Apellis Pharmaceuticals Inc

NASDAQ:APLS

Q3-2025 Earnings Call

[Operator]

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Apellis Pharmaceuticals Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call.

Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to [indiscernible], Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

[Unknown Executive]

Good morning, and thank you for joining us to discuss the Apellis' Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. With me on the call are Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Cedric Francois; Executive Vice President of Commercial, David Acheson; Chief Medical Officer, Dr. Caroline Bonnell; and Chief Financial Officer, Tim Sullivan. .

Before we begin, let me point out that we will be making forward-looking statements that are based on our current expectations and beliefs. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially. I encourage you to consult the risk factors discussed in our SEC filings for additional detail. Now I'll turn the call over to Cedric.

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Thank you, Eva. Before diving into our third quarter results and portfolio progress, I want to briefly highlight the unmet need that Apellis set out to tackle and why we are uniquely positioned to address that challenge. Apellis is a commercial stage biotech company targeting the over activation of the complement system and innate defense mechanism in the immune system that protects the body from acute infection and illness. .

However, when complement is chronically unregulated, there can be a devastating effect on 1 health, driving a broad range of serious, often life-threatening diseases. Most approved complements targeted therapeutics inhibit C5, a downstream protein in the complement cascade. By only blocking this target, C5 inhibitors do not affect the upstream activity that drives inflammation and tissue damage. Similarly, inhibitors of Factor B act earlier in the cascade and narrowly reducing alternative pathway amplification but allowing classical and lectin battery activity to persist leaving some disease activity unchecked. Apellis science is founded on a simple but powerful idea to address complement-driven diseases at their source by targeting C3 the central hub where all complement pathways converge. By doing this, we take a fundamentally different approach that enables comprehensive business control at route costs. For decades, the prevailing view was that C3 could not be effectively modulated because of its central role in immune defense.

Apellis solved this challenge by engineering [indiscernible] plant, a first-in-class C3 inhibitor that controls overactive complements while preserving essential immune function. The result is both a technological feed and drug design and a transformative clinical advancement for patients. This vision is what sets Apellis offers. We have mastered our core technology and redefined complement therapeutics. The scientific advantage underpins our success to date. Having now translated decades of innovation into 2 approved medicines across 4 serious diseases, Apellis is a commercial stage leader with a truly differentiated C3 platform.

SIFOVRI is the first ever treatment for geographic atrophy, having shown robust efficacy and slowing disease progression in the broadest patient population. And [indiscernible] has demonstrated best-in-class hemoglobin improvement in PNH and the ability to completely clear sent deposits from the kidney. Together, these achievements underscore our unprecedented clinical innovation and strengthen Apellis' competitive edge in complement sites. Turning now to our business results. The third quarter was a period of further progress where we continued to build on our strong performance. A key milestone was the FDA approval of MPD for the treatment of patients 12 years and older with C3 glomerulopathy or primary immune complex membranoproliferative [indiscernible] nephritis or ICM PGM. This approval expands the addressable market for MPD by approximately 5,000 patients and marked a breakthrough therapy that delivers meaningful results across the trifecta of key disease control measures, including proteinuria reduction, eGFR stabilization and substantial clearance of C3 deposits. With the broad label in hand, we are well positioned for launch in a space where physicians consistently note that efficacy will drive treatment decisions. David will share more on the launch progress shortly.

Moving to Slide 4. [indiscernible] [indiscernible] is a devastating disease that progressively and permanently robs patients of their vision. Unfortunately, in managing GA many retina specialists have adopted a wait-and-see approach. This pyros well-established clinical profile that demonstrated robust, sustained and increasing benefits with every other month dosing. Because of this, only about 10% of patients diagnosed with GA are treated with complement inhibitors today. In the near term, we expect a period of steady measured injection growth with the next inflection in growth to be driven by new tools and targeted market education initiatives that we plan to bring to market over the next 12 to 18 months. We believe these initiatives will reaccelerate the adoption of complement treatments and grow the overall GA market. Overall, our focus remains on leveraging our expertise in complement-mediated diseases, to positively affect the lives of people living with serious illnesses. With this in mind, we continue to maximize our market opportunities for [indiscernible], drive expansion for salivary and advance our pipeline.

