` Comparison: GEM, DUOL - Alpha Spread

GEM
vs
DUOL

Over the past 12 months, GEM has underperformed DUOL, delivering a return of -49% compared to the DUOL's 43% drop.

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GEM
DUOL
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Valuation Comparison

GEM Intrinsic Value
1.79 AUD
Undervaluation 61%
Intrinsic Value
Price
DUOL Intrinsic Value
94.01 USD
Overvaluation 50%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
G8 Education Ltd
ASX:GEM
0.7 AUD
Duolingo Inc
NASDAQ:DUOL
188.93 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
GEM, DUOL

GEM
DUOL
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
G8 Education Ltd
Revenue
Duolingo Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
GEM, DUOL

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DUOL
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
G8 Education Ltd
ASX:GEM
Duolingo Inc
NASDAQ:DUOL
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

GEM
96.8%
DUOL
72%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
G8 Education Ltd
Duolingo Inc

Operating Margin

GEM
16.2%
DUOL
11.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
G8 Education Ltd
Duolingo Inc

Net Margin

GEM
7%
DUOL
40%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
G8 Education Ltd
Duolingo Inc

FCF Margin

GEM
15.2%
DUOL
36.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
G8 Education Ltd
Duolingo Inc

ROE

GEM
7.9%
DUOL
36.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
G8 Education Ltd
Duolingo Inc

ROA

GEM
3.7%
DUOL
24.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
G8 Education Ltd
Duolingo Inc

ROIC

GEM
6.3%
DUOL
52.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
G8 Education Ltd
Duolingo Inc

ROCE

GEM
9.9%
DUOL
9.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
G8 Education Ltd
Duolingo Inc

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
GEM, DUOL

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Performance Gap
GEM, DUOL

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GEM
DUOL
Difference
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Performance By Year
GEM, DUOL

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GEM
DUOL
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