` Comparison: SCTBF vs GEO - Alpha Spread

SCTBF
vs
GEO

Over the past 12 months, SCTBF has significantly outperformed GEO, delivering a return of +14% compared to the GEO's 38% drop.

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SCTBF
GEO
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Valuation Comparison

SCTBF Intrinsic Value
27.429 USD
Undervaluation 39%
Intrinsic Value
Price $16.625
GEO Intrinsic Value
29.14 USD
Undervaluation 39%
Intrinsic Value
Price $17.88
Company Last Price Intrinsic Value DCF Value Multiples-Based Value Wall St Target
Securitas AB
OTC:SCTBF
16.625 USD
Geo Group Inc
NYSE:GEO
17.88 USD
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Valuation Scenario:
Bear Case
Base Case
Bull Case

Growth Comparison

Growth Over Time
SCTBF, GEO

SCTBF
GEO
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Revenue
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Company LTM Historical Growth Growth Streak % Positive Years Max Drawdown Volatility Forecasted Growth
3 Years 5 Years 10 Years 1 Year 3 Years
Securitas AB
Revenue
Geo Group Inc
Revenue

All metrics are calculated based on data from the last 10 years.

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Profitability Comparison

Free Cash Flow
SCTBF, GEO

SCTBF
GEO
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Free Cash Flow
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Company LTM Average Historical Growth FCF Margin Conversion
3 Years 5 Years 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years
Securitas AB
OTC:SCTBF
Geo Group Inc
NYSE:GEO
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What is Free Cash Flow?

Gross Margin

SCTBF
21.4%
GEO
25.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Securitas AB
Geo Group Inc

Operating Margin

SCTBF
7%
GEO
11.2%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Securitas AB
Geo Group Inc

Net Margin

SCTBF
3.3%
GEO
9.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Securitas AB
Geo Group Inc

FCF Margin

SCTBF
4.6%
GEO
-4.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Securitas AB
Geo Group Inc

ROE

SCTBF
12.5%
GEO
17.9%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Securitas AB
Geo Group Inc

ROA

SCTBF
4.4%
GEO
6.8%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Securitas AB
Geo Group Inc

ROIC

SCTBF
7.5%
GEO
6.1%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Securitas AB
Geo Group Inc

ROCE

SCTBF
13%
GEO
8.7%
LTM 3Y Avg 5Y Avg 10Y Avg
Securitas AB
Geo Group Inc

Solvency Comparison

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Balance Sheet Comparison
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Stocks Performance

Stocks Performance
SCTBF, GEO

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Performance Gap
SCTBF, GEO

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SCTBF
GEO
Difference
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Performance By Year
SCTBF, GEO

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SCTBF
GEO
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Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett