Talgo SA
MAD:TLGO
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Intrinsic Value
The intrinsic value of 
Talgo SA (TLGO) under the Base Case is 2.746 EUR per share.
Compared with the current market price of 2.185 EUR, the stock appears
Undervalued by 20% .
The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. Net margin recovers from -16% last year to 2.7% by 2033. Revenue grows about 13% a year over the next five years, about three times its five-year pace of 5%. The forecast years subtract value, so the estimate rests entirely on the years after 2033.
Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .
Cheap or expensive for this stock?
This block shows whether today’s valuation is cheap or expensive compared with the stock’s own history, and what happened after similar valuations in the past.
We compare the gap between the stock’s price and our estimated value over time.
- Undervalued can still be historically expensive. The stock may trade below our estimated value, but usually offer an even bigger discount.
- Overvalued can still be historically cheap. The stock may trade above our estimated value, but usually carry an even higher premium.
Market expectations can differ from our model, which may not fully capture everything affecting the price. That is why some stocks regularly trade above our estimated value and others below it.
The scale and chart show how today’s valuation compares with the past. The cards summarize past returns and waiting times until the stock stopped being cheap or expensive. This can happen because the price changed, our estimated value changed, or both.
Only completed periods are included. These are past results, not forecasts. The usual historical range does not necessarily mean fair value.
Fundamental Analysis
What Talgo Does
Talgo makes trains and train-related services. It designs and builds passenger rolling stock such as high-speed trains, intercity trains, commuter trains, and locomotives, then supports those fleets with maintenance, spare parts, and long-term service contracts. Its customers are mainly national and regional rail operators, public transport agencies, and sometimes leasing firms that buy trains for railway networks.
- Headquarters
- Spain ES
- Employees
- 3 594
- IPO date
- May 7, 2015
Earnings Waterfall
Talgo SA
What is the Intrinsic Value of one TLGO stock?
The intrinsic value for Talgo SA (TLGO) under the Base Case is 2.746 EUR.
Is TLGO stock undervalued or overvalued?
Compared with the current market price of 2.185 EUR, the stock appears Undervalued by 20% .