I will now hand the call over to David for an update on our commercial activities. David?

[David Acheson, executive]

Thank you, Cedric, and good morning, everyone. I'll start with EMPAVELI and the recent approval in C3G and primary IC-MPGN. We are now 2 months into the launch, and I'm very pleased with our progress so far. Feedback from the nephrology community has been outstanding, and we are carrying that momentum into Q4.

In the U.S., we estimate there are approximately 5,000 C3G and primary IC-MPGM patients. Notably, EMPAVELI's broad label makes it the first and only treatment approved for a comprehensive list of patient populations, including adult patients with C3G, adult patients with IC and PGN pediatric patients for C3G, primary IC-MPGM patients aged 12 years and older and patients with post-transplant C3G disease recurrence. EMPAVELI is the only approved therapy for approximately 2/3 of this 5,000 patient population, and we believe it offers highly differentiated efficacy for the other 3 where patients have an alternative. Together, the broad label and the strong clinical data position the launch of EMPAVELI for the long-term success. For the first time, patients can be treated with a first-in-class CD3 targeting therapy and the only complement therapy that has demonstrated its ability to preserve kidney function by controlling all 3 markers of these diseases, including proteinuria reduction, eGFR stabilization and substantial clearance of C3 deposits. EMPAVELI is delivered through our compact single-use on-body auto-injector. Patients can self-administer in the comfort of their own home without ever seeing a needle. Early feedback from the market has been exceptionally positive, highlighting its ease of use and the convenience of the twice weekly dosing. The PK profile of EMPAVELI allows patients the flexibility to take treatment on their own terms, avoiding twice daily dosing required by the oral alternative. Ahead of the launch, we scaled our field-based teams to approximately 100 people, ensuring coverage of every U.S. nephrologists managing these patients. .

Our extensive prelaunch engagement with physicians and patient identification efforts have built a strong foundation for a successful rollout. As communicated in our approval call, the launch metric that we will be reporting early in launch is patient start forms. Through the end of September, we received 152 patient start forms for EMPAVELI, included in this number are the approximately 50 patients from our expanded access program, or EAP, who are in the process of conversion over to commercial drug. We remain on track to have these EAP patients on commercial drug by the end of this year. As a reminder, it generally takes 4 to 6 weeks for a patient to start treatment. We see opportunities to potentially accelerate this time frame as we gain more experience in our launch and as payers policies are updated. During the quarter, we made meaningful inroads with high-volume prescribers and are confident in the continued growth of adoption. Of the 20 most influential and high-volume accounts in the space, 19 have a REM certified prescriber and the majority of these centers have submitted start forms, clear evidence that our launch efforts are translating into real-world adoption across priority accounts.

On the access front, we are encouraged by payers' recognition of the value of EMPAVELI in C3G and primary IC-MPGN and by the speed at which the patients are successfully gaining access. Furthermore, our dedicated Apellis team is closely working with patients and prescribers to navigate the expected prior authorization requirements to minimize delays and support a smooth start to therapy. These have been incredibly encouraging early at least for our rare disease launch, and we are excited by the strong engagement from both physicians and patients. We are learning a great deal about prescriber has and once physicians are educated on the differentiated profile of our therapy they quickly become strong believers in its disease-modifying potential.

We believe we have worked through most of the onetime wave of early adopters and EAP patients and expect to receive 225 cumulative start forms or more by the end of this year. Looking ahead, we are confident in the long-term growth potential of EMPAVELI as awareness deepens and patient access continues to expand. Moving on to CYFOKI.Weare encouraged to see continued market leadership with a total estimated injection growth of 4% during the quarter, in line with our expectations.

