Graincorp Ltd
ASX:GNC

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Graincorp Ltd
ASX:GNC
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Price: 7.78 AUD -1.64% Market Closed
Market Cap: 1.7B AUD

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one GNC stock under the Base Case scenario is 9 AUD. Compared to the current market price of 7.78 AUD, Graincorp Ltd is Undervalued by 14%.

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

GNC Intrinsic Value
9 AUD
Undervaluation 14%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Graincorp Ltd

Valuation History Unavailable

Historical valuation for GNC cannot be conducted due to limitations such as insufficient data or other constraints.

Valuation In Progress...
Valuation In Progress...
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Fundamental Analysis

Company Overview
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Earnings Call
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Management
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Contacts
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Bear Theses

A protracted period of adverse weather conditions or climate volatility in eastern Australia could disrupt GrainCorp’s grain intake and reduce storage volumes, putting downward pressure on revenues and margin.

Bull Theses

GrainCorp’s extensive network of storage and handling infrastructure in prime agricultural regions provides a strong competitive moat, allowing it to capture robust origination volumes and maintain steady throughput even in challenging market environments.

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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Graincorp Ltd

Current Assets 3B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 328.4m
Receivables 862.5m
Other Current Assets 1.8B
Non-Current Assets 1B
Long-Term Investments 55.7m
PP&E 814.4m
Intangibles 107m
Other Non-Current Assets 65.2m
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Graincorp Ltd

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate

Earnings Waterfall
Graincorp Ltd

Revenue
7.2B AUD
Cost of Revenue
-6.4B AUD
Gross Profit
865.5m AUD
Operating Expenses
-713.1m AUD
Operating Income
152.4m AUD
Other Expenses
-82.1m AUD
Net Income
70.3m AUD
Fundamental Scores

GNC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Graincorp Ltd's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive 3-Year Average ROE
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
47/100
Profitability
Score

Graincorp Ltd's profitability score is 47/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

GNC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Graincorp Ltd's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Altman Z-Score
Long-Term Solvency
Short-Term Solvency
Average D/E
39/100
Solvency
Score

Graincorp Ltd's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

GNC Price Targets Summary
Graincorp Ltd

Wall Street analysts forecast GNC stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GNC is 9.01 AUD with a low forecast of 7.93 AUD and a high forecast of 10.24 AUD.

Lowest
Price Target
7.93 AUD
2% Upside
Average
Price Target
9.01 AUD
16% Upside
Highest
Price Target
10.24 AUD
32% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Dividend Per Share
N/A
Growth 3Y
Growth 5Y
Growth 10Y
Dividend Safety Score
Very
Unsafe
Unsafe
Safe
Very
Safe
0
25
50
75
100
Previous Payment
-
Today
Next Payment
-
Today
Jun 29, 2025
Previous Payment
-
Next Payment
-
Ex-Dividend Date
-
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for GNC is .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
Dividend Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Buyback Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest
Debt Paydown Yield
Lowest
Average
Highest

Competitive Landscape

Company Market Cap Intrinsic Valuation Profitability Solvency Price Change
1Y 3Y 5Y

Ownership

GNC Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

What is the Intrinsic Value of one GNC stock?

The intrinsic value of one GNC stock under the Base Case scenario is 9 AUD.

Is GNC stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 7.78 AUD, Graincorp Ltd is Undervalued by 14%.

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