.
Within [indiscernible], our ongoing tests of customer engagement as well as the new product development remains on track with our VerticalWire solution, which continue to gain momentum. Last month, we officially announced the launch of our latest wafer label packaging solution, AT premium, Mans, which is especially optimized for [indiscernible] opportunity. This high potential new memory packaging approach is driving significant interest with the leading customers, some both which are accelerating their transition and make initial new stack DRAM production by 2026.
Additionally, this vertical wire capability is also comparable with no memory fit-out devices, which support high-volume general semiconductor applications. As explained on prior calls, similar to leading edge application, cost-sensitive wirebond applications are also aggressively demanding new transistor bank packaging solution and our vertical wire technology is very well positioned to effectively address both high-volume logic and memory transition.
In addition to VerticalWire, the taste of arable bonding development initiatives remain on track, we continue to present 4 new solutions to this high volume market over the coming quarters.
Next, [indiscernible] the power semiconductor opportunity continue to demand higher current, higher reliability and higher efficiency devices. A few years ago, this power semiconductor application were some of the most cost-sensitive in the competitive semiconductor assembly market. The growth in electric vehicle and the sustainable energy has caused these basic power control application to become increasingly complex, requiring better materials, more robust interconnect and more advanced equipment.
In April, we proudly announced the launch of our newest [indiscernible] enabled in welding system for power semiconductor application. This new system, which leverages our leading external platform extends our market reach while intention alignment, which are growing and evolving global demand for electric vehicle and sustainable energy. The use of [indiscernible] within this market is rapidly growing, which support the inductance and better flexibility as they improve power monitoring and the sensing to support higher efficiency applications.
Additionally, within this emerging high-performance power module market, there is an increase in new semiconductor materials, such as silicon carbide, but also an increase in the use of copper materials and interconnect. Covering the connect are a core competency for K&S in which we intend to fully leverage as this long-term market evolution continues.
Next, within the Advanced Expense business, we continue to build out our portfolio of solution as well as our customer-facing engagement. We continue to grow our customer space and recently received an order from a high-volume U.S.-based integrated device manufacturers. Additionally, our recently qualified solid-state battery opportunity has been performing well, and we anticipate a potential production ramp to begin over the coming quarters.
Over the coming years, we are also focus to expand our advanced expense market presence. This effort will combine our unique dispense capability with our existing market-leading core system technology. Turning to Thermal Compression. Our advanced solutions team continued to actively support logic and memory customers in production and development. We remain well positioned and are continuing to take share in advanced larger applications as the market transitions to next-generation chip-on-wafer and also wafer on substrate applications.
Larger and more complex mateship processor for data center and AI applications are expected to drive the next wave of leading-edge customer capacity. We have worked very closely with many customers over the recent years and remain well positioned for leading edge but also higher volume opportunities as mobility devices begin transitioning to [indiscernible] and heterogeneous applications.
Finally, for TCB memory, we continue to anticipate our unique software solution, which provides better copper, [indiscernible] capability will be a key competitor for future HBM opportunities. Basing on traction from the prior quarters, we expect to ship additional to a leading memory customers toward the end of the fiscal year. As a reminder, our innovation in thermal completion and the vertical wire have unlocked new market access to logic and memory opportunity, which our company was previously excluded from.
Today, as we will take the next step to transition single-die semiconductor package to multi-die and hydrogen citation for that, thermal compression is rapidly become the incumbent technology for high-performance applications. While our VerticalWire solution are increasingly we are positioned to address a wide portion of the high volume market over the long term. As a reminder, we remain the only [indiscernible] supplier who has been qualified for higher volume manufacturing with some of the worst most advanced semiconductor company, and we are nearly fully booked for fiscal 2025.
More broadly, we have nearly 120 system installed base across 10 different highly engaged customers. This helped to demonstrate our true record for winning as this installed base capture a wider portion of the market that any of our competitors have been able to address.
In closing, we have worked hard to ensure our business is best aligned with critical technology change, such as VerticalWire in memory, TCB in leading edge and our increasingly capable assembly solution in Power Semiconductor. Additionally, our growing advanced expense portfolio of solutions increased our potential across all of these long-term technology transitions.
