Hotel Chocolat Group PLC
LSE:HOTC
Intrinsic Value
Hotel Chocolat Group Plc engages in the manufacture and retail of chocolate and related products. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
HOTC
stock under the Base Case scenario is
189.05
GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 374 GBX,
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC
is
Overvalued by 49%.
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC's market capitalization is 514.4m GBX.
HOTC stock price is 374 GBX.
HOTC stock (189.05 GBX) is 49% less than its price (374 GBX).
HOTC stock (267.76 GBX) is 28% less than its price (374 GBX). Open Relative Valuation
HOTC has downside potential of 26% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
HOTC's Altman Z-Score is equal to 2.54.
HOTC has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 11%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
HOTC has negative Operating Income for the last twelve months.
HOTC's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 6% per year over the next 3 years.
HOTC's Revenue has dropped by 10% over the past 12 months.
HOTC's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -2%.
HOTC's short-term assets (62m GBP) exceed its short-term liabilties (40m GBP).
HOTC's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -7%.
HOTC has negative Net Income for the last twelve months.
HOTC has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
HOTC's long-term assets (174m GBP) exceed its long-term liabilties (80m GBP).
HOTC has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (37m GBP) than cash and short-term investments (11m GBP).
HOTC has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -5%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
HOTC has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
HOTC's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.4.
HOTC doesn't generate enough operating income (-3m GBP) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (3m GBP).
Valuation Backtest
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
HOTC
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC
| Current Assets | 61.5m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 11.2m |
| Receivables | 6.9m |
| Other Current Assets | 43.4m |
| Non-Current Assets | 112.1m |
| Long-Term Investments | 125k |
| PP&E | 110.7m |
| Intangibles | 1.3m |
| Current Liabilities | 39.5m |
| Accounts Payable | 13.5m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 12.3m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 13.8m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 40.6m |
| Long-Term Debt | 37.3m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 3.3m |
Earnings Waterfall
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC
|
Revenue
|
204.5m
GBP
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-85.3m
GBP
|
|
Gross Profit
|
119.2m
GBP
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-122.2m
GBP
|
|
Operating Income
|
-3m
GBP
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-3.3m
GBP
|
|
Net Income
|
-6.2m
GBP
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC
What is Free Cash Flow?
HOTC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC's profitability score is 44/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
HOTC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
HOTC Price Targets Summary
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
HOTC
is 277.5 GBX
.
Shareholder Return
HOTC Price
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC
| Average Annual Return | -6.02% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 43.22% |
| Max Drawdown | -81% |
| Market Capitalization | 514.4m GBX |
| Shares Outstanding | 137 622 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 52% |
Company Profile
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Hotel Chocolat Group Plc engages in the manufacture and retail of chocolate and related products. The company is headquartered in Royston, Hertfordshire and currently employs 1,499 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2016-05-10. The firm is engaged in the manufacturing and retailing of chocolate in the United Kingdom and overseas. The Company’s geographical location includes the United Kingdom, Europe and Rest of World. The firm offers chocolates under the brand, Hotel Chocolat. Its United Kingdom (UK) market is focused on UK Physical, which includes stores, cafes, and restaurants; UK Digital, which includes online sales that are subscriptions, and UK Partners and business-to-business (B2B) market is focused on wholesale and partners. International market include overseas locations, including the United States, Ireland and Japan. Its Cacao estate and hotel includes a cacao farm and hotel in Saint Lucia. The Company’s wholly owned subsidiaries include HOTC Limited, Hotel Chocolat Limited, The Chocolate Tasting Club Ltd, Hotel Chocolat UK Holdings Ltd, HC International Limited, Hotel Chocolat Inc and Hotel Chocolat (St Lucia) Holdings Limited.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
HOTC
stock under the Base Case scenario is
189.05
GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 374 GBX,
Hotel Chocolat Group PLC
is
Overvalued by 49%.
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