Challenger Ltd
ASX:CGF
Prices of ASX stocks are not being updated. The latest CGF price on Alpha Spread is from Oct 14, 2026. Financials, forecasts and intrinsic value keep updating.
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Challenger Ltd
ASX:CGF
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AU |
Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of Challenger Ltd (CGF) under the Base Case is 9.94 AUD per share.
Compared with the last price of 9.68 AUD on Oct 14, the stock appears
Undervalued by 3% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes net margin rises from 19% last year to 51% by 2031, higher than in any of the last six years. If net margin stayed at its five-year average of 12%, the estimate would be about AU$1.67.
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Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Challenger Does
Challenger Ltd is an Australian financial services company best known for retirement income products. It sells annuities and related savings products that turn a lump sum into a regular income stream, mainly for retirees and people planning for retirement. It also manages investments through its funds management arm, which invests money for institutions and some retail clients.
- Headquarters
- Australia AU
- Employees
- 546
- IPO date
- Dec 11, 1997
Earnings Waterfall
Challenger Ltd
The intrinsic value for Challenger Ltd (CGF) under the Base Case is 9.94 AUD.
Compared with the last price of 9.68 AUD on Oct 14, the stock appears Undervalued by 3% .