Alliance Aviation Services Ltd
ASX:AQZ
Intrinsic Value
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd. engages in the provision of aviation services. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
AQZ
stock under the Base Case scenario is
8.19
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 2.98 AUD,
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd
is
Undervalued by 64%.
AQZ could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd's market capitalization is 479m AUD.
AQZ stock price is 2.98 AUD.
AQZ stock price (2.98 AUD) is 64% less than its Intrinsic Value (8.19 AUD).
AQZ has upside potential of 56% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
AQZ's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 10%.
AQZ's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 16% to 16%.
AQZ has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
AQZ's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 13% to 10%.
AQZ's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 16%.
AQZ has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 8%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
AQZ has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
AQZ has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 7%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
AQZ's Revenue has grown by an exceptional 33% over the past 12 months.
AQZ's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 19% per year over the next 3 years.
AQZ's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.79.
AQZ's long-term assets (860m AUD) exceed its long-term liabilties (484m AUD).
AQZ's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 25% per year for the last 3 years.
AQZ's Altman Z-Score is equal to 1.94.
AQZ's short-term assets (224m AUD) exceed its short-term liabilties (112m AUD).
AQZ has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
AQZ has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
AQZ has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (299m AUD) than cash and short-term investments (37m AUD).
AQZ doesn't generate enough operating income (96m AUD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (-14m AUD).
Valuation Backtest
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
AQZ
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd
| Current Assets | 224.3m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 36.9m |
| Receivables | 61.8m |
| Other Current Assets | 125.6m |
| Non-Current Assets | 635.6m |
| PP&E | 635.4m |
| Intangibles | 190k |
| Current Liabilities | 111.9m |
| Accounts Payable | 80.4m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 31.5m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 371.7m |
| Long-Term Debt | 298.8m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 72.9m |
Earnings Waterfall
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd
|
Revenue
|
583.6m
AUD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-192.2m
AUD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
391.4m
AUD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-295.6m
AUD
|
|
Operating Income
|
95.8m
AUD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-39.6m
AUD
|
|
Net Income
|
56.2m
AUD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd
AQZ Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AQZ Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AQZ Price Targets Summary
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
AQZ
is 4.65 AUD
with a low forecast of 4.39 AUD and a high forecast of 5.03 AUD.
Shareholder Return
AQZ Price
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 10.17% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 33.66% |
| Max Drawdown | -62% |
| Market Capitalization | 479m AUD |
| Shares Outstanding | 160 735 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd. engages in the provision of aviation services. The company is headquartered in Brisbane, Queensland and currently employs 717 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2011-12-20. The firm offers services to various sectors, including mining, energy, tourism, and government sectors both domestically and internationally. The company also provides aviation services to airlines and clients, including aircraft wet leasing, airport management, aircraft trading, parts sales, engine leasing and engineering services. The firm operates a fleet of Fokker and Embraer aircraft. The fleet consists of three types of Fokker aircraft, including the F100 (100 seat jet aircraft), F70 (80 seat jet aircraft) and the F50 (50 seat turboprop aircraft) and one type of Embraer aircraft, the E190 (two cabin configurations, either a 94 or 99 seat jet aircraft). The firm has operational bases in Brisbane, Townsville, Cairns, Adelaide, Melbourne, Perth, Darwin, Rockhampton and Alice Springs.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
AQZ
stock under the Base Case scenario is
8.19
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 2.98 AUD,
Alliance Aviation Services Ltd
is
Undervalued by 64%.
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