China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
HKEX:2319
Intrinsic Value
China Mengniu Dairy Co., Ltd. is an investment holding company, which engages in the manufacture and distribution of dairy products. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
stock under the Base Case scenario is
37.43
HKD.
Compared to the current market price of 15.8 HKD,
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
is
Undervalued by 58%.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's market capitalization is 62.2B HKD.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd stock price is 15.8 HKD.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd stock price (15.8 HKD) is 58% less than its Intrinsic Value (37.43 HKD).
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd stock price (15.8 HKD) is 47% less than its DCF Value (29.73 HKD). Open DCF Valuation
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd stock price (15.8 HKD) is 65% less than its Relative Value (45.12 HKD). Open Relative Valuation
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd has upside potential of 81% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's ROE (Return on Equity) has increased in the last 3 years from 11% to 11%.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has increased in the last 3 years from 5% to 6%.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 11%.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's short-term assets (34B CNY) exceed its short-term liabilties (33B CNY).
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's Revenue has grown by 7% over the past 12 months.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 6% per year over the next 3 years.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 6%.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (28B CNY) than cash and short-term investments (21B CNY).
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 14%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's Revenue has been growing by 9% per year for the last 3 years.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 6%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's long-term assets (115B CNY) exceed its long-term liabilties (71B CNY).
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's Altman Z-Score is equal to 2.07.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.62.
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd generates enough operating income (6B CNY) to cover interest payments on its debt (848m CNY).
Valuation Backtest
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
Balance Sheet Decomposition
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
| Current Assets | 34.1B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 21B |
| Receivables | 3.7B |
| Other Current Assets | 9.5B |
| Non-Current Assets | 81.1B |
| Long-Term Investments | 30.6B |
| PP&E | 26.8B |
| Intangibles | 21.6B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 2.1B |
| Current Liabilities | 32.6B |
| Accounts Payable | 9.5B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 23.1B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 38.3B |
| Long-Term Debt | 27.6B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 10.7B |
Earnings Waterfall
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
|
Revenue
|
98.6B
CNY
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-62B
CNY
|
|
Gross Profit
|
36.6B
CNY
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-30.4B
CNY
|
|
Operating Income
|
6.2B
CNY
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-1.4B
CNY
|
|
Net Income
|
4.8B
CNY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's profitability score is 51/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
Price Targets Summary
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
is 28.66 HKD
with a low forecast of 18.38 HKD and a high forecast of 43.58 HKD.
Shareholder Return
Price
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
| Average Annual Return | 10.14% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 29.97% |
| Max Drawdown | -70% |
| Market Capitalization | 62.3B HKD |
| Shares Outstanding | 3 948 108 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
China Mengniu Dairy Co., Ltd. is an investment holding company, which engages in the manufacture and distribution of dairy products. The products include liquid milk products (such as milk beverages and yogurt), ice cream, milk formula and other products (such as cheese). The firm's subsidiaries include Mengniu (China) Investment Company Limited, China Mengniu International Co., Ltd. and Plant Base Limited. Through its subsidiaries, the Company is also engaged in the manufacture and sale of plant-based beverages.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
stock under the Base Case scenario is
37.43
HKD.
Compared to the current market price of 15.8 HKD,
China Mengniu Dairy Co Ltd
is
Undervalued by 58%.
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