Nick Scali Ltd
ASX:NCK
Prices of ASX stocks are not being updated. The latest NCK price on Alpha Spread is from Oct 15, 2026. Financials, forecasts and intrinsic value keep updating.
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of 
Nick Scali Ltd (NCK) under the Base Case is 14.51 AUD per share.
Compared with the last price of 13.96 AUD on Oct 15, the stock appears
Undervalued by 4% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model mostly extends the recent record: revenue grows about 8% a year over the next five years, against 7% over the last five, and net margin stays near last year's 15%.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Nick Scali Does
Nick Scali sells home furniture, especially sofas and other lounge, dining, and bedroom pieces. It designs and sources its own ranges, then sells them through branded showrooms and online channels in Australia and New Zealand. Its customers are mainly households buying furniture for their homes, often for major room updates rather than small impulse purchases.
- Headquarters
- Australia AU
- Employees
- 850
- IPO date
- May 26, 2004
Nick Scali has no economic moat
Nick Scali Ltd lacks an economic moat, leaving it vulnerable to competitive pressures and market challenges.
Read the full moat analysis
Earnings Waterfall
Nick Scali Ltd
What is the Intrinsic Value of one NCK stock?
The intrinsic value for Nick Scali Ltd (NCK) under the Base Case is 14.51 AUD.
Is NCK stock undervalued or overvalued?
Compared with the last price of 13.96 AUD on Oct 15, the stock appears Undervalued by 4% .