While recent core market utilization rates are promising, we remain unprecedented state of make uncertainty, although we remain confident in our technology and the market positions and are prepared to overcome near-term challenges. At this point, our cost structures, existing product portfolio and the through-cycle performance are optimized, and we will continue to enable fundamental technology change throughout our self-market.
As we have done for 7 decades, we will continue to closely support our customers and emerge a stronger, more profitable and more growth-centric company. I will now turn the call over to Lester to cover the financial overview. Lester?
Thank you, Fusen. My remarks today will refer to GAAP results unless noted. I would first like to provide some additional details regarding our intent to discontinue the EA equipment business. As Fusen explained, this was a difficult but necessary step to ensure our overall business remain competitive, aligned with long-term technology trends and it is optimized for through cycle performance.
We remain closely engaged with all key stakeholders as we plan for this intended wind down. We are currently seeking feedback regarding customers' orders and remain in close discussions with local stakeholders. During the March quarter, we accounted for the majority of wind-down related expenses, which represented total EA-related charges of $86.6 million. These charges were primarily related to inventory write-down, supply chain, asset impairment and restructuring-related charges.
Dependent on local stakeholder feedback and in alignment with our March 31 disclosure, we anticipate residual non-GAAP expenses to be below $15 million and be accrued for in the first fiscal half of 2026.
Turning to the March quarter financial results. We booked revenue of $162 million and gross margins of 24.9%, which included EA-related inventory and supply chain charges of $38.6 million. Total operating expenses came in at $125.1 million, which included restructuring charges of $8.8 million and impairment charges of $39.8 million. Excluding these charges, operating expenses would have been $76.5 million.
Tax expense came in at $5.4 million related to our mix of profit and loss across entities during the quarter. We continue to anticipate our effective tax rate will remain above 20% over the coming year. We completed our previous and also initiated our latest repurchase program with a $300 million authorization during our first fiscal quarter of 2025.
During the second fiscal quarter, we repurchased over 500,000 shares for $21.3 million. While we do not anticipate current tariff announcements to have a direct impact on our ability to manufacture and sell our products and services to our global base of customers, unique geopolitical and trade dynamics have created near-term order hesitation in certain capital equipment markets.
Looking into the June quarter, sequential order activity decreased in Southeast Asia, while order activity increased in China and Taiwan, which was aligned with our utilization data. We have also begun to see global customers begin reallocating equipment across manufacturing sites, which highlights our industry's ability to flex around trade dynamics.
With that said, we anticipate semiconductor unit growth will continue to improve through fiscal 2025. While some customers may delay capital expenditures until critically necessary, we expect continued capacity digestion supported by improving utilization rates with ball and wedge bonder to continue over the near term.
Looking into the June quarter, we announced a revenue outlook of $145 million, plus or minus $10 million, with gross margins of 46.5%. We anticipate non-GAAP operating expenses to be $68 million plus or minus 2%, a GAAP EPS loss of $0.09 and a non-GAAP EPS gain of $0.05 per share. Although the near-term market dynamics are challenging, we continue to anticipate an eventual return to incremental capacity growth in core ball and wedge bonding markets and continue to see ongoing capacity digestion and field utilization improvements.
Incremental opportunities in advanced dispense and thermal compression are in addition to this anticipated improvement. As we remain focused on these strategic opportunities we are well prepared to navigate near-term macro level uncertainty. This concludes our prepared comments. Operator, please open the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions]
Our first question comes from Krish Sankar with TD Cowen.
I have 3 questions. First one, Fusen. Just kind of curious, can you give some color on June, what are the dynamics? Is it predominantly general semi and auto industrial, that's going to be down quite a bit? And how to think about it beyond June. I understand a lot of moving parts, but any color you can give beyond June will also be helpful?
Okay. So Kris, we have a Q3 slowdown. And this slowdown is the most pronounced and evidenced in our Southeast Asia region. I'll give you an example. The Q3 Southeast Asia slowed down accounted for the majority of our total Q2 to Q3 weakness to give you a number. Our Q2 revenue is [ 162 ] and the Q3 guidance is [ 145 ]. The difference of these 2 number majority actual weakness from the Southeast Asia. .
