Experience Co Ltd
ASX:EXP
Intrinsic Value
Experience Co. Ltd. is an adventure tourism company. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
EXP
stock under the Base Case scenario is
0.404
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.155 AUD,
Experience Co Ltd
is
Undervalued by 62%.
Experience Co Ltd's market capitalization is 117.4m AUD.
EXP stock price is 0.155 AUD.
EXP stock price (0.155 AUD) is 62% less than its Intrinsic Value (0.404 AUD).
EXP stock price (0.155 AUD) is 71% less than its Relative Value (0.533 AUD). Open Relative Valuation
EXP has upside potential of 104% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
EXP's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from -11% to -2%, and is approaching profitability.
EXP's Revenue has grown by an exceptional 35% over the past 12 months.
EXP's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to 0%.
EXP's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -2%.
EXP's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 18% per year over the next 3 years.
EXP has negative Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
EXP's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from -44% to 0%, and is approaching profitability.
EXP has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (31m AUD) than cash and short-term investments (11m AUD).
EXP has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
EXP's short-term liabilties (36m AUD) exceed its short-term assets (23m AUD).
EXP has negative Operating Income for the last twelve months.
EXP has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
EXP's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 36% per year for the last 3 years.
EXP's long-term assets (195m AUD) exceed its long-term liabilties (68m AUD).
EXP has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): -9%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
EXP has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -11%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
EXP's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.24.
EXP's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 0.93.
EXP generates enough operating income (-3m AUD) to cover interest payments on its debt (-1m AUD).
Valuation Backtest
Experience Co Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
EXP
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Experience Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Experience Co Ltd
| Current Assets | 23.1m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 10.7m |
| Receivables | 4.4m |
| Other Current Assets | 7.9m |
| Non-Current Assets | 171.9m |
| PP&E | 110.7m |
| Intangibles | 46.5m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 14.8m |
| Current Liabilities | 36.4m |
| Accounts Payable | 13.3m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 3.4m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 19.7m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 31.3m |
| Long-Term Debt | 30.9m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 380k |
Earnings Waterfall
Experience Co Ltd
|
Revenue
|
119.3m
AUD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-74.6m
AUD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
44.7m
AUD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-47.6m
AUD
|
|
Operating Income
|
-2.9m
AUD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
2.6m
AUD
|
|
Net Income
|
-268k
AUD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Experience Co Ltd
EXP Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Experience Co Ltd's profitability score is 41/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Experience Co Ltd's profitability score is 41/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
EXP Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Experience Co Ltd's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Experience Co Ltd's solvency score is 38/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
EXP Price Targets Summary
Experience Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
EXP
is 0.316 AUD
with a low forecast of 0.303 AUD and a high forecast of 0.357 AUD.
Shareholder Return
EXP Price
Experience Co Ltd
| Average Annual Return | -0.73% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 32.14% |
| Max Drawdown | -89% |
| Market Capitalization | 117.4m AUD |
| Shares Outstanding | 757 457 400 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Experience Co Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Experience Co. Ltd. is an adventure tourism company. The company is headquartered in Wollongong, New South Wales. The company went IPO on 2015-03-27. The firm is engaged in the provision of skydiving experiences to the public through its various offerings, such as tandem skydiving, night tandem skydiving, learn to skydive courses and skydive skill development camps. The firm's segments include: skydiving, GBR experiences and corporate. The firm operates approximately 12 drop zones in Australia and over three in New Zealand. EXP also provides boat tours to the Great Barrier Reef and personalized tours to the Daintree Rainforest in North Queensland, Australia. In Australia, the skydiving drop zones are across New South Wales, Queensland, Victoria and Western Australia, while the New Zealand skydiving drop zones are located in Queenstown, Wanaka and Glenorchy.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
EXP
stock under the Base Case scenario is
0.404
AUD.
Compared to the current market price of 0.155 AUD,
Experience Co Ltd
is
Undervalued by 62%.
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