` Comparison: EXCL vs MTN - Alpha Spread

EXCL
vs
M
MTN

Over the past 12 months, EXCL has underperformed MTN, delivering a return of +27% compared to the MTN's +54% growth.

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EXCL
MTN
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Valuation Comparison

EXCL Intrinsic Value
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MTN Intrinsic Value
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Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
XL Axiata Tbk PT
IDX:EXCL
2 900 IDR
M
MTN Group Ltd
JSE:MTN
17 596 Zac
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Valuation Scenario:
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Base Case
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Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
EXCL, MTN

EXCL
MTN
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
XL Axiata Tbk PT
Revenue
M
MTN Group Ltd
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
EXCL, MTN

EXCL
MTN
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
XL Axiata Tbk PT
IDX:EXCL
M
MTN Group Ltd
JSE:MTN
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

EXCL
83.8%
MTN
73.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
M
MTN Group Ltd

Operating Margin

EXCL
3.5%
MTN
23.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
M
MTN Group Ltd

Net Margin

EXCL
-5.3%
MTN
3.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
M
MTN Group Ltd

FCF Margin

EXCL
22.9%
MTN
10.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
M
MTN Group Ltd

ROE

EXCL
-7.3%
MTN
5.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
M
MTN Group Ltd

ROA

EXCL
-2.2%
MTN
1.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
M
MTN Group Ltd

ROIC

EXCL
1.4%
MTN
7.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
M
MTN Group Ltd

ROCE

EXCL
1.9%
MTN
17.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
XL Axiata Tbk PT
M
MTN Group Ltd

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
EXCL, MTN

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Performance Gap
EXCL, MTN

Performance Gap Between EXCL and MTN
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Performance By Year
EXCL, MTN

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EXCL
MTN
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