So therefore, this is really our belief this near-term slowdown was due to the concern regarding the potential and unknown tariff impact for auto and industrial industry from our customers. So I think in the script, we mentioned while we see the weaker outlook for the Southeast Asia, in the meantime, we also see the utilization rate improve in Taiwan, China and other regions. And with the utilization rate actually is it all close to triggering broader capacity addition.
So we see positive, but we also have actually very big actually slowdown in Southeast Asia. We believe it's auto industry related and it's because of unknown tariff impact, people hesitate to build a capacity just for the industry. So yes, the number is a little bit bigger. And the reason, I think, is because of we have a bigger, larger presence, auto exposure. And also, our manufacturing concept is flexible manufacturing cycle. And we're working with a customer in [indiscernible] witha shorter cycle time. So I think these 2 act together. I hope I explained your questions. .
It. That's very helpful, Fusen. Just to follow up on just any view beyond June quarter? Or is it too hard to say today.
Yes. So June quarter, really our belief the Q4 June quarter is Q3, like Q4. We believe this will be better if the feedback from customers and also some of the weakness in Q3 will be revenued in Q4. And we -- hopefully, this can be a short-term phenomenon. And it's also supported by utilization rate. Actually, in some regions, actually already the number can trigger capacity buy. So we think Q4 will be better, but how much better actually is also depend on macro and some clarity with the tariff. If we have better clarity, I think we should have sequentially up for Q3.
Got it. And then just to follow up on TCB. Your TCB exposure is predominantly logic, hardly anything in memory. Can you give a color on how it's progressing? I also noticed that your European competitor last week announced 5 new orders for TCB chip to wafer. So I'm kind of curious lay of the land. And it if you can talk about TCB, your TCB exposure today and probably see revolving in memory, if you have a shot?
Okay, Kris. So practically, our first revenue for the TCB was [ 2020 ] effect, right? So although we don't want to say it's a quite large but I think we made a good progress with a high growth rate. And we actually focus with the logic first. And we actually are confident at this moment we can grow in both IDM and also OSAT also in the foundry side for logic.
And this year, we put a lot of effort in the memory. We expect to ship additional system by end of the month -- end of the year. And we won't say this easy, but I think we're confident on our technology, and I hope we can have some results in 2026. So I think to answer your question, sequentially, we got to focus in actually some segments. And from now, I think it's a good time for us to focus on [indiscernible].
Our next question comes from Tom Diffely with D.A. Davidson.
I was curious, what was the revenue run rate of the EA business that you're exiting? Or any kind of metrics around the size and profitability would be very helpful?
Tom, it's Lester. So based on the recent past, the EA revenue was about $25 million to $30 million a year. Gross profit is on $7 million to $11 million, and the operating expense is about $20 million to $25 million.
Great. It's very helpful. And Lester, did you say that there would be a $15 million per quarter charge through the first half of '26?
No, no, no. Tom, what we said is also consistent with the disclosure on March 31. I said that after this -- all the write-down this quarter, the $86 million. We think it will be less than $15 million for the rest of the shutdown, and that will probably be a little bit in the next 2 quarters and then more in the first half of FY '26. Subject to our discussions with local stakeholders, we believe that the business other than to support existing customers and warranty and service should be done by the first half of FY '26.
Great. And then maybe just a quick question on the power chip side. What are the dynamics you're seeing on the power front?
Well, I think the power is going to grow rapidly in terms of volume. And there was a lot of European company actually invest on it. But recently, I think China actually also gained some market shares. So we are very happy. We still have a very high market shares in PowerSemi and this transition to the PowerSemi to be more effective with higher power, more cost effective. So we have 2 actually new products. One is [indiscernible]. I actually discuss in my script. And this is for [indiscernible]. The other one, actually, we call it [indiscernible]. So we actually announced these 2 new products. We believe it's going to be an important product start to contribute revenue for us in 2026.
Our next question comes from Charles Schwab with Needham & Co.
Maybe Fusen, the first question is about the market dynamics. I wonder if you can further unpack a little bit more. China order activity is up. Southeast Asia is down. That's understandable. But it's a little bit interesting to hear that the Taiwan is also up a little bit. In terms of ordering activity, you would assume Taiwan is subject to the same tariff dynamics as Southeast Asia. Why is there a little bit of bifurcation between those 2 regions? Is it Southeast Asia more impact on auto industrial side, Taiwan more on the general semi side? Or what's the reason, yes?
Okay. So let me explain Southeast Asia first. Southeast Asia, we believe actually [indiscernible] still not high enough. I mentioned about Taiwan and China actually is a utilization rate is actually high and potentially can trigger capacity buy. But actually, we didn't see that yet, maybe it's because of the holdback. People for the unknown period of time, they can long actually utilization rate higher than even slightly higher than 80, right?
So -- but the sort issue, I think utilization rate is below that. And as you know, the tariff impact to auto is a big deal. And Southeast Asia actually have a lot of actually European investment and also OSAT and create a big base for auto capacity. So -- and the Southeast -- the slowdown actually account for almost a majority those slow down sequentially from Q2 to Q3. I hope I answered your questions.
Yes, that's very, very, very interesting color. Fusen, maybe another question about fluxes TCB. I think in your prepared remarks, there are some new languages there. you are saying fluxes TCB at least for fiscal '25, it's fully booked. I wonder if you can provide some color what that means because I don't think your fluxless PCB revenue forecast was that aggressive. It was -- I believe you were guiding to like 40% to 50% year-on-year growth. When you say to full book, do you mean it's -- even it's actually a little bit supply constrained at this point? Or...
Actually, I think it's really a limit in our capacity. We have some capacity in U.S. And right now, we move to in Asia, and we intend to actually increase capacity. So I probably can say this a little bit better. I think right now, we are capacity constrained right now. And we actually will create more capacity is undergoing.
So is the 40% to 50% year-on-year growth, you think you can still reach that target for -- yes?
So for example, I think we actually -- right now, to give you an example, maybe a capacity, we -- actually -- we just start in 2020, right? 2020, we actually have a capacity target to reach about 60 systems per year, right? So this is the incremental capacity we are undergoing to increase.
Got it. Maybe last one. Any update on the leading foundry. I believe you should do have system already. Any expectation repeat orders and the timing of it?
Okay. So our system actually is a long in high-volume production and also multiple systems and also new customer qualification. This year, our TCB only, we expect about $70 million. Next year, we actually expect probably $100 million or above $100 million. So the difference of $26 million and $25 million, part of that actually is growth of foundry, right? But as we quantify more customers and more devices, I think we will have additional upside on top of that. .
[Operator Instructions]
Our next question comes from Craig Ellis with B. Riley Securities.
I wanted to start going back to some of the utilization increases you're seeing in China and Taiwan and just try to understand them in a little bit more detail. We've seen pretty visible signs that certain supply chains, PCs since February, March have been tracking well above seasonal. Smartphone seem to be doing that early in 2Q. So the question is if that is happening, and it seems like it's happening on build-aheads, given tariff impacts, is there potential that that related demand in the second half of the fiscal fourth quarter or in the fiscal first quarter would be below seasonal because we've already had the utilization benefit early in the year as companies try to best operationalize to mitigate tariff impacts?
Craig, it's Lester. No, we don't think so. I mean utilization rate, you're right, as Fusen said, is quite high in China and Taiwan and also in general semi. But what I think as we indicated on the call is in a normal cycle at these utilization rates, people should start doing capacity buys. But we're not really seeing that.
And I think -- the reason for that is, again, there's a lot of cautiousness among our customers. They want to see how this tariff thing kind of plays out. So we don't think that there's -- that it's going to -- the utilization rate is going to start falling. We think it's already remaining at this level. And I think without the tariff uncertainty, we believe that China, Taiwan, North America and Europe, I think the revenues will be much higher in Q3, and that's why originally, we believe that the second half of the year historically has always been better than the first half.
I think this is a really been affected by the global trade dynamics as well as the tariffs. I think as we get more clarity on the tariffs, I think then people will start making purchases. I think right now, people are doing it just if it's critical necessity. So I think also, as Fusen said in the earlier reply, people are running at a much higher utilization than they normally would. So we don't think actually it will fall off in Q4 and Q1.
And then the second question is more longer term. So interesting ambition to move into the DRAM HBM market and DDR mark in fiscal '26. The question is, as we think about the memory business now, which is very centric, how material could DRAM be and fiscal '26 and '27 relative to the business that you currently have? And how broad would you expect your exposure to be across the memory supplier base?