SIFOVRI maintains its end position accounting for an estimated 52% of new patient starts during the third quarter and more than 60% of the overall market.

As commercialization matures, we've moved past the early adopter phase and expect steady major injection growth for the near term. Importantly, we believe that the long-term opportunity remains significant with blockbuster potential. .

Today, only about 10% of patients who are diagnosed with GA are being treated and specifically for retina specialists with GA in their practice are treated with a complement inhibitor. This leaves substantial room for growth by expanding the total number of prescribers and by increasing adoption within existing practices. To drive this opportunity forward, we are focusing on disease awareness and education, laying the groundwork for the next wave of growth for initiatives that include engaging with early career rate specialists who see a disproportionate number of new patients enhancing education around the importance of early intervention and maintaining patients on treatment and refining our messaging to better equip field teams in their outreach and discussions.

I will now hand the call over to Caroline to share additional color on these initiatives and provide an update on our pipeline. Caroline?

[Caroline Baumal, executive]

Thanks, David. Let me start with Syfovre and geographic atrophy. As the only approved drug that binds to C3, the central protein of the complement cascade, Syfovre potently inhibits the damaging downstream effects of complement overactivation forming the basis of its strong clinical profile. Patients with GA are on an irreversible path to blindness. As Cedric and David mentioned, there is ample opportunity to advance the understanding of GA within the treatment community and to instill the urgency to treat patients early to save retina tissue. To support this, we are developing artificial intelligence tools that will help physicians gain a better understanding of GA patients experience as well as the benefit of treatment with Syfovre.

We are also working to provide more convenient administration through the development of a prefilled syringe. We believe that both of these key initiatives will broaden the prescriber universe within the overall GA market and drive higher utilization of SYFOVRE over time. Turning now to EMPAVElI in C3G and primary IC-MPGN. The treatment community's response to the recent approval has been incredibly positive, and we are confident that it will be the preferred treatment option for these patients. We're excited to share 7 ASCs at next week's American Society of Nephrology Meeting, further demonstrating EMPAVELI's profound and durable benefits and underscoring our commitment to the rare nephrology community. Building on this momentum, we are expanding EMPAVELI's development into 2 other risk kidney diseases, primary focal segmental glomerulosclerosis or FSGS, and delayed graft function, or DGF. Similar to C3G, FSGS is a rare kidney disease that progresses to kidney failure within 5 to 10 years for about half of patients. is complication in kidney transplantation that negatively affects the long-term survival of the kidney and the overall patient outcomes. The complement pathway plays a significant role in both diseases. And there are currently no FDA-approved therapies for either.

We are well underway with our planning activities and expect to initiate pivotal trials in FSGS and DGF by the end of the year.

With that, I'll now turn the call over to Tim for an update of the financials.

[Timothy Sullivan, executive]

Thank you, Caroline. Total revenue for the third quarter was $459 million, including the $275 million upfront payment from Sobi in connection with the [indiscernible] royalty purchase agreement.

Syfovre net product revenue for the quarter was $151 million. We delivered approximately 101,000 doses of cycler in the quarter, including 86,000 commercial doses and 15,000 free goods doses. In line with our expectations, we saw a 4% sequential growth in overall total injection demand during the third quarter, driven predominantly by free goods. While we are encouraged by the continued growth in total injections as a leading indicator of demand, we did see an approximate $15 million headwind to our reported revenue due to the elevated use of free goods, which was slightly higher than our expectations. Through the first 3 quarters of the year, we estimate the free drug has been a nearly $40 million headwind to Syfovre revenue.

Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, we continue to expect modest livery total injection growth within the low to mid-single digit range. Turning to gross to net dynamics. Adjustments during the third quarter for Syfovre remained within the low to mid-20% range, consistent with our guidance through 2025. As we move into Q4, we expect gross to net to trend slightly above the prior range.

