Grupo Mexico SAB de CV
BMV:GMEXICOB
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Grupo Mexico SAB de CV
BMV:GMEXICOB
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MX |
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of Grupo Mexico SAB de CV (GMEXICOB) under the Base Case is 200.23 MXN per share.
Compared with the current market price of 223.83 MXN, the stock appears
Overvalued by 11% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes Grupo Mexico’s revenue grows 29% in 2026, then slows, averaging 7.3% a year over the next five years versus 11% over the last five. Repeating that historical growth pace would put the estimate at about MXN 255.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Grupo Mexico SAB de CV Does
Grupo Mexico is a Mexican industrial holding company best known for mining copper and other metals, and for running one of the country’s largest freight rail networks. Its mining business extracts, processes, and sells copper, molybdenum, silver, zinc, and related byproducts to industrial buyers. Its transportation business moves goods by rail for manufacturers, miners, agriculture, and import-export customers across Mexico and into the U.S. border network.
- Headquarters
- Mexico MX
- Employees
- 31 757
- IPO date
- Oct 12, 2000
Grupo Mexico has a narrow economic moat
Copper deposits that are inexpensive to mine, together with sales of other metals recovered from the same ore, help Grupo México earn profits that higher-cost producers struggle to match. Its railways also serve routes where building a competing line would be hard to justify because the available freight would have to be shared.
Read the full moat analysis
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Grupo Mexico SAB de CV
Earnings Waterfall
Grupo Mexico SAB de CV
The intrinsic value for Grupo Mexico SAB de CV (GMEXICOB) under the Base Case is 200.23 MXN.
Compared with the current market price of 223.83 MXN, the stock appears Overvalued by 11% .