Charter Hall Retail REIT
ASX:CQR

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Charter Hall Retail REIT Logo
Charter Hall Retail REIT
ASX:CQR
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Price: 4 AUD 0.25% Market Closed
Market Cap: 2.3B AUD

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one CQR stock under the Base Case scenario is 5.29 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 4 AUD, Charter Hall Retail REIT is Undervalued by 24%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

CQR Intrinsic Value
5.29 AUD
Undervaluation 24%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Charter Hall Retail REIT

What is Valuation History?
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Fundamental Analysis

Company Overview
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Business Segments
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Economic Moat
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Earnings Call
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Management
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Contacts
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Bear Theses

Charter Hall Retail REIT’s heavy reliance on supermarket anchors leaves it vulnerable if key tenants renegotiate leases or vacate, which could drive down occupancies and rental rates across its portfolio.

A deterioration in Australian consumer sentiment or extended economic downturn could lead to reduced discretionary spending, weakening secondary tenants’ ability to maintain robust rent payments and impacting cash flows.

Exposures to higher interest rates and tightening credit conditions may strain its ability to refinance debt at favorable terms, limiting the REIT’s capacity for expansion or redevelopment projects.

Bull Theses

The REIT’s primary focus on supermarket-anchored shopping centers in growth corridors provides a resilient income stream backed by stable foot traffic and essential consumer demand.

Its active management strategy of divesting non-core assets and redeveloping prime locations can enhance occupancy rates, attract higher-paying tenants, and improve portfolio quality over time.

Conservative gearing levels and staggered debt maturities strengthen the trust’s balance sheet, reducing exposure to sudden changes in credit markets and allowing for strategic property acquisitions.

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How do you feel about CQR?
Bearish
Neutral
Bullish
Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Charter Hall Retail REIT

Current Assets 782.5m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 38.5m
Receivables 48m
Other Current Assets 696m
Non-Current Assets 3.5B
Long-Term Investments 3.5B
Other Non-Current Assets 42.9m
Current Liabilities 428.6m
Accounts Payable 36.4m
Other Current Liabilities 392.2m
Non-Current Liabilities 1.2B
Long-Term Debt 1.2B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 2.3m
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Charter Hall Retail REIT

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Earnings Waterfall
Charter Hall Retail REIT

Revenue
198m AUD
Cost of Revenue
-65.2m AUD
Gross Profit
132.8m AUD
Operating Expenses
-19.9m AUD
Operating Income
112.9m AUD
Other Expenses
100.9m AUD
Net Income
213.8m AUD
Fundamental Scores

CQR Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Charter Hall Retail REIT's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Exceptional Operating Margin
Strong 3Y Average Operating Margin
Exceptional Net Margin
Strong 3Y Average Net Margin
54/100
Profitability
Score

Charter Hall Retail REIT's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

CQR Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Charter Hall Retail REIT's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Low Altman Z-Score
36/100
Solvency
Score

Charter Hall Retail REIT's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

CQR Price Targets Summary
Charter Hall Retail REIT

Wall Street analysts forecast CQR stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CQR is 4.5 AUD with a low forecast of 4.16 AUD and a high forecast of 4.99 AUD.

Lowest
Price Target
4.16 AUD
4% Upside
Average
Price Target
4.5 AUD
12% Upside
Highest
Price Target
4.99 AUD
25% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CQR is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Competitive Landscape

Company Market Cap Intrinsic Valuation Profitability Solvency Price Change
1Y 3Y 5Y
What is the Intrinsic Value of one CQR stock?

The intrinsic value of one CQR stock under the Base Case scenario is 5.29 AUD.

Is CQR stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 4 AUD, Charter Hall Retail REIT is Undervalued by 24%.

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