` Comparison: BLPG vs GEO - Alpha Spread

BLPG
vs
GEO

Over the past 12 months, BLPG has outperformed GEO, delivering a return of -35% compared to the GEO's 43% drop.

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BLPG
GEO
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Valuation Comparison

BLPG Intrinsic Value
0.408 USD
Undervaluation 90%
Intrinsic Value
Price
GEO Intrinsic Value
25.59 USD
Undervaluation 41%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Relative Value Wall St Target
Blue Line Protection Group Inc
OTC:BLPG
0.041 USD
Geo Group Inc
NYSE:GEO
15 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
BLPG, GEO

BLPG
GEO
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Blue Line Protection Group Inc
Revenue
Geo Group Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
BLPG, GEO

BLPG
GEO
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Blue Line Protection Group Inc
OTC:BLPG
Geo Group Inc
NYSE:GEO
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

BLPG
62.4%
GEO
25.5%

Operating Margin

BLPG
4.4%
GEO
11%

Net Margin

BLPG
2.1%
GEO
9.4%

FCF Margin

BLPG
2.6%
GEO
1%

ROE

BLPG
-9.9%
GEO
16.7%

ROA

BLPG
5.3%
GEO
6.4%

ROIC

BLPG
25.2%
GEO
5.9%

ROCE

BLPG
549.6%
GEO
8.5%

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
BLPG, GEO

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Performance Gap
BLPG, GEO

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BLPG
GEO
Difference
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Performance By Year
BLPG, GEO

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BLPG
GEO
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett