Prosegur Compania de Seguridad SA
OTC:PGCSF

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Prosegur Compania de Seguridad SA
OTC:PGCSF
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Price: 3.0566 USD
Market Cap: $1.6B

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on May 10, 2026.

Estimated DCF Value of one PGCSF stock is 14.2206 USD. Compared to the current market price of 3.0566 USD, the stock is Undervalued by 79%.

PGCSF DCF Value
14.2206 USD
Undervaluation 79%
DCF Value
Price $3.0566
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case
14.2206
DCF Value
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case
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DCF Value: 14.2206 USD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 1.7B EUR. The present value of the terminal value is 4.8B EUR. The total present value equals 6.5B EUR.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 6.5B EUR
+ Cash & Equivalents 1.2B EUR
+ Investments 551.5m EUR
Firm Value 8.2B EUR
- Debt 1.7B EUR
- Minority Interest 81.6m EUR
Equity Value 6.4B EUR
/ Shares Outstanding 532.4m
Value per Share 12.0875 EUR
EUR / USD Exchange Rate 1.1765
PGCSF DCF Value 14.2206 USD
Undervalued by 79%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
5.2B 6B
Operating Income
366.9m 469.4m
FCFF
381.7m 430.2m

What is the DCF value of one PGCSF stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one PGCSF stock is 14.2206 USD. Compared to the current market price of 3.0566 USD, the stock is Undervalued by 79%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Prosegur Compania de Seguridad SA's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 6.5B EUR.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 14.2206 USD per share.

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