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Intrinsic Value

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc undervalued or overvalued?

See the intrinsic value estimate for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc and find out whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive by its own historical standards.

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc Intrinsic Value
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Today vs. history

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc looks undervalued.
But is it cheap by its own standards?

See how today’s valuation compares with ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc’s past valuations and how the stock performed after similar periods.

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Intrinsic Value Locked
Current Price HK$158.1
Margin of Safety 20% Locked
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Fundamental Analysis

What ZTO Express (Cayman) Does

Logistics & Transportation Industrials

ZTO Express is a Chinese parcel delivery company that moves packages for e-commerce sellers, brands, and individual customers. It runs a nationwide express network built around sorting centers, line-haul transport, and local delivery partners, so it sits in the middle of the package journey rather than handling every delivery by itself. Its core job is to get high volumes of small parcels from merchants to households and pickup points quickly and reliably.

Headquarters
China CN
Employees
23 399
IPO date
Oct 27, 2016
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ZTO Express (Cayman) has no economic moat

No Moat Narrow Wide

Shippers can send ordinary parcels through several competing nationwide carriers, and ZTO’s network does not make customers dependent on it. With alternatives such as YTO, STO, Yunda, J&T, SF Express, JD Logistics and China Post competing for similar deliveries, neither customer lock-in nor a brand that reliably commands higher prices keeps rivals out.

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Financials
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

Wall St Price Targets

Capital Returns

Buyback Yield
LOCKED
Debt Paydown Yield
LOCKED

Competitive Landscape

What is the Intrinsic Value of one ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc stock?

The intrinsic value for ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (2057) under the Base Case is hidden HKD.

Is ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared with the current market price of 158.1 HKD, the stock appears hidden.

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