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Ocado Group PLC
LSE:OCDO

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Ocado Group PLC Logo
Ocado Group PLC
LSE:OCDO
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Price: 460.2717 GBX -1.34%
Updated: Mar 28, 2024

Intrinsic Value

OCDO's intrinsic value estimate is unreliable because it is based only on its multiples and doesn't use a DCF valuation.

Ocado Group Plc engages in the operation of online grocery supermarket. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one OCDO stock under the Base Case scenario is 238.445 GBX. Compared to the current market price of 460.2717 GBX, Ocado Group PLC is Overvalued by 48%.

Key Points:
OCDO Intrinsic Value
Base Case
238.445 GBX
Overvaluation 48%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Ocado Group PLC

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Fundamental Analysis

Ocado's H1 Financial Results Reflect Growth
2023-Q1 Earnings Call

Ocado's H1 Financial Results Reflect Growth

In the first half of Financial Year 2023, Ocado made strategic advances, particularly in driving EBITDA, cash flow, and reducing costs. Their financial guidance remains unchanged, signaling confidence. Revenue grew by 9% to £1.371 billion, EBITDA improved by £31 million to a profit of £17 million, and cash flow improved by £108 million. The Technology Solutions segment experienced a 59% revenue increase, which drove positive EBITDA. Ocado's focus on partner success, operational progress, and cost discipline has resulted in a robust cash position of £1 billion and liquidity of £1.3 billion.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ocado Group PLC

Current Assets 1.4B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 928.5m
Receivables 376.9m
Other Current Assets 132.1m
Non-Current Assets 3B
Long-Term Investments 96.8m
PP&E 2.2B
Intangibles 619.9m
Other Non-Current Assets 51.8m
Current Liabilities 576.8m
Accounts Payable 468.4m
Other Current Liabilities 108.4m
Non-Current Liabilities 2.4B
Long-Term Debt 1.9B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 460.4m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Ocado Group PLC

Revenue
2.8B GBP
Operating Expenses
-3.4B GBP
Operating Income
-563.2m GBP
Other Expenses
249.2m GBP
Net Income
-314m GBP

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ocado Group PLC

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
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Table
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Fundamental Scores

OCDO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Ocado Group PLC's profitability score is 21/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
Positive 1-Year Revenue Growth
Declining ROIC
21/100
Profitability
Score

Ocado Group PLC's profitability score is 21/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

OCDO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Ocado Group PLC's solvency score is 37/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
Average D/E
37/100
Solvency
Score

Ocado Group PLC's solvency score is 37/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

OCDO Price Targets Summary
Ocado Group PLC

Wall Street analysts forecast OCDO stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OCDO is 824.5523 GBX with a low forecast of 373.7 GBX and a high forecast of 3 045 GBX.

Lowest
Price Target
373.7 GBX
19% Downside
Average
Price Target
824.5523 GBX
79% Upside
Highest
Price Target
3 045 GBX
562% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Shareholder Return

OCDO Price
Ocado Group PLC

1M 1M
-6%
6M 6M
-21%
1Y 1Y
+4%
3Y 3Y
-78%
5Y 5Y
-66%
10Y 10Y
-1%
Annual Price Range
460.2717
52w Low
343.4
52w High
976.4
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return -3.1%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 63.81%
Max Drawdown -88%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 3.8B GBX
Shares Outstanding 818 225 024
Percentage of Shares Shorted 406%

OCDO Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

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OCDO News

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Last Important Events
Ocado Group PLC

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Sentiment Analysis
Ocado Group PLC

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Company Profile

Ocado Group PLC Logo
Ocado Group PLC

Country

United Kingdom

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

3.8B GBP

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Ocado Group Plc engages in the operation of online grocery supermarket. The company is headquartered in Hatfield, Hertfordshire and currently employs 19,347 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2010-07-21. The firm's principal activities are grocery retailing and the development and monetization of Intellectual Property (IP) and technology used for online grocery retailing, fulfilment, logistics and services in the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, Australia and Japan. Its segments include Retail, UK Solutions & Logistics and International Solutions. The Retail segment provides online grocery and general merchandise offerings to customers within the United Kingdom, and comprises the Ocado Retail joint venture. The UK Solutions & Logistics segment provides the IT platform, CFCs and logistics for customers in the United Kingdom. The International Solutions segment provides end-to-end online retail solutions to corporate customers outside the United Kingdom. The firm's Ocado Smart Platform combines its end-to-end solution for operating online in the grocery market.

Contact

HERTFORDSHIRE
Hatfield
1 Trident Place, Hatfield Business Park, Mosquito Way
+441707227800.0
http://www.ocadogroup.com/

IPO

2010-07-21

Employees

19 347

Officers

CEO & Executive Director
Mr. Timothy Steiner O.B.E.
CFO & Executive Director
Mr. Stephen Wayne Daintith FCA
Group General Counsel & Company Secretary
Mr. Neill Abrams BA, LLB (Wits), LLM
Communications Director
Mr. David M. Shriver
Chief People Officer
Ms. Claire Ainscough
Senior Vice President of North America - Ocado Solutions
Mr. David Hardiman-Evans
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Deputy Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Andrew Page
Managing Director of Ocado Logistics
Mr. Brian McClory
CEO of Ocado Technology
Mr. James Matthews
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one OCDO stock?

The intrinsic value of one OCDO stock under the Base Case scenario is 238.445 GBX.

Is OCDO stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 460.2717 GBX, Ocado Group PLC is Overvalued by 48%.