Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC
LSE:NOG
Intrinsic Value
Nostrum Oil & Gas Plc operates as a holding company which engages in the production, development, and exploration of oil and gas in the pre-Caspian Basin. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
NOG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
49.44
GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 5.53 GBX,
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC
is
Undervalued by 89%.
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC's market capitalization is 9.4m GBX.
NOG stock price is 5.53 GBX.
NOG stock price (5.53 GBX) is 89% less than its Intrinsic Value (49.44 GBX).
NOG. Open DCF Valuation
NOG has upside potential of 131% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
NOG's long-term liabilties (596m USD) exceed its long-term assets (531m USD).
NOG's Revenue has dropped by 28% over the past 12 months.
NOG has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (471m USD) than cash and short-term investments (172m USD).
NOG's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -10%.
NOG's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from 52% to -352%.
NOG's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from -42% to -10%, and is approaching profitability.
NOG has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
NOG has negative Operating Income for the last twelve months.
NOG has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
NOG's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -352%.
NOG's Revenue has been falling by 19% per year for the last 3 years.
NOG's Revenue is forecast to fall at a rate of 25% per year over the next 3 years.
NOG has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
NOG has negative three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): -443%. The company is not efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
NOG has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): -30%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
NOG's short-term assets (229m USD) exceed its short-term liabilties (55m USD).
NOG's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to -7.25.
NOG's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to -0.09.
NOG doesn't generate enough operating income (-36m USD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (28m USD).
Valuation Backtest
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
NOG
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC
| Current Assets | 228.6m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 171.7m |
| Receivables | 23m |
| Other Current Assets | 33.9m |
| Non-Current Assets | 302.5m |
| PP&E | 276.7m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 25.8m |
| Current Liabilities | 54.7m |
| Accounts Payable | 9.2m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 27.9m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 17.6m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 541.4m |
| Long-Term Debt | 471m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 70.4m |
Earnings Waterfall
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC
|
Revenue
|
150.3m
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-98m
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
52.3m
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-87.8m
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
-35.5m
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
1.7B
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
1.7B
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC
What is Free Cash Flow?
NOG Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC's profitability score is 31/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC's profitability score is 31/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
NOG Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC's solvency score is 40/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
NOG Price Targets Summary
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
NOG
is 12.75 GBX
with a low forecast of 12.63 GBX and a high forecast of 13.13 GBX.
Shareholder Return
NOG Price
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC
| Average Annual Return | -52.4% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 23.55% |
| Max Drawdown | -99% |
| Market Capitalization | 9.4m GBX |
| Shares Outstanding | 169 087 112 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted |
N/A
|
Company Profile
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Nostrum Oil & Gas Plc operates as a holding company which engages in the production, development, and exploration of oil and gas in the pre-Caspian Basin. The company is headquartered in Amsterdam, Noord-Holland and currently employs 538 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2008-04-03. The firm is engaged in the production, development and exploration of oil and gas in the pre-Caspian Basin. The firm's range of products includes crude oil, stabilized liquid condensate, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) and dry gas. The company has invested in developing its own infrastructure to control the transportation of its products to serves a network of destinations and off-takers. The operational facilities of Nostrum Oil & Gas are located in Chinarevskoye field. The firm has three fields in north-western Kazakhstan that offers direct operational synergies, such as the Rostoshinskoye field, the Darzhinskoye field, and the Yuzhno-Gremyachenskoye field. Nostrum indirectly holds a 100% interest in Zhaikmunai LLP, which is engaged in the exploration, production and sale of hydrocarbons from the Chinarevskoye field in north-west Kazakhstan.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
NOG
stock under the Base Case scenario is
49.44
GBX.
Compared to the current market price of 5.53 GBX,
Nostrum Oil & Gas PLC
is
Undervalued by 89%.
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