Central Petroleum Ltd
ASX:CTP
Intrinsic Value
Central Petroleum Ltd. engages in the provision of development, production, processing and marketing of hydrocarbons and associated exploration. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
CTP
stock under the Base Case scenario is
0.14
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.06 AUD,
Central Petroleum Ltd
is
Undervalued by 56%.
Central Petroleum Ltd's market capitalization is 44.4m AUD.
CTP stock price is 0.06 AUD.
CTP stock price (0.06 AUD) is 56% less than its Intrinsic Value (0.14 AUD).
CTP has upside potential of 36% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
CTP's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 10%.
CTP has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
CTP has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
CTP's Revenue has grown by an exceptional 21% over the past 12 months.
CTP's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 12% per year over the next 3 years.
CTP's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from 1% to 10%.
CTP has negative Net Debt. This means that the company has more cash and short-term investments (21m AUD) than debt (21m AUD).
CTP's long-term assets (106m AUD) exceed its long-term liabilties (72m AUD).
CTP's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from 6 469% to 69%.
CTP has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
CTP's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.62.
CTP has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
CTP's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is very high and is equal to 69%.
CTP's short-term assets (32m AUD) exceed its short-term liabilties (14m AUD).
CTP has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): -4%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
CTP has very high three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 43%. The company is very efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
CTP's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to -1.24.
CTP doesn't generate enough operating income (9m AUD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (-3m AUD).
Valuation Backtest
Central Petroleum Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
CTP
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Central Petroleum Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Central Petroleum Ltd
| Current Assets | 32.1m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 21.4m |
| Receivables | 5.4m |
| Other Current Assets | 5.3m |
| Non-Current Assets | 73.7m |
| Long-Term Investments | 2.9m |
| PP&E | 68.6m |
| Intangibles | 2.2m |
| Current Liabilities | 13.6m |
| Accounts Payable | 2.5m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 3.2m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 7.9m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 58.6m |
| Long-Term Debt | 21m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 37.5m |
Earnings Waterfall
Central Petroleum Ltd
|
Revenue
|
42.5m
AUD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-31.3m
AUD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
11.2m
AUD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-2.7m
AUD
|
|
Operating Income
|
8.5m
AUD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
8.6m
AUD
|
|
Net Income
|
17.1m
AUD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Central Petroleum Ltd
CTP Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Central Petroleum Ltd's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Central Petroleum Ltd's profitability score is 55/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
CTP Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Central Petroleum Ltd's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Central Petroleum Ltd's solvency score is 36/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
CTP Price Targets Summary
Central Petroleum Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
CTP
is 0.08 AUD
with a low forecast of 0.08 AUD and a high forecast of 0.08 AUD.
Shareholder Return
CTP Price
Central Petroleum Ltd
| Average Annual Return | -13.98% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 13.59% |
| Max Drawdown | -80% |
| Market Capitalization | 44.4m AUD |
| Shares Outstanding | 753 206 521 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Central Petroleum Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Central Petroleum Ltd. engages in the provision of development, production, processing and marketing of hydrocarbons and associated exploration. The company is headquartered in Brisbane, Queensland and currently employs 85 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-03-07. The firm is an operator of onshore gas production in the Northern Territory, supplying oil and gas from its Mereenie, Palm Valley and Dingo fields to domestic customers in the Northern Territory and the wider Australian east coast market. The Company’s segments include Producing Assets, Development Assets, and Exploration Assets. The Producing Assets segment is engaged in the production and sale of crude oil, natural gas and associated petroleum products from fields that are in the production phase. The Development Asset segment includes fields under development in preparation for the sale of petroleum products. The Exploration Assets segment includes exploration and evaluation of permit areas. Its licenses areas include Palm Valley Gas Field, Dingo Gas Field and Surrounding Area; Surprise Oil Field; EP 115, Mereenie Oil and Gas Field, Ooraminna Retention Licenses, and Amadeus Application Permits.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
CTP
stock under the Base Case scenario is
0.14
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.06 AUD,
Central Petroleum Ltd
is
Undervalued by 56%.
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