China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
HKEX:1866
Intrinsic Value
China XLX Fertiliser Ltd. is an investment holding company, which engages in trading, manufacture, and distribution of fertilizer. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
stock under the Base Case scenario is
21.48
HKD.
Compared to the current market price of 3.65 HKD,
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
is
Undervalued by 83%.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd could be a value trap.A value trap occurs when a stock looks inexpensive based on fundamental analysis but fails to reach its intrinsic valuation over time, often due to underlying issues not reflected in quantitative data.
Scrutinize beyond numbers; assess long-term potential.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's market capitalization is 4.4B HKD.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd stock price is 3.65 HKD.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd stock price (3.65 HKD) is 83% less than its Intrinsic Value (21.48 HKD).
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd stock price (3.65 HKD) is 85% less than its DCF Value (25.03 HKD). Open DCF Valuation
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd stock price (3.65 HKD) is 80% less than its Relative Value (17.93 HKD). Open Relative Valuation
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd has upside potential of 44% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's Revenue has grown by 2% over the past 12 months.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's D/E (Debt to Equity) is equal to 1.07.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 8%.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 9%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from 5% to 8%.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 7% per year over the next 3 years.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 16%.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's ROE (Return on Equity) has increased in the last 3 years from 8% to 16%.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's long-term assets (29B CNY) exceed its long-term liabilties (21B CNY).
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 20%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 31% per year for the last 3 years.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's short-term liabilties (10B CNY) exceed its short-term assets (6B CNY).
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 1.3.
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (8B CNY) than cash and short-term investments (1B CNY).
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd generates enough operating income (3B CNY) to cover interest payments on its debt (662m CNY).
Valuation Backtest
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
| Current Assets | 5.6B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.2B |
| Receivables | 1.2B |
| Other Current Assets | 3.2B |
| Non-Current Assets | 23.6B |
| Long-Term Investments | 137.6m |
| PP&E | 22.8B |
| Intangibles | 365.2m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 229.5m |
| Current Liabilities | 10.4B |
| Accounts Payable | 1.4B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 2.1B |
| Short-Term Debt | 939.1m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 6B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 11B |
| Long-Term Debt | 7.3B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
|
Revenue
|
23.5B
CNY
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-19.3B
CNY
|
|
Gross Profit
|
4.2B
CNY
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1.7B
CNY
|
|
Operating Income
|
2.5B
CNY
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-1.3B
CNY
|
|
Net Income
|
1.2B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
What is Free Cash Flow?
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's solvency score is 29/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd's solvency score is 29/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
is 5.26 HKD
with a low forecast of 5.21 HKD and a high forecast of 5.42 HKD.
Shareholder Return
Price
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 25.79% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 74.44% |
| Max Drawdown | -64% |
| Market Capitalization | 4.4B HKD |
| Shares Outstanding | 1 218 763 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
China XLX Fertiliser Ltd. is an investment holding company, which engages in trading, manufacture, and distribution of fertilizer. The company is headquartered in Xinxiang, Henan. The company went IPO on 2009-12-08. The firm operates its business through four segments: Manufacturing and Sale of Urea, Manufacturing and Sale of Compound Fertilizer, Manufacturing and Sale of Methanol and Manufacturing and Sale of Other Products. Other products include furfuryl alcohol, crude methanol, liquid ammonia and ammonia solution. Through its subsidiaries, the Company is also engaged in mining and sale of coal.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
stock under the Base Case scenario is
21.48
HKD.
Compared to the current market price of 3.65 HKD,
China Xlx Fertiliser Ltd
is
Undervalued by 83%.
You don't have any saved screeners yet
