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Mosaic Co
NYSE:MOS

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Mosaic Co Logo
Mosaic Co
NYSE:MOS
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Price: 32.46 USD 1.41%
Updated: Mar 29, 2024

Intrinsic Value

The Mosaic Co. engages in the production and marketing of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one MOS stock under the Base Case scenario is 33.4 USD. Compared to the current market price of 32.46 USD, Mosaic Co is Undervalued by 3%.

Key Points:
MOS Intrinsic Value
Base Case
33.4 USD
Undervaluation 3%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Mosaic Co

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Fundamental Analysis

Mosaic Co. Strong Phosphate Market; Potash Cuts
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Mosaic Co. Strong Phosphate Market; Potash Cuts

Mosaic Co. ended 2023 with a revenue of $13.7 billion and an adjusted EPS of $3.57. Phosphate markets are vibrant, and the company anticipates sustained strength, whereas potash is seeing a recovery in demand. However, due to the potash sector's current economics, Mosaic is dialing back production at its Colonsay mine. Investments in 2023 amounted to $1.4 billion; the company also refinanced $900 million in debt and returned $1.1 billion to shareholders, bolstered by over $750 million in stock buybacks. For Q1 2024, estimated sales volumes are 2.0-2.2 million tonnes for potash and 1.6-1.8 million tonnes for phosphate, with mine prices for potash expected to be $225-$250 per tonne and $580-$605 per tonne for phosphate. Mosaic also plans to generate at least $150 million in annual cost savings starting from 2024, partly due to a new digital acceleration program.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Mosaic Co

Current Assets 4.7B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 348.8m
Receivables 1.5B
Other Current Assets 2.9B
Non-Current Assets 18.3B
Long-Term Investments 1.6B
PP&E 13.8B
Intangibles 1.1B
Other Non-Current Assets 1.7B
Current Liabilities 3.9B
Accounts Payable 1.6B
Accrued Liabilities 947.9m
Short-Term Debt 399.7m
Other Current Liabilities 959.3m
Non-Current Liabilities 6.9B
Long-Term Debt 3.2B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 3.6B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Mosaic Co

Revenue
13.7B USD
Cost of Revenue
-11.5B USD
Gross Profit
2.2B USD
Operating Expenses
-475.5m USD
Operating Income
1.7B USD
Other Expenses
-570.2m USD
Net Income
1.2B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Mosaic Co

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
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Table
What is Free Cash Flow?
Fundamental Scores

MOS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Mosaic Co's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive Gross Profit
53/100
Profitability
Score

Mosaic Co's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

MOS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Mosaic Co's solvency score is 51/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
High Interest Coverage
51/100
Solvency
Score

Mosaic Co's solvency score is 51/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

MOS Price Targets Summary
Mosaic Co

Wall Street analysts forecast MOS stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MOS is 38.58 USD with a low forecast of 31.31 USD and a high forecast of 52.5 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
31.31 USD
4% Downside
Average
Price Target
38.58 USD
19% Upside
Highest
Price Target
52.5 USD
62% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

MOS Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

MOS Price
Mosaic Co

1M 1M
+5%
6M 6M
-9%
1Y 1Y
-28%
3Y 3Y
+6%
5Y 5Y
+25%
10Y 10Y
-24%
Annual Price Range
32.46
52w Low
29.51
52w High
47.46
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 17.29%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 38.7%
Max Drawdown -75%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 10.5B USD
Shares Outstanding 321 688 992
Percentage of Shares Shorted 1.34%

MOS Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

MOS News

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Company Profile

Mosaic Co Logo
Mosaic Co

Country

United States of America

Industry

Chemicals

Market Cap

10.5B USD

Dividend Yield

2.62%

Description

The Mosaic Co. engages in the production and marketing of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The company is headquartered in Tampa, Florida and currently employs 12,525 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2004-10-25. Its segments include Phosphates, Potash and Mosaic Fertilizantes. The Phosphates business segment owns and operates mines and production facilities in Florida, which produces concentrated phosphate crop nutrients and phosphate-based animal feed ingredients and processing plants in Louisiana, which produces concentrated phosphate crop nutrients. The Potash business segment owns and operates potash mines and production facilities in Canada and the United States, which produces potash-based crop nutrients, animal feed ingredients and industrial products. The Mosaic Fertilizantes business segment includes five Brazilian phosphate rock mines, four phosphate chemical plants and a potash mine in Brazil. The company also includes its distribution business in South America, which consists of sales offices, crop nutrient blending and bagging facilities, port terminals and warehouses in Brazil and Paraguay.

Contact

FLORIDA
Tampa
101 E Kennedy Blvd Ste 2500
+18137754200.0
http://www.mosaicco.com/

IPO

2004-10-25

Employees

12 525

Officers

CEO, President & Director
Mr. Bruce M. Bodine Jr.
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. Clint C. Freeland
Senior VP & Chief Administrative Officer
Mr. Walter F. Precourt III
Senior Vice President of Digital Strategy
Ms. Corrine D. Ricard
VP, Controller, Chief Accounting Officer & Principal Accounting Officer
Mr. Russell A. Flugel
Vice President of Investor Relations
Mr. Paul Abdelmassieh Massoud C.F.A.
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Senior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Mr. Philip Eugene Bauer
Senior Vice President of Government & Public Affairs
Mr. Benjamin James Pratt
Senior Vice President of Human Resources
Mr. Christopher Anthony Lewis
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one MOS stock?

The intrinsic value of one MOS stock under the Base Case scenario is 33.4 USD.

Is MOS stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 32.46 USD, Mosaic Co is Undervalued by 3%.