` Comparison: DUOL, TAL - Alpha Spread

DUOL
vs
TAL

Over the past 12 months, DUOL has underperformed TAL, delivering a return of -46% compared to the TAL's +16% growth.

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DUOL
TAL
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Valuation Comparison

DUOL Intrinsic Value
93.389 USD
Overvaluation 46%
Intrinsic Value
Price
TAL Intrinsic Value
13.08 USD
Undervaluation 16%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Duolingo Inc
NASDAQ:DUOL
173.585 USD
TAL Education Group
NYSE:TAL
11.04 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
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Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
DUOL, TAL

DUOL
TAL
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Duolingo Inc
Revenue
TAL Education Group
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
DUOL, TAL

DUOL
TAL
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Duolingo Inc
NASDAQ:DUOL
TAL Education Group
NYSE:TAL
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

DUOL
72%
TAL
54.4%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duolingo Inc
TAL Education Group

Operating Margin

DUOL
11.6%
TAL
2.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duolingo Inc
TAL Education Group

Net Margin

DUOL
40%
TAL
6.5%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duolingo Inc
TAL Education Group

FCF Margin

DUOL
36.1%
TAL
16.6%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duolingo Inc
TAL Education Group

ROE

DUOL
36.3%
TAL
4.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duolingo Inc
TAL Education Group

ROA

DUOL
24.9%
TAL
3.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duolingo Inc
TAL Education Group

ROIC

DUOL
52.3%
TAL
2.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duolingo Inc
TAL Education Group

ROCE

DUOL
9.8%
TAL
2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Duolingo Inc
TAL Education Group

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
DUOL, TAL

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Performance Gap
DUOL, TAL

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DUOL
TAL
Difference
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Performance By Year
DUOL, TAL

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DUOL
TAL
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