So I think on NAND, we have very high market shares. HBM, we actually put a lot of effort. And in the meantime, there's also many, many competitors over there. So we will see how we will do. But I think we work closely actually with one, but also with others. But one actually is a focus. So in terms of DRAM, we actually see this wire is going to be very important for the industry in both the logic and memory. The first customer, we see it's going to go to production this for respective ramp is going to be in the first half of 2026, right?
So -- and not only -- almost every memory customer is working with us and including IBM. So next year will be a transition year. And we probably can give you more update about the order, maybe years ago to production for the first half and we will see the order, maybe our fiscal 2026, maybe Q1 or Q2. So we believe the VerticalWire will take off and there will be many customers going to work on this for the first product.
First product is going to be DDR, is going to have a capability to reduce the form factor above 30% and this is going to be on mobile. But this is only a first application, we believe VerticalWire is going to find a home for many other applications in the future.
That's a significant form factor reduction, Fusen.
Our next question comes from Dave Duley with Steelhead Securities.
Yes. Just a couple of clarifications. You talked about the utilization rates in Taiwan and China being elevated. Could you just give us what those percentages are at this point? And then also a bit of a housekeeping question. What is your IC unit volume assumption for calendar 2025 and 2026, if you have them?
Dave, utilization -- this is Lester. Utilization in China is over 80%. In fact, it's almost in the mid-80s. In Taiwan is just touching 80% or so. And semi revenue growth, we still expect about 10%, a little greater than 10%.
In calendar '25. .
Yes.
Okay. And then as far as the HBM opportunity goes, I think you've made it clear you're working with one specific customer here. And is it would -- is it fair to assume that HBM or HBM 4E is the cut in point? Or usually, it's with a new product -- maybe just explain to us what new product you think you'll get cut in at?
Well, right now, it's -- high volume is a 3E. So we expect will be our future generation. Yes, more specific, I think from HBM4.
So HBM4 would be the target point to try to incorporate yourself into the market, so to speak?
Yes, that's correct.
Okay. And final question from me is you've talked about, I guess, demand hesitation driven by trade policies and tariffs. But could you just talk about any impacts that you might have? I assume that tariffs -- that you can ship from Asian facilities into China, so there won't be a major tariff impact from doing that? And then maybe just talk about if there are any higher costs from input costs into your products from tariffs?
Yes. So Dave, you know we manufacture our capital equipment here in Singapore. So shipping it into China will not trigger any tariffs because the tariffs right now from China is aimed towards the United States on reciprocal basis, right? So we don't think there's any direct impact for us.
As we indicated, the impact is more on an indirect basis as our customers and their customers are right now a little bit uncertain about how all this is going to play out. So therefore, they are much more conservative in their supply chain, right? So that's I think what we've been talking about earlier. As far as cost is concerned, I think there will be -- again, this may not be a direct cost, but there's always going to be indirect costs. Tariffs are going to -- it costs everybody money, right? So I think it's across the board.
Okay. And one final clarification is you talked about the customer hesitation in Southeast Asia. And I guess you're kind of suggesting that, that's an industrial automotive in market driven. And then I think you even mentioned it was European customers. Is that the really way to think about it as European auto and industrial customers are the main customers or the food chain that is in hesitation, so to speak?
Well, Dave -- David, I don't think Fusen said it was just these people who are in hesitation, right? I think all our customers are in hesitation, including those in Taiwan and China, which is why at that high utilization rate, they're not making the orders that they normally would make. I think what Fusen is talking about Southeast Asia, in particular, is we see Southeast Asia actually drop the most sequentially from Q2 to Q3.
And part of that is because we have a large auto industrial client base in Southeast Asia and most of them are, you're right, IBM from Europe, and they are very -- so they are particularly, I guess, affected by concerns about the tariffs. So we didn't say it's only them that have concerns about the tariff. I think it goes across the board is that they particularly have been affected in Q3 when you compare it to Q2.
There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the floor back over to Joe Elgindy for closing comments.
Thank you, Maria, and thank you all for joining today's call. Over the coming quarter, we'll be presenting at several conferences and road shows. As always, please feel for you to follow up directly with any additional questions. This concludes today's call. Have a great day, everyone.