New City Development Group Ltd
HKEX:456
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of New City Development Group Ltd (456) under the Base Case is 0.152 HKD per share. Compared with the current market price of 0.555 HKD, the stock appears Overvalued by 73% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. Net margin recovers from -348% last year to 19% by 2031. Revenue grows about 2% a year over the next five years, less than a third of its five-year pace of 6%. The forecast years subtract value, so the estimate rests entirely on the years after 2031.
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Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What New City Development Group Does
New City Development Group Ltd is a property company that builds, sells, and often holds residential and commercial real estate. Its work usually starts with acquiring land or development rights, then planning and constructing projects that can be sold to homebuyers, businesses, or other property investors. In simple terms, it makes money by turning land and development expertise into finished buildings and real estate assets.
- Headquarters
- Hong Kong HK
- Employees
- 46
- IPO date
- Jul 14, 1993
Earnings Waterfall
New City Development Group Ltd
What is the Intrinsic Value of one New City Development Group Ltd stock?
The intrinsic value for New City Development Group Ltd (456) under the Base Case is 0.152 HKD.
Is New City Development Group Ltd stock undervalued or overvalued?
Compared with the current market price of 0.555 HKD, the stock appears Overvalued by 73% .