This reflects the normal step-wise pattern of gross to net over time with modest degradation and some quarter-to-quarter movement that's typical in the buy-and-bill market. Importantly, this reflects expected dynamics rather than a structural shift, and we remain confident in our pricing and access position heading into 2026. From a channel perspective, we anticipate a modest channel build during the fourth quarter, consistent with seasonal patterns expected at year-end.

That said, we continue to target stable inventory levels quarter-over-quarter and we'll provide further commentary during our year-end update. Taken together, our current view is that the fourth quarter Syfovre revenue will be broadly in line with what we recorded in the third quarter. Looking beyond these short-term dynamics, as Centric and Caroline mentioned, we have several compelling opportunities that are largely within our control to reinvigorate CYFOVRI's growth over the next 12 to 18 months.

We remain confident in the meaningful long-term potential of Cytori and look forward to updating you on our progress in bringing these initiatives to fruition. Moving now to EmperVelly. Total net product revenue across indications, which includes PNH and primary ICM PGM was $27 million during the third quarter. We believe we are now through most of the initial wave of early adopters.

And looking ahead, we expect the nephrology opportunity to normalize into a gradual ramp. Turning to expenses. We've maintained a highly disciplined approach to cost management, prioritizing the commercialization of Syfovre and EMPAVELI while continuing to fund the next phase of innovation for Apellis.

Operating expenses were $235 million in the third quarter, down from $244 million for the same quarter last year. We continue to expect our full year operating expenses to be in line with the OpEx level we saw in 2024. We ended the quarter at $475 million in cash and cash equivalent. Supported by the $275 million upfront from our Sobi royalty transaction this quarter, our strong cash position gave us the flexibility to discontinue factoring during the quarter. As a result, we now carry the incremental balance in receivables on our balance sheet rather than in cash and we expect to realize cost savings of approximately $5 million on a go-forward annual basis.

We continue to expect our cash position will be sufficient to fund the business to sustainable profitability.

And with that, I will now turn the call back over to Cedric. Cedreic?

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Thank you, Tim. We have made important progress in 2025 to date. We achieved our third approval in just 4 years, bringing a first-in-class C3 treatment option to people living with C3G and primary ICM PGM, many of whom had previously been living without any available options. Early feedback across the patient and nephrology communities has been enthusiastic, reflecting recognition of MPA's compelling efficacy profile and its value as a new treatment option.

Additionally, Syfovre continues its market leadership and delivers a durable, meaningful revenue stream with opportunities for renewed growth over the long term. Combined with the cash from our [indiscernible] deal in June, we have made steady progress on our path towards profitability. We look forward to building off the solid foundation we have laid for ourselves in the fourth quarter and into 2026.

And with that, I'll turn the call over to the operator for questions and answers.

[Operator]

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Jon Miller with Evercore ISI.

[Jonathan Miller, analyst]

Congrats on the progress and a strong secret G launch. I guess I'll ask my question. I'll ask a question about that. Do you still expect past this first bolus of patients that you were talking about? Like kidney is going to be a distributor or slow indication set of indications to penetrate. I think this has been your commentary on the competitor's commentary in the past. Do you expect that to continue? Or is your strong penetration into these top practices indicative of the launch could be more rapid than people expect?

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Thank you, John. Great to hear you, and I will hand that question over to David.

[David Acheson, executive]

John, thanks for the question. Appreciate it. So first of all, we're really excited about where we are with the launch for EMPAVELI and C3G and primary IC-MPGN. The team has done a great job. And I do suspect, as we get through the end of this year that the bolus that we had talked about will be through that, and you'll see steady, consistent growth going into next year, that's our expectation.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Anupam Rama with JPMorgan.

[Anupam Rama, analyst]

Just a quick one on Syfovre and on sampling. I think samples are on the higher end of this 10% to 15% range that we've all previously talked about. Should we expect this to now be more stabilized? Or is there a chance that it continues to creep up as you expand the market?

