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Earnings Call Transcript

Transcript
from 0
L
Lars Corneliusson
President, CEO, MD & Director

All right. Good morning. This is Lars Corneliusson here, the CEO of Ferronordic; and we may have Erik Danemar, the CFO. And we will take you through the second quarter results this year of 2020. And if we turn to Page 2 we can see that it was -- despite the challenges that COVID-19 put on us in the quarter, it was actually our best second quarter to date. And even though the markets in Russia and CIS declined sharply with around 40%, actually, our unit sales on machines grew. We saw robust aftermarket and contracting services performance. And we then have an operating profit, which was up on the revenue resilience and also cost control measures that we implemented. Our sales in Germany that we started in January of this year, they declined quarter-on-quarter, which was in line with the overall market. And we generated strong operating cash flows and created then a lower net debt. So if we turn a little more to details on the next slide, Slide 3. So revenue in Russia and CIS decreased 13%. Group revenue was up 9%, and that was then thanks to consolidation of operations in Germany. So overall revenue of around SEK 1.2 billion. We -- in Russia and CIS, as I mentioned, we have volume growth in unit sales. But as average price declined, overall sales declined 21%. Aftermarket was largely flat and Swedish kroner was up in rubles, and while contracting services had a good increase of 30%. Revenue in Germany, SEK 245 million, with then 2/3 coming from truck sales, 28% aftermarket and 8% other. And we then generated an operating profit of SEK 105 million, which was an increase of 7% compared to the same quarter '19. In Russia and CIS, the operating profit grew 22%. And obviously, the operating profit increased despite the negative contribution from Germany. And the group operating margin of 8.7% is above our financial target of 6% to 8%. And then we generated lower -- well, we had lower working capital. And as a result, net debt lowered. We move on to Slide 4, a bit on the operations, which was clearly a challenge for us. The -- despite the widespread restrictions, lockdowns, quarantines around all our countries, Kazakhstan, very much so in Russia and, of course, also in Germany, we actually delivered a strong quarter. We didn't have any government support, and the fact that also in Russia there are quite many regions, around 80, 90 regions and every region had different laws and regulations in place during most of the quarter. But despite that, new equipment unit sales grew 6% to 296 units. As I said, the market declined of around 40%. And obviously, we then gained market shares in most product groups. And I think this -- the fact that we increased our market share, the fact that aftermarkets remain resilient and we also grew contracting services, the offering we have is really directed towards customers or customer segments that understands the benefits of a long-term ownership of premium product and receiving premium services. They look at total cost of ownership over the life cycle, and they compare that to the productivity that they get out. And obviously, their main concern is uptime, meaning that the machine should be up and running when they want to. And such customers tend to be stronger, and they tend to be leaders within their industries, within their segments. And even in a deep economic downturn that we saw in Q2, they actually continue to work and operate the machines. They continue to gain contracts, and they continue to use our services since they have realized that, that is the way for them to make money. And we saw that very clearly in Q2. We saw it clearly in the previous downturn, which was in 2014, '15. And the same pattern actually repeats itself. And we then kept our aftermarket services at a level, as I said, like last year, we grew the contracting services, and we actually grew our unit sales of machine sales. So we're very happy with that, and we're happy with that customer relation that we have and that we can then add a lot of value to our customers, making them successful. And that's basically the offer. That's basically the way we go to market. And I think we've shown that in Q2 that it's a successful way of partnership with our customers. And notably, we gained market share in the excavator segment. Obviously, smaller machines, predominantly, and that is then reflected in the 25% lower average sales price. As we said, aftermarket sales grew in ruble terms. And contracting services, they continue to deliver on the levels that we had in second half of last year, which was in itself a result of the ramp-up activities we did around a year ago. And then we delivered a result -- a sales result, which was 30% higher than Q2 in 2019. Let's move on then to Germany on the next slide. The truck registrations in Germany were hit hard. Sales -- overall sales in Germany of trucks was down 54% compared to Q2 2019 and 15% compared to Q1 2020. We should remember here that the market in Germany in Q2 2019 was a very, very high market, but again, a big drop. Tractor segment dropped by 63% compared to 44% in the rigid segments. And our area in Germany during the quarter represented approximately 18% of the total German market, and it declined in the same manner as the overall German markets. We sold 146 new units in Q2, which was down 15% less than in Q1, which also corresponds to the market drop between Q1 and Q2. Aftermarket was also down but much more resilient, and actually trucks were utilized to a higher degree than we expected going into the quarter. And aftermarket was, also in Germany, a resilient factor for the results. And obviously, for the whole company, for our group, we -- the focus remains on customer and employee health and safety and delivering -- continue to deliver a great customer service. If we turn to the next slide, again, COVID response, we've shown a similar slide last quarter. What do we do? We -- what we have done. Obviously, the 3 main issue -- 3 main points is employee health and safety, customer service and cost and cash. And we have, throughout the pandemic, kept strict health and safety protocols. We have made sure that we have protective equipment for employees and, in some cases, also customers. Obviously, work from home, when possible, and also when, obviously, directed by authorities. We have, as much as we can, have split teams and in the workshops to reduce staff overlap and reduce the risk of the spread. And still, we have been able to deliver a strong customer service. We have had all our workshops operational. We had many cases -- many places, we keep 24/7 coverage. And despite the fact that we have not been able to reach out to customers, we have actually physically not been able to go to customers because of quarantine and restrictions, we have been able to support our customers remotely and virtually. In contracting services, we have applied longer rotations for the shifts for operators that are going into these places far away, and they've stayed there for a longer period of time to reduce the risk of overlapping spread. And of course, we need to have good on-site facilities. And we have been very much focused, again, on customer uptime and productivity. And for instance, when it comes to Germany, we had thoughts about employing [Foreign Language], as it's called, which is the governmental support for short term -- support when staff are not working full time, due to the fact that we saw a higher degree of demand for our parts and services than we actually expected. We have been using that to a very limited extent. And we have found other ways that we can support our customers with full staffing, and at the same time, trying to reduce the risk of spread and divide shifts in our workshops. So that has been going well. I think also we have succeeded well on costs and cash. We have taken down the costs quite significantly in our Russian and CIS operations, both compared to Q2 last year, but also compared to Q1. And that has been done through reduced headcount and working hours. We've had temporary and voluntary salary cuts. And obviously, when you are not allowed to travel, when you're sitting at home, the travel and marketing expenses, they do decline. We've also had good cash collection. As you can see, we had an operating cash flow positive in the range of SEK 300 million. And that has been helped through with tight credit controls. We have reduced receivables to customers. We have lowered our inventory. We have tried to keep minimum CapEx spending, and we have focused on having a strong liquidity position for our financial flexibility throughout the quarter. And going forward to next slide, it's a bit difficult to see, 7, I think, talking about business developments a bit further. We are into continuing our integration in Germany into our group business systems and processes. Obviously, COVID-19 has caused some delays in implementation of these efforts. But we are continuing with, I would say, good speed. Our rebuild center in Ekaterinburg has ramped up production in the quarter. We are producing components. We are seeing traction on the demand. And we have built the first rebuilt machines, are completed and sold. And it's basically a way where we recycle machines using recycled components. So we bring in old components, we're bringing old machines, and we then rebuild them and make them almost new, and then we're selling them into segments where we could not maybe compete before. And so it's a great way of increasing not only recycling of resources, but also a way for us to get into other customer segments and compete and basically giving a warranty for the machines from Volvo CE and for the components from Ferronordic. And we are getting the center to become an integral part of our business system and our total offering for customers, extending the lifetime of the machines, extending the productivity of the old machines. And hopefully, we can get even more customer satisfaction after that complete offering and the total cost of ownership over a life cycle. We -- also in contracting services, we saw robust performance despite COVID restrictions. We had a lot of restrictions. There were, of course, on these sites, cases. And we -- but despite all the problems, all the obstacles that we saw, we had a good performance of, as I said, plus 30%. We have recently resumed a project, which is a seasonal project, which we're only working there during the summertime because in the winter it's absolutely impossible with 10 meters of snow in far north. Also, in Kazakhstan, it was a strong quarter despite a very tight lockdown. Kazakhstan was early into restrictions and tight restrictions, but we managed to deliver a good quarter also in Kazakhstan. And next slide then, 8, a bit on the economic development. Obviously, it's all over the place, the economy slowed down on the COVID-19 restrictions. The quarter GDP in Russia was down 9.6%. Expectations for 2020, 6.6%. Hopefully then, we can see growth in GDP, which most forecast of somewhere around 4% in 2021. And inflation is coming down. It was at 3.2%, forecast of around 4%, which is lower than 2019. And the central bank has been active in cutting rates. And the key rate is now down to 4.25%, which is the lowest it has ever been in Russia. The ruble actually strengthened 4% again in Q2 2020. CapEx on a half -- full -- half year down at 1.8%; 3% decline, expected; 2.5% growth in 2021. And obviously, as you might know, Germany, similar decline in GDP as Russia of 9.3%, and the full year of around 8% expected decline, but a rebound expected then in 2021 of around 5%. Now if we go to the next slide, obviously, we -- despite the uncertainties that we have short term, we obviously see that there is a long-term upside potential, I would say, in our markets. And here, we take Russia as an example. And we -- if we index our market and our activities back to 2011, you can see that the black line showing the market for construction equipment in units, and you see what happened in between 2013 and '15 when the market was down 80%, 83%, and it has still not come close to being where it was in the early -- in '11, '12 and '13, and it's now only at the level of 63% of 2011 and 56% of 2012 level. And of course, when you see such low numbers on the market, there is constantly a buildup of pent-up demand in the market. The replacement cycle has not taken place as it should be. And the levels of the market in the last couple of years has not even been such that the capacity out in the market has sustained at the level that it was before. So we see a pent-up demand growing every year, actually now. But despite the market being only at 63%, our revenue is actually now 54% higher than it was in 2011, and operating profit is 308% higher than 2011. So it shows -- this -- I think this slide shows well the resilience we have in our business model. The focus we have on the aftermarket gives a very good base for us to move forward. And you also see the leverage on the bottom line that happens when the market just increases slightly as it started to do again in 2013. So despite the fact that the market was down 83% between 2013 and '15, our bottom line hardly moved at all, and that is, again, a focus on aftermarket and making sure that -- and having that relationship with the best customers in their segments that continue to work also in economic downturns and buy parts and buy service from us. Okay. So I'll hand over to Erik to go through a bit more in detail on the numbers.

E
Erik Danemar
Group CFO & Head of Investor Relations

Thank you very much, Lars. Starting at Slide 10 with the income statement. For context, starting with the currencies do impact our results when we translate from local to our presentation currency in Swedish krona. The ruble average rate, which is used for the income statement, was 9% weaker, both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter. But actually strengthened, as Lars mentioned, over the second quarter. So slight positive effect, so to say, on the balance sheet, whereas then on the income statement, a lowering effect on both revenue and cost side. Euro rates more stable in terms of average. Again, a slight strengthening of the Swedish krona, so an opposite effect on the balance sheet in Germany, but lowering that as a result. Now looking at the income statement. We posted a total revenue for the growth of SEK 1.2 billion. That was a 9% increase on last year. But includes, of course, the contribution of Germany consolidated into the group revenue. As of the first quarter, we report 2 segments, one being Russia/CIS, and the other one being Germany. If we look at the revenue split in the second quarter, we see that 80% came from Russia/CIS and 20% from Germany. If we compare that to the first quarter, we had 75%-25%. So an increase in the share of Russia and CIS. If we look rather at the revenue streams, we see that 64% came from equipment and truck sales, that's new and used. And about 1/4, 24% from the aftermarket and 10% from our contracting services. That leaves another 2% for other revenue, which mostly relate to rental. It's quite similar to what we showed in the first quarter, but it is a bigger revenue weight to the aftermarket and contracting services compared to the second quarter of last year. That would tend to have a positive effect on the gross margin. As we can see in my second bullet here, gross margin did actually decline 2.9 percentage points to 7.2% (sic) [ 17.2% ]. That was driven by, on the one hand, lower margins in equipment sales in Russia and CIS, but also, of course, the consolidation of Germany, where the gross profit margin stood at 6.7%. Looking at SG&A expenses, they declined as a share of revenue to 9.4% in the second quarter. That compares to 10.1% in the second quarter of last year, but that was Russia stand-alone. So of course, in this quarter, we also consolidate the SG&A expenses from Germany. 9.4% also compares favorably to 11.5%, which we had in the first quarter of this year, which can -- maybe seen as more like-for-like given that Germany was part of the operation then. The operating margin declined year-on-year to 8.7%, and that was mostly driven by a negative contribution from Germany there. Still, it leaves us above our target EBIT margin for the group, which we've set us between 6% and 8%. The operating profit for the group increased by 7% to SEK 105 million, much driven by the revenue resilience that we showed in the quarter, but also the cost control seen in the decline in our G&A expenses. And also, there was a one-off item in this quarter, which was a recovery of a customs payment made in previous years of about SEK 11 million. We had also a better net income in the quarter despite higher financial costs. So with that, we turn to the next slide, #11. And look at the long-term trends and what we can see there, starting on the revenue side, is that in Russia/CIS, we had a decrease. This is again a rolling last 12 months. We're looking at -- so came down from 3.9% to 3.7%, and that was, as mentioned by Lars, mostly driven by the lower new equipment sales, which was down 21% despite higher volumes driven by the lower average tickets in the quarter. Revenue from German operations contributed SEK 520 million in the first half of this year, SEK 245 million in -- of which were in the second quarter. Looking at gross margin. As mentioned, it came down to 17.2% for the group. That is why the Russia gross margin was largely flat, down 0.2% to 19.9%. So group level there much driven lower by a consolidation of a lower gross margin from Germany. And in terms of the operating margin, down 0.2% to 8.7%. Again, due to consolidation, the Russia stand-alone margin was 12.5%, a quite strong result. That's unadjusted for the nonrecurring one-off recovery. Otherwise, it would be 11.3%. If we move on to the next slide and look at cost and return on capital employed trends over time, then we can see this is Slide 12. We can see there that, again, on a rolling basis for the last 12 months, SG&A expenses as a percent of revenue was actually up 0.4%. But if we would look on a quarterly basis, was down 0.2% to 10.5%. And I remind you there that it was 9.4% in the current quarter. So having a reducing effect on the rolling average there. In terms of Russia, looking at Russia specifically, the SG&A expenses as a percent of revenue declined 1.7 percentage points year-on-year and 2.7% quarter-on-quarter to 8.4%. Germany stood at 13.3%. Return on capital employed was 23% in the second quarter. The decline that we have in the first half of this year is partly related to the contribution from Germany, but also a higher capital employed. Remind you that this is a, again, rolling basis. So here, it takes the average capital employed over the fourth -- last quarters. Moving on to the next slide, #13, and looking at the cash flows. Something that we're also quite happy about in this second quarter of 2020, posting cash flow from operating activities of SEK 312 million, compares very favorable with last year when we had a negative similar amount. This was driven by, in Russia, a higher operating profit, but also importantly, of course, a decline in working capital. In Germany, we had a negative operating result, but also a decline in working capital as we work down some of the stock that which go over in the transactions in the light of a weaker demand outlook. We had lower tax payments but higher interest payments in the quarter. The net of that had a slightly positive impact also on our overall cash flows. We had lower capital expenditures, and that was driven partly by less investments in contracting services. Last year, we ramped up the project we were working on. This year was more maintenance CapEx, but also the CapEx control that we put in place in -- at the end of the first quarter and observed through the second quarter. The cash flows in financing activities reflect some debt -- net debt repayment, both in Russia, CIS and Germany. Turning to Slide 14, and looking at the balance sheet. You can see that PP&E decreased quarter-on-quarter. That was mostly due to depreciation. Again, somewhat offset by a small positive effect by ForEx translation. Year-on-year, the effect of the translation would be negative. But again, quarter-on-quarter, slightly positive. In Russia/CIS, specifically to look at the components of the balance sheet, we saw working capital come down from about SEK 525 million to SEK 400 million quarter-on-quarter, lower inventory and lower receivables as we had strong cash collections in the quarter from ourselves and from our customers. We did have higher payables. But again, this was offset by these 2 effects. In terms of net debt, if we look at Russia and CIS attribution, then we lowered net debt from SEK 193 million and moved actually into a net cash position of SEK 47 million, backed by the strong cash flows that we saw from operations. In Germany, working capital also decreased, as mentioned, again, driven much by lower inventories there from SEK 135 million to SEK 75 million. And that also contributed to a lower net debt position that we attribute to the German operations. So we came down there from SEK 340 million to SEK 280 million. Working capital, as a result of developments, both in Russia and in Germany, Russia/CIS and Germany, came down from 18% to -- last year to 10% in this quarter, and from a peak of 20% at the end of last year, so Q4 '19. Net debt overall decreased to SEK 230 million, which brought our net debt EBITDA metric down to 0.43x. And with that, we turn to the next slide, looking at our financial objectives, which you will be aware, our focus on growth in the business, and we're looking to triple our revenue in Russia/CIS by 2021. We have an operating margin target that we want to stick to in achieving that growth and also a leverage target to employ, again, to achieve the growth and the margins that we aim for. We currently stand at 2.2x the 2016 revenue. So still on our way. In terms of operating margin, 8.7%, so slightly above our target range there specifically. And in terms of net debt to EBITDA, 0.4, as mentioned there previously, so well within our range at the moment. And with that, I pass the word back to Lars to comment on the outlook that we see at the moment.

L
Lars Corneliusson
President, CEO, MD & Director

Yes. Thank you very much. I must say that that is not an easy thing to look forward now. Obviously, we understand that the short-term future is very uncertain. And we've seen the outbreak and the measures to contain the spread of COVID, of course, great uncertainty across our markets. And we believe that for the rest of 2020, at least, we may continue to face various degrees of disruption in supply, demand and customer interfacing. But looking ahead, we are confident that our business model, which is built on a great team and a robust aftermarket business, will remain resilient. We expect our markets to decline in 2020, but we hopefully think that we may have seen the lowest in the market and, in the longer, expecting we are positive. We believe that the underlying fundamentals of business opportunities in our markets are strong, so, that's what we think. It is uncertain future, but our business model is resilient to downturns. So if we turn to next page and summarize again. Yes, it was our best quarter-to-date, second quarter, I should say, to date, despite COVID-19. Unit sales in Russia, up; market -- with the market down sharply. We saw robust aftermarket and contracting services performance. Again, we managed to get out. We managed to service our customers even building restrictions and lockdowns in place. Operating profit up, and we saw good effects of our cost-saving measures in the quarter. Sales in Germany declined in line with markets, and we had strong operating cash flows and lower net debt. So by that, I hand over, I think, for question and answers.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Kenneth Toll from Carnegie.

K
Kenneth Toll Johansson
Financial Analyst

Yes. So I was wondering a bit on the working capital side, you brought that down quite significantly in this quarter. And last year, you had some negative effects on working capital from -- well, taking over the German operations at the end of the year and also taking over imports of products to Russia and so on. So do you think that the current level of net working capital to sales at around 10%, is that what you believe you need to drive operations going forward? Is it a normal level now?

E
Erik Danemar
Group CFO & Head of Investor Relations

Ken, thanks for the question. I think we did communicate in the past year, the transition that we had when we took over importation from Volvo, that was one factor that impacted our working capital and increased a bit. We said that that would be a transition. So yes, I think we are back at levels, which we think are more sustainable going forward. Working capital will, in our business, vary from quarter-to-quarter depending on order versus sales. But yes, I think these are more levels that we would expect to see in our business.

K
Kenneth Toll Johansson
Financial Analyst

And also on the inventory side, in the last quarter, you said that maybe there could be some supply issue in Russia since Volvo stopped production of construction machinery for a while. I mean now they do produce again, but do you feel that you have too low inventories in Russia right now in order to drive your sales there? Is that -- can that be a problem?

L
Lars Corneliusson
President, CEO, MD & Director

Well, we -- as you say, Ken, we did warn that that might happen in the last Q report. We managed to overcome that, as you've seen, and come more in balance with what we believe we need. So I wouldn't say that that would be a major factor as we see now, but we can't exclude anything, unfortunately. So -- but we -- as Erik said, I think we are reasonably well in balance going out to the quarter when it comes to the working capital and inventory situation.

K
Kenneth Toll Johansson
Financial Analyst

Okay. Great. Then you took a lot of market shares on excavators in Russia. What was the reason for that? Did other competitors have a hard time delivering? Or were you too generous in pricing?

L
Lars Corneliusson
President, CEO, MD & Director

No, I think the main reason, Ken, is, as we said, that our customers, the customer base that we have managed to attract and managed to keep and managed to retain and adds and grow are companies that continue to work when times get rough and they continue to invest in the future. And I think that's the main reason really. Our customers are simply stronger than some of our competitors' customers. And this is not something -- we've seen this before. We've seen that the premium brands, and then in particular, it's the most premium brand and the most premium service that we represent is benefiting because we have strong customers. We didn't see really any availability issues from -- in the market from our customer -- from our competitors. So it's more a customer mix thing, I think, yes.

K
Kenneth Toll Johansson
Financial Analyst

Okay. And then the final one for me. There have been a lot of money set off for large infrastructure projects in Russia, but there is a lot of turmoil in many respects with the COVID-19 and then the politically issues and so on. So do you think that those infrastructure projects will be delayed until you start moving dirt, so to say?

L
Lars Corneliusson
President, CEO, MD & Director

There has been a lot of talks about this recently also in Russia. And what we see is that the so-called National Projects, as such, will most likely -- that the time frame for the National Projects have been extended, which is one thing. I mean maybe it's more, what should I say, a reasonable time frame for them now. What we do see, however, which is positive, is that we see the projecting of the new roles to be built finalized, actually tendering processes starting. So we are, if anything, a bit more positive about the start of implementation today than we would have been -- than we were a quarter ago.

K
Kenneth Toll Johansson
Financial Analyst

So if the tender process is ongoing now, maybe the real construction work could start maybe early next year?

L
Lars Corneliusson
President, CEO, MD & Director

Yes, something like that, something like that. I think it will be -- it will not be as a massive one-off effect as the government planned before, but the plants are still there, and they are starting actually the real kind of implementation now in certain project.

K
Kenneth Toll Johansson
Financial Analyst

But maybe then the project stretch for longer and can support sales for a longer period instead of a massive surge at one point.

L
Lars Corneliusson
President, CEO, MD & Director

That's what we are hoping for, yes. And it looks likely to happen.

Operator

Our next question comes from Karl Bokvist from ABG.

K
Karl Bokvist
Analyst

My first question concerns the comment you made on that you believe we may have seen the lows. So I just want to get some clarity on that, if we're talking about units, if we're talking about sales levels and so on, for example. And then if you could perhaps relate this to the typical seasonality that we do see in your business where the second half is usually the stronger one compared to the first one in a normal year, so to say.

L
Lars Corneliusson
President, CEO, MD & Director

Yes. I mean when we're looking at the activity out there, we obviously look a lot at the utilization of machines and trucks. And we saw the utilization, both of trucks in Germany and machines in Russia, from low levels in the early start of the quarter, to increase towards the end of the quarter and through July. And that gives us hope to believe that the lows or cost, we're not saying that we are sure about this, we hope and we believe that that might be the case. Seasonality-wise, usually, actually, Q2 is usually a good quarter for our sales in Russia because of season starting and winter is over, and now you can start putting asphalt. You can build roads again. And Q4 is usually also a strong quarter in terms of volumes in Russia, albeit for different reasons. So I can't really give any forecast for how much up and downs it will be. But we do believe that as for the market, at least, we hope that the lows were in Q2.

K
Karl Bokvist
Analyst

Yes. Understood. That was kind of the short-term part of my question really that usually Q3 is a smaller quarter than Q2. Would just be interesting, your thoughts on this, given that we had a quite interesting second quarter, to say the least.

L
Lars Corneliusson
President, CEO, MD & Director

Yes. Well, I mean, I'm hoping that our outlook is right and that the Q2 was the low, but I cannot say, there is long time to know, but that would be the logical conclusion.

K
Karl Bokvist
Analyst

Understood. And then on the -- if we talk a bit about profitability here. I know that you mentioned before that you -- apart from selling prices and mix on the gross margin side, you're, of course, taking some investments, not on the CapEx line, but on the OpEx line. So just the status really on where we are in terms of the investment programs. And also that you said that you might see some delays in the German strategic transformation, so to say, what your view is currently.

L
Lars Corneliusson
President, CEO, MD & Director

Well, I mean, we are -- of course, the pandemic has made it more difficult and indeed did make cause delays in the implementation of certain changes and implementation of new processes that we were planning to do in Germany. We are doing it. We are implementing changes. And it's just taking a bit more efforts and a bit more time. So I don't think from a middle-term perspective, that that will have much effect. I hope we will catch up what has not been done in Q2 for obvious reasons. And then I mean, going forward, we are to invest in mainly into Germany. We want to invest. We should expand our aftermarket business in Germany. That is the way we are planning to do change in Germany and move into profitable business. We want to get closer to a customer, increase our share of our automotive business, and that impact will entail and it's going to entail investments into upgrading the network and into customer relations. And we also want to continue to invest and expand our contracting business, contracting services business in Russia. And as you can see, it's growing nicely, but we want to expand our business for many reasons, both because we are getting closer to our customers. We're getting full -- part of the aftermarket, so to speak. But we're also -- it's also a way to show and learn about how are the customers are doing, and we can apply that knowledge very well into our so-called dealer businesses. So we are going to invest. There is no question about that.

K
Karl Bokvist
Analyst

Understood. Two final questions for me. The first one relates to your comment on the -- how you expect the markets to decline in 2020 still. Just out of interest, are we talking about your addressable market, which means, for example, the addressable market that actually declined 40% in Q2 while your new units increased? Or are you sort of relating this to your view on your new unit sales?

L
Lars Corneliusson
President, CEO, MD & Director

No. I mean what we're saying is that we believe about the overall market that it's going to decline in 2020 if we compare to 2019.

K
Karl Bokvist
Analyst

All right. And my final one is can you please remind me here. Do you -- because I think you suggested that you might reconvene later this fall with an extra general meeting or a similar kind of event to potentially distribute a dividend. So that was the first part of my question. And then the second part, do you need to seek a new mandate? Or do you already have it in case you would like to start to buy back shares?

E
Erik Danemar
Group CFO & Head of Investor Relations

Well, thank you, Karl, for the question. But no, I mean, there's been no such communication. So I mean, it's really up to the Board to decide on such matters. So I think so -- and the same goes for any potential other way of distributing profits. So with regards to your question on potential buybacks, that would also be something that would be referred to the Board for them to make decision. So nothing communicated on that, Karl.

Operator

Thank you. And now there appears to be no further questions, I will turn the conference to you.

E
Erik Danemar
Group CFO & Head of Investor Relations

I have one question coming in from the e-mails. And that is with regards, again, to our market share gains in Russia. And I hope for the one who answer that -- or sorry, asked that question that we have addressed that in terms of the answer that Lars provided. If not, then please elaborate on the question further on the call, and we can address in even more detail. All right. If there are no further questions, then we thank everybody for taking time and taking interest in our company.

L
Lars Corneliusson
President, CEO, MD & Director

Yes. Thank you very much for listening in, and I hope to do the same -- you do the same next quarter when we present the Q3. So thank you very much. Bye-bye.

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