` Comparison: SYA vs GLEN - Alpha Spread

SYA
vs
GLEN

Over the past 12 months, SYA has outperformed GLEN, delivering a return of +73% compared to the GLEN's +67% growth.

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SYA
GLEN
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Valuation Comparison

SYA Intrinsic Value
4.17 AUD
Overvaluation 24%
Intrinsic Value
Price
GLEN Intrinsic Value
528.4 GBX
Overvaluation 1%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Sayona Mining Ltd
ASX:SYA
5.46 AUD
Glencore PLC
LSE:GLEN
534.5 GBX
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
SYA, GLEN

SYA
GLEN
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Sayona Mining Ltd
Revenue
Glencore PLC
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
SYA, GLEN

SYA
GLEN
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Sayona Mining Ltd
ASX:SYA
Glencore PLC
LSE:GLEN
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

SYA
48.4%
GLEN
2.4%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Sayona Mining Ltd
Glencore PLC

Operating Margin

SYA
-172%
GLEN
1.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Sayona Mining Ltd
Glencore PLC

Net Margin

SYA
-131.8%
GLEN
0.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Sayona Mining Ltd
Glencore PLC

FCF Margin

SYA
-29.5%
GLEN
-0.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Sayona Mining Ltd
Glencore PLC

ROE

SYA
-54.2%
GLEN
0.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Sayona Mining Ltd
Glencore PLC

ROA

SYA
-36.8%
GLEN
0.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Sayona Mining Ltd
Glencore PLC

ROIC

SYA
-57.9%
GLEN
1.3%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Sayona Mining Ltd
Glencore PLC

ROCE

SYA
-55.2%
GLEN
3.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Sayona Mining Ltd
Glencore PLC

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
SYA, GLEN

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Performance Gap
SYA, GLEN

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SYA
GLEN
Difference
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Performance By Year
SYA, GLEN

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SYA
GLEN
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett