Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS
IST:BAGFS.E
Intrinsic Value
Bagfas Bandirma Gübre Fabrikalari AS engages in the production of chemical fertilizers for the agricultural sector. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
BAGFS.E
stock under the Base Case scenario is
14.03
TRY.
Compared to the current market price of 26.5 TRY,
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS
is
Overvalued by 47%.
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS's market capitalization is 3.6B TRY.
BAGFS.E stock price is 26.5 TRY.
BAGFS.E stock (14.03 TRY) is 47% less than its price (26.5 TRY).
BAGFS.E stock price (26.5 TRY) is 4% less than its Relative Value (27.51 TRY). Open Relative Valuation
BAGFS.E has downside potential of 68% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
BAGFS.E has negative Operating Income for the last twelve months.
BAGFS.E's short-term assets (3B TRY) exceed its short-term liabilties (2B TRY).
BAGFS.E has negative Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
BAGFS.E has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
BAGFS.E has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
BAGFS.E has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (3B TRY) than cash and short-term investments (1B TRY).
BAGFS.E's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from 6% to -12%.
BAGFS.E's Revenue has dropped by 61% over the past 12 months.
BAGFS.E's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from -9% to -47%, and is approaching profitability.
BAGFS.E's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -12%.
BAGFS.E's long-term assets (9B TRY) exceed its long-term liabilties (4B TRY).
BAGFS.E's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.58.
BAGFS.E's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -47%.
BAGFS.E's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 41% per year for the last 3 years.
BAGFS.E has very high three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 32%. The company is very efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
BAGFS.E's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 1.39.
BAGFS.E has very high three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 58%. The company is very efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
BAGFS.E doesn't generate enough operating income (-993m TRY) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (146m TRY).
Valuation Backtest
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
BAGFS.E
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS
| Current Assets | 2.8B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 1.1B |
| Receivables | 75.2m |
| Other Current Assets | 1.6B |
| Non-Current Assets | 6.3B |
| Long-Term Investments | 6.3m |
| PP&E | 5.4B |
| Intangibles | 1.8m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 818.9m |
| Current Liabilities | 2.2B |
| Accounts Payable | 227.4m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 1.5m |
| Short-Term Debt | 1.4B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 563.1m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 2.2B |
| Long-Term Debt | 1.3B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 837.3m |
Earnings Waterfall
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS
|
Revenue
|
2.9B
TRY
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-3.6B
TRY
|
|
Gross Profit
|
-704.5m
TRY
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-288.1m
TRY
|
|
Operating Income
|
-992.7m
TRY
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-514.6m
TRY
|
|
Net Income
|
-1.5B
TRY
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS
BAGFS.E Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS's profitability score is 54/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
BAGFS.E Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
BAGFS.E Price Targets Summary
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
BAGFS.E
is 8.38 TRY
.
Shareholder Return
BAGFS.E Price
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS
| Average Annual Return | 126.68% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 82.15% |
| Max Drawdown | -55% |
| Market Capitalization | 3.6B TRY |
| Shares Outstanding | 135 000 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Bagfas Bandirma Gübre Fabrikalari AS engages in the production of chemical fertilizers for the agricultural sector. The firm offers a range of products organized in two primary categories: Acids, comprised of sulphuric and phosphoric acids, and Fertilizers, including triple phosphate (TAP), diammonium phosphate (DAP), potassium (NPK) and crystal ammonium sulfate. The company also supplies such fertilizers as urea, ammonium nitrate and calcium-ammonium nitrate (CAN). In addition, Bagfas provides customized fertilizers. Among its subsidiaries are Badetas Bandirma Deniz Tasimaciligi A.S., T. Gubre Fabrikalari A.S. and Bagfas Teknik Muteahhitlik Ltd. Sti. The Company’s products are sold domestically, as well as marketed to foreign countries, such as Italy, Romania, Greece, Croatia, Ireland, Spain, Uruguay, Nigeria and Brazil. Bagfas Integrated Fertilizer Plants are located on the south coast of the Sea of Marmara, between Bandirma and Erdek.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
BAGFS.E
stock under the Base Case scenario is
14.03
TRY.
Compared to the current market price of 26.5 TRY,
Bagfas Bandirma Gubre Fabrikalari AS
is
Overvalued by 47%.
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