Arafura Resources Ltd
ASX:ARU
Intrinsic Value
Arafura Resources Ltd. engages in the exploration and development of rare earths. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
ARU
stock under the Base Case scenario is
0.01
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.19 AUD,
Arafura Resources Ltd
is
Overvalued by 92%.
Arafura Resources Ltd's market capitalization is 431.2m AUD.
ARU stock price is 0.19 AUD.
ARU stock (0.01 AUD) is 92% less than its price (0.19 AUD).
ARU. Open DCF Valuation
ARU stock (0.01 AUD) is 92% less than its price (0.19 AUD). Open Relative Valuation
ARU has upside potential of 43% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
ARU's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from -5% to -67%, and is approaching profitability.
ARU's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from -6% to -118%, and is approaching profitability.
ARU's Altman Z-Score is equal to 1.8.
ARU has negative Operating Income for the last twelve months.
ARU has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
ARU's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -67%.
ARU's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -118%.
ARU's short-term assets (68m AUD) exceed its short-term liabilties (29m AUD).
ARU has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
ARU's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.01.
ARU has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -28%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
ARU has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): -45%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
ARU's long-term assets (207m AUD) exceed its long-term liabilties (35m AUD).
ARU has negative Net Debt. This means that the company has more cash and short-term investments (67m AUD) than debt (2m AUD).
ARU earns more than enough operating income (-140m AUD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (-230k AUD).
Valuation Backtest
Arafura Resources Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
ARU
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Arafura Resources Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Arafura Resources Ltd
| Current Assets | 67.9m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 66.9m |
| Receivables | 952.3k |
| Non-Current Assets | 139.3m |
| Long-Term Investments | 4.1m |
| PP&E | 135.1m |
| Current Liabilities | 28.6m |
| Accounts Payable | 17.8m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 10.8m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 6.8m |
| Long-Term Debt | 2.2m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 4.6m |
Earnings Waterfall
Arafura Resources Ltd
|
Revenue
|
0
AUD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-140.1m
AUD
|
|
Operating Income
|
-140.1m
AUD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
3.7m
AUD
|
|
Net Income
|
-136.4m
AUD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Arafura Resources Ltd
ARU Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Arafura Resources Ltd's profitability score is 15/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Arafura Resources Ltd's profitability score is 15/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
ARU Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Arafura Resources Ltd's solvency score is 83/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Arafura Resources Ltd's solvency score is 83/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
ARU Price Targets Summary
Arafura Resources Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
ARU
is 0.27 AUD
with a low forecast of 0.19 AUD and a high forecast of 0.42 AUD.
Shareholder Return
ARU Price
Arafura Resources Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 76.54% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 29.26% |
| Max Drawdown | -82% |
| Market Capitalization | 431.2m AUD |
| Shares Outstanding | 2 310 300 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Arafura Resources Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Arafura Resources Ltd. engages in the exploration and development of rare earths. The company is headquartered in Perth, Western Australia. The company went IPO on 2003-11-05. The firm produces rare earth products from the Nolans Project. The Nolans Project consists of a mine, process plant, including beneficiation, extraction and separation plants, and related infrastructure to be constructed and located at the Nolans site, approximately 135 kilometers north of Alice Springs in Australia's Northern Territory. The firm's rare earth products are Neodymium-Praseodymium (NdPr) oxide, and Mixed middle-heavy rare earths (SEG/HRE) oxide. NdPr oxide is the Company's lead product, which is used by magnet and magnet alloy customers. Rare earth products are also used in catalytic converters in automobiles, consumer electronics, energy efficiency lighting, optics, ceramics, airbag sensors, main drive motors in electric vehicles (EV) and others. The firm is also engaged in other projects, such as Aileron-Reynolds and Bonya JV.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
ARU
stock under the Base Case scenario is
0.01
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.19 AUD,
Arafura Resources Ltd
is
Overvalued by 92%.
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