` Comparison: AJL, FER - Alpha Spread

AJL
vs
FER

Over the past 12 months, AJL has underperformed FER, delivering a return of +22% compared to the FER's +28% growth.

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AJL
FER
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Valuation
Growth
Profitability
Solvency
Comparing Valuation
Running a multi-layered valuation analysis to compare how attractive each stock is.
Comparing Growth
Financial growth, forecasts, volatility, and historical drawdowns.
Comparing Profitability
Margins, returns on capital, and the consistency of profitability.
Comparing Solvency
Debt levels, liquidity, interest coverage, and bankruptcy risk.
Summarizing...
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Valuation Comparison

AJL Intrinsic Value
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FER Intrinsic Value
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Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
AJ Lucas Group Ltd
ASX:AJL
0.011 AUD
Ferrovial SE
AEX:FER
47.15 EUR
Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
AJL, FER

AJL
FER
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Revenue
www.alphaspread.com
Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
AJ Lucas Group Ltd
Revenue
Ferrovial SE
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
AJL, FER

AJL
FER
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
AJ Lucas Group Ltd
ASX:AJL
Ferrovial SE
AEX:FER
What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

AJL
19.1%
FER
87.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AJ Lucas Group Ltd
Ferrovial SE

Operating Margin

AJL
12.5%
FER
10.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AJ Lucas Group Ltd
Ferrovial SE

Net Margin

AJL
-6.1%
FER
36%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AJ Lucas Group Ltd
Ferrovial SE

FCF Margin

AJL
9.2%
FER
12.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AJ Lucas Group Ltd
Ferrovial SE

ROE

AJL
14.9%
FER
69.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AJ Lucas Group Ltd
Ferrovial SE

ROA

AJL
-9.3%
FER
12.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AJ Lucas Group Ltd
Ferrovial SE

ROIC

AJL
29.1%
FER
4.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AJ Lucas Group Ltd
Ferrovial SE

ROCE

AJL
-115.8%
FER
4.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
AJ Lucas Group Ltd
Ferrovial SE

Solvency Comparison

Balance Sheet Comparison

Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
AJL, FER

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Performance Gap
AJL, FER

Performance Gap Between AJL and FER
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Performance By Year
AJL, FER

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AJL
FER
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