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Marathon Petroleum Corp
NYSE:MPC

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Marathon Petroleum Corp Logo
Marathon Petroleum Corp
NYSE:MPC
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Price: 198.62 USD 0.83%
Updated: Mar 28, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Marathon Petroleum Corp. is an independent company, which engages in the refining, marketing, and transportation of petroleum products in the United States. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one MPC stock under the Base Case scenario is 200.29 USD. Compared to the current market price of 198.62 USD, Marathon Petroleum Corp is Undervalued by 1%.

Key Points:
MPC Intrinsic Value
Base Case
200.29 USD
Undervaluation 1%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Marathon Petroleum Corp

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Fundamental Analysis

Strong Financial Performance and Growth
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Strong Financial Performance and Growth

The company reported robust financial results with Q4 adjusted earnings per share at $3.98, contributing to a full year total of $23.63. While adjusted EBITDA fell by $2.2 billion sequentially to over $3.5 billion for the quarter, operational efficiency was highlighted with a 91% refinery utilization rate and a midstream EBITDA growth of 7% YOY. Shareholder returns were emphasized with over $2.5 billion in share repurchases and a total cash return of $2.8 billion for the quarter. Looking ahead to Q1, refinery utilization is expected to decrease to 83% due to high turnaround activity, with an anticipated turnaround expense of roughly $600 million. The company maintains a strong position with $10.2 billion in cash, geared to sustain a trajectory of growth and superior shareholder value.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Current Assets 32.1B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 10.2B
Receivables 11.6B
Other Current Assets 10.3B
Non-Current Assets 53.9B
Long-Term Investments 6.3B
PP&E 36.3B
Intangibles 8.2B
Other Non-Current Assets 3B
Current Liabilities 20.2B
Accounts Payable 13.8B
Accrued Liabilities 1.9B
Other Current Liabilities 4.5B
Non-Current Liabilities 41.4B
Long-Term Debt 25.3B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 16.1B
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Revenue
150.1B USD
Cost of Revenue
-128.6B USD
Gross Profit
21.5B USD
Operating Expenses
-7.2B USD
Operating Income
14.3B USD
Other Expenses
-4.6B USD
Net Income
9.7B USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
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What is Free Cash Flow?
Fundamental Scores

MPC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Marathon Petroleum Corp's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional 3-Year Average ROE
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Exceptional ROE
ROE is Increasing
61/100
Profitability
Score

Marathon Petroleum Corp's profitability score is 61/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

MPC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Marathon Petroleum Corp's solvency score is 56/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
High Interest Coverage
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
56/100
Solvency
Score

Marathon Petroleum Corp's solvency score is 56/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

MPC Price Targets Summary
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Wall Street analysts forecast MPC stock price to drop over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MPC is 178.43 USD with a low forecast of 156.55 USD and a high forecast of 204.75 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
156.55 USD
21% Downside
Average
Price Target
178.43 USD
10% Downside
Highest
Price Target
204.75 USD
3% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

MPC Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

MPC Price
Marathon Petroleum Corp

1M 1M
+19%
6M 6M
+29%
1Y 1Y
+52%
3Y 3Y
+297%
5Y 5Y
+284%
10Y 10Y
+512%
Annual Price Range
198.62
52w Low
104.35
52w High
200.17
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 28.82%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 50.26%
Max Drawdown -75%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 73.1B USD
Shares Outstanding 360 336 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 2.15%

MPC Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

MPC News

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Last Important Events
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.

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Sentiment Analysis
Marathon Petroleum Corp

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Last 7 Days 7D
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Last 90 Days 90D

Company Profile

Marathon Petroleum Corp Logo
Marathon Petroleum Corp

Country

United States of America

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

73.1B USD

Dividend Yield

1.66%

Description

Marathon Petroleum Corp. is an independent company, which engages in the refining, marketing, and transportation of petroleum products in the United States. The company is headquartered in Findlay, Ohio and currently employs 17,700 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2011-06-23. The firm operates through two segments: Refining & Marketing and Midstream transport. The Refining & Marketing segment refines crude oil and other feedstocks, including renewable feedstocks, at the Company’s refineries in the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent and West Coast regions of the United States. The firm sells refined products to wholesale marketing customers domestically and internationally, under Marathon and ARCO brands. Midstream transports, stores, distributes and markets crude oil and refined products principally for the Refining & Marketing segment through refining logistics assets, pipelines, terminals, towboats and barges; gathers, processes and transports natural gas; and gathers, transports, fractionates, stores and markets Natural gas liquids (NGLs).

Contact

OHIO
Findlay
539 S Main St
+14194212159.0
https://www.marathonpetroleum.com/

IPO

2011-06-23

Employees

17 700

Officers

CEO & Director
Mr. Michael J. Hennigan
President
Ms. Maryann T. Mannen
Executive Vice President of Refining
Mr. Timothy J. Aydt
Executive VP & COO of MPLX
Mr. Gregory Scott Floerke
Executive VP & CFO
Mr. John J. Quaid
Vice President of Finance & Investor Relations
Ms. Kristina Anna Kazarian
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Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Ms. Molly R. Benson
Senior VP of Communications & Chief Human Resources Officer
Ms. Fiona C. Laird
Chief Global Optimization Officer
Mr. Brian K. Partee
Senior Vice President of Health, Environment, Safety & Security
Mr. James R. Wilkins
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one MPC stock?

The intrinsic value of one MPC stock under the Base Case scenario is 200.29 USD.

Is MPC stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 198.62 USD, Marathon Petroleum Corp is Undervalued by 1%.