American Airlines Group Inc
NASDAQ:AAL
Intrinsic Value
American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
AAL
stock under the Base Case scenario is
39.76
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 13.82 USD,
American Airlines Group Inc
is
Undervalued by 65%.
American Airlines Group Inc's market capitalization is 9B USD.
AAL stock price is 13.82 USD.
AAL stock price (13.82 USD) is 65% less than its Intrinsic Value (39.76 USD).
AAL stock price (13.82 USD) is 62% less than its Relative Value (36.57 USD). Open Relative Valuation
AAL has upside potential of 29% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
AAL's Revenue has grown by 8% over the past 12 months.
AAL's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 5% per year over the next 3 years.
AAL's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 6%.
AAL's long-term liabilties (68B USD) exceed its long-term assets (63B USD).
AAL's ROE (Return on Equity) has significantly decreased in the last 3 years from 149% to -15%.
AAL's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has significantly increased in the last 3 years from -19% to 6%.
AAL's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is negative and is equal to -15%.
AAL's short-term liabilties (22B USD) exceed its short-term assets (14B USD).
AAL has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
AAL has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
AAL has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (29B USD) than cash and short-term investments (8B USD).
AAL has negative three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): -4%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
AAL has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
AAL's Revenue has been growing by an exceptional 45% per year for the last 3 years.
AAL has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
AAL has very high three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 43%. The company is very efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
AAL's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to -5.63.
AAL's Altman Z-Score is very low and is equal to 0.63.
AAL generates enough operating income (4B USD) to cover interest payments on its debt (2B USD).
Valuation Backtest
American Airlines Group Inc
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
AAL
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
American Airlines Group Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
American Airlines Group Inc
| Current Assets | 13.6B |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 8.4B |
| Receivables | 2B |
| Other Current Assets | 3.2B |
| Non-Current Assets | 49.5B |
| Long-Term Investments | 541m |
| PP&E | 38.7B |
| Intangibles | 6.1B |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 4.1B |
| Current Liabilities | 22.1B |
| Accounts Payable | 2.4B |
| Accrued Liabilities | 6.4B |
| Other Current Liabilities | 13.3B |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 46.2B |
| Long-Term Debt | 29.3B |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 16.9B |
Earnings Waterfall
American Airlines Group Inc
|
Revenue
|
52.8B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-19.8B
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
33B
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-28.9B
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
4B
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-3.2B
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
822m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
American Airlines Group Inc
AAL Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
American Airlines Group Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
American Airlines Group Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
AAL Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
American Airlines Group Inc's solvency score is 33/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
American Airlines Group Inc's solvency score is 33/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
AAL Price Targets Summary
American Airlines Group Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
AAL
is 17.85 USD
with a low forecast of 12.12 USD and a high forecast of 24.15 USD.
Ownership
AAL Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
|
|
| 9 Months |
|
|
|
| 12 Months |
|
|
|
Shareholder Return
AAL Price
American Airlines Group Inc
| Average Annual Return | -17% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 30.95% |
| Max Drawdown | -74% |
| Market Capitalization | 9.1B USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 657 079 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 7.03% |
AAL News
Last Important Events
American Airlines Group Inc
Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.
Sentiment Analysis
American Airlines Group Inc
Company Profile
American Airlines Group Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The company is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas and currently employs 123,400 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2013-12-09. The firm's primary business activity is the operation of a network air carrier, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo. The firm operates through American segment, which provides air transportation for passengers and cargo. Together with its regional airline subsidiaries and third-party regional carriers operating as American Eagle, its primary business activity is the operation of network air carrier, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix and Washington, District of Columbia (D.C.) and partner gateways, including in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney and Tokyo. The firm's subsidiaries include American Airlines, Inc. (American), Envoy Aviation Group Inc. (Envoy), PSA Airlines, Inc. (PSA) and Piedmont Airlines, Inc. (Piedmont).
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
AAL
stock under the Base Case scenario is
39.76
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 13.82 USD,
American Airlines Group Inc
is
Undervalued by 65%.
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