[Cedric Francois, executive]

No, great hearing you. Again, I'm going to hand it over to David.

[David Acheson, executive]

A thanks for the question. So a couple of things real quick. We definitely review where we are with samples in the PAP program or free goods consistently to make sure the programs are being utilized the way that we want them to be. Also though, we are, as you know, as a company, very in tuned to making sure patients have access to products. So as things continue to grow, we'll have programs available for patients. .

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Steve Seedhouse with Cantor.

[Steven Seedhouse, analyst]

Just wanted to ask a few specifics on C3G. So first, can you break out just of the 150-odd patients? How many are C3G? How many are IC-MPGN pre versus post transplant adult versus adolescent? And then also, do you know if anyone has switched from [indiscernible] to EMPAVELI? And do you have a sense of your market share in C3G? Just how many patients were up on [indiscernible] versus [indiscernible]? .

[David Acheson, executive]

Thank you, Steve. Great questions. This is David. So you're right, we have 152 start forms, roughly 50 of those came through our EAP program.

Consistently to label, we've seen start forms come through across the broad label, which is positive and for both indications. And we are seeing fault switches as a result of the information we've gotten from physicians as a result of our efficacy in some cases, some tolerability and the ability for them to dose twice weekly with EMPAVELI versus twice daily with the competitive product.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Yigal Nochomovitz with Citigroup.Check go. .

[Yigal Nochomovitz, analyst]

So this is also a specific question on the launch. I think, David, you mentioned that 50 of the patients are in the process of converting to commercial drug. These are the ones going over from the clinical trial. It's just not clear. Are those actually on drug at this point? Are they still in process and then the incremental other $102 million.

Could you just comment on what fraction of those have started an EMPAVELI and approximately how long they've been on the drug since the end of July?

[David Acheson, executive]

Thank you for the question. So you're correct. There's 50 roughly 50 patients on EAP. Our goal is to make sure all of them make it to commercial products by the end of the year. And of the rest that have come in for new start forms, we are still working through the process with many of them. Remember, it takes 4 to 6 weeks for those patients to typically get from start to finish in a product. And that process is also being worked out as we move through the end of the year.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Salveen Richter with Golman Sachs.

[Unknown Analyst]

This is Elizabeth on for Salveen. Just 1 from us on that 4- to 6-week time frame from start to finish of getting product to EMPAVELI to the treatment. When do you think we could start to see kind of an acceleration there? And where do you think that could normalize at?

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Yes. Thank you very much, Elizabeth. So a couple of things to keep in mind. That's typical for most rare disease launches, in particular, where you have a REMS and vaccinations and the start form that has to go in from a physician. The other thing that we're continuing to work through is the policies that are being written at the payer, which also takes some work early on in the process to make sure that, that transition from 4 to 6 weeks comes down to less than that period. So we're working through that now, and we'll have details as we move forward.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Akash Tewari with Jefferies.

[Unknown Analyst]

This is Kathy on for Akash. So Syfovre at $151 million quarter-over-quarter and injection growth. So one, do you see that as the floor for Syfovre for other components like long-term efficacy data or PFS come into play? And then two, when we have been able to return to a Syfovre, or do you think it stays at this level given you're doing patient funding gets resolved near term? .

[Timothy Sullivan, executive]

So this is Tim. So from a growth perspective, this quarter, we feel very good about the underlying demand growth of 4%. As we mentioned in the prepared remarks, the bulk of those -- that increase in demand came from pre goods. So that was a headwind that we've been experiencing for the last 3 quarters or so, and it's -- the headwind has amounted to approximately $40 million over the course of the last 3 quarters.

Now over the long term, Beyond these short-term dynamics, I said and Carol mentioned in their prepared remarks, we have a lot of compelling opportunities to reinvigorate stores growth. Those include the prefilled syringe among others, and we'll get more visibility to you on those at the beginning of the year.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Colleen Kusy with Bayer.

[Colleen Hanley, analyst]

You spoke to some learnings of prescribers, habits in C3G and IC and PGN at this early stage of launch. Can you elaborate on that a little bit? And what the implications are for that much.

[David Acheson, executive]

Yes. This is David. Thank you, and I'll hand it over to Caroline, too, if you can comment on the medical side. I can tell you that we've been very pleased with the fact that we have a very open label. And we've seen patients come through that are aligned to all of the indications for both indications and the label is very positive. What we're learning now is making sure that we get through the process and education with top accounts and also make sure that we are continuing to canvas and have the conversations with all of the accounts beyond that. So it's a new indication and a new product for folks and they're learning how to adjust to it, but we're excited about the launch so far.

[Colleen Hanley, analyst]

And what we've been hearing from physicians is that they are excited about our data, the robustness of it, the reduction in proteinuria, and our 52-week results will be presented at the American Society of Nephrology amongst other abstracts that we have highlighting the reduction in proteinuria.

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Yes. Maybe one last thing here from me. This is Cedric. It's really gratifying to see how well we kind of were prepared and understand the landscape. We're very happy with the demographics that we have calculated, the ramp forecast we've created. So it's gratifying to see the results from clinical trials translate in the real world and the way it is. .

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Ellen Hart with TD Cowen.

[Unknown Analyst]

I'm [indiscernible] on for Ellen this morning. Congrats on the quarter. Just 1 question from us on Syfovre. Has there been any progress with the good days co-pays in surety? Is there any visibility on when and if it can be funded [indiscernible] patients?

[Timothy Sullivan, executive]

Thank you for the question. This is Tim. So there has been some progress in the sense that we understand that the largest of these groups is open for existing patients, but unfortunately, not for new patients, and you can check that on the website. But as far as we know and as far as we're -- as far as our guidance that we gave in terms of this quarter, we don't expect anything to change with respect to the patient assistance organizations.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Jade Maman with Stifel.

[Yigal Nochomovitz, analyst]

This is [indiscernible] on for Annabel. Two questions. The first one is for CGI. For that 1/3 shared market with [indiscernible], how do you expect prescriber-ow do you expect that market to bifurcate, what type of patients would our physicians starting to [indiscernible]? What type of patients would be preferred for EMPAVELI?

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Yes. Thank you for the question. This is Cedric. So I think that, look, the efficacy profile that was established in the [indiscernible] trial across all of the patient populations that we have tested and that we've spoken about. That is really what stands out there. So this is something that we believe is going to be really important in a segment of physicians that cares deeply about differentiated efficacy. So yes, I think we have -- with the broad label that we have, we have an opportunity to really kind of go through segment by segment. We've talked before about the fact that post transplant patients are a particularly interesting group for obvious reasons.

Most transplanted patients will relapse. Now it takes a little bit of time to get on protocols, et cetera, but that's a very exciting group of patients that we're looking forward to being able to help. And then, of course, patients that are advanced at risk of going into end-stage renal disease and then the fact that we have pediatrics in our label as well and be able to offer something to patients 12 years to 18 years is very attractive to the nephrology community as well.

[Unknown Analyst]

And I have about one more on Syfovre. It's been on the top market for a couple of years now. And if you go file patterns and what AMP, you might start to see patients drop off at this stage. What are you seeing as far as persistence on treatment?

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Compliant.

[Unknown Executive]

Thank you for the question. Well, with our every other month dosing, which is very in line with anti-VEGF treatments. We're hearing from our physicians that patients are being compliant with treatment, and there will be some long-term data coming out from our open-label extension next year.

[Operator]

our Next question comes from the line of Lachlan Hanbury-Brown with William Blair.

[Lachlan Hanbury-Brown, analyst]

I guess one on safe, noticed the new patient share ticked down a few points this quarter. I was wondering if there's any underlying dynamic that changed in the quarter that drove that? Or is that just sort of noise fluctuating a few percentage points, and that's kind of reached a point of stability here.

[David Acheson, executive]

This is David. So first of all, we're very confident in where we are competitively. Just a reminder, we're 52% on NBRxs and over 60% would continue to hold and have held for TRxs. You're exactly right. Sometimes you'll see is a fluctuation in NBRxs up or down. But we're confident in the consistent numbers that we've seen in reporting today.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Derek Archila with Wells Fargo.

[Derek Archila, analyst]

Maybe just 2 from us. First on CORI I guess how do you think about prefilled trends? The checks that we've done on that, it seems like docs would be pretty enthusiastic. So when could that be made available? And how do you think that changes the growth trajectory? Is it more shifting share or expanding the market. And then I didn't know if I joined late, so just in terms of [indiscernible], any comments on trends post the quarter?

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Derek. Great hearing you. Thank you so much. Yes, the prefilled syringe is something that is really important in the context of the retina physicians. It improves the flow in their practices, makes it easier to handle the workload. We have been working on a prefilled syringe that [indiscernible] is currently being tested in the clinic. We're not guiding on time lines to when it will actually be available for competitive reasons. But the quality of the syringe that we have has met the high expectations that we've had and super excited about going to market with that.

I think it's also worth mentioning here that within kind of the type of physicians that treat patients with geographic atrophy, there are a lot of physicians that occasionally use IRI not on a regular basis. Those are physicians that I suspect are going to be excited about kind of moving towards a more routine involvement of GA patients into their practices. But even for those physicians that have not yet embraced Sify as a treatment for their patients, we know that many of them are waiting for the prefilled syringe to start treating this terrible disease. I don't know, Caroline, if you want to add something.

[Caroline Baumal, executive]

Well, as a retina position, I will say that it really increases convenience, consistency and safety to have a prefilled syringe, and the requirements are very high for quality and I'm really, really pleased with where we're headed with this. There was another part to the question.

[Timothy Sullivan, executive]

So Derek, we're -- just the last part of that question, thank you again. So from a launch perspective, obviously, we feel great beyond the guidance that we gave in terms of the start forms for the prepared remarks, I don't think we're not guiding any further than that, but we're happy to look forward to giving you an update at the year-end call. .

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Biren Amin with Pipa Sandler.

[Biren Amin, analyst]

This morning, Apellis just revised [indiscernible] guidance downward by $200 million. And so they're clearly seeing headwinds in GA market growth. Given that data point, and your low to mid-single injection growth that you project? Do you feel it's tough to 100 treatment? And what shifts to that dynamic with retina physicians?

[Timothy Sullivan, executive]

Yes. I mean so I'll start. So I'll just confirm what you're saying, which is that we do see a significant headwind for these patients who are trying to get treated and want to treat, but can't afford it. So it's had a huge impact on the market in general. And our -- at least our discussions with retinal specialists suggest that many of them are not treating GA patients are not even having the conversation they should be having with GA patients because this has created a logistical as well as a financial headwind. I'm not sure -- I hope that answers your question.

[Caroline Baumal, executive]

I think what can shift the dynamics with physicians also are multiple things that we're working on at Apellis. We're the science company. We have robust data. We're working on educating physicians using artificial intelligence, which they can also use for patients. We're working on a prefilled syringe, and we have multiple new things coming forward to impact physicians and patients.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Judah Frommer with Morgan Stanley. .

[Judah Frommer, analyst]

Maybe just a couple of follow-ups. I guess on patient start forms for C3G and IC-MPGN. Can you comment on just how they came in versus internal expectations? It sounds like they came in reasonably well. And then on just the sampling for AFORE, any commentary you can make on how much of that is self-driven versus competitive dynamics on sampling?

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Yes. Thank you so much for the expectations with C3G and Gen -- as I outlined earlier, this is very much in line with what we had expected, and we have high expectations. We have -- we also feel very good about the demographics that we have established. That number of 5,000, we believe