` Comparison: MPV vs 1299 - Alpha Spread

MPV
vs
1299

Over the past 12 months, MPV has underperformed AIA Group Ltd, delivering a return of +9% compared to the AIA Group Ltd's +66% growth.

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MPV
1299
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Valuation Comparison

MPV Intrinsic Value
2.59 EUR
Overvaluation 3%
Intrinsic Value
Price €2.68
Intrinsic Value
86.04 HKD
Overvaluation 2%
Intrinsic Value
Price HK$87.45
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Multiples-Based Value Wall St Target
Medibank Private Ltd
F:MPV
2.68 EUR
AIA Group Ltd
HKEX:1299
87.45 HKD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
MPV, 1299

MPV
1299
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Medibank Private Ltd
Revenue
AIA Group Ltd
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
MPV, 1299

MPV
1299
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Medibank Private Ltd
F:MPV
FCF is not applicable for financial companies
AIA Group Ltd
HKEX:1299
FCF is not applicable for financial companies
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

MPV
AIA Group Ltd
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies
AIA Group Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies

Operating Margin

MPV
AIA Group Ltd
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies
AIA Group Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies

Net Margin

MPV
5.6%
AIA Group Ltd
25.4%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
AIA Group Ltd

FCF Margin

MPV
AIA Group Ltd
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies
AIA Group Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies

ROE

MPV
19.6%
AIA Group Ltd
14.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
AIA Group Ltd

ROA

MPV
10.9%
AIA Group Ltd
1.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
AIA Group Ltd

ROIC

MPV
AIA Group Ltd
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies
AIA Group Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies

ROCE

MPV
AIA Group Ltd
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Medibank Private Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies
AIA Group Ltd
Not applicable for financial companies

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
MPV, 1299

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Performance Gap
MPV, 1299

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MPV
1299
Difference
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Performance By Year
MPV, 1299

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MPV
1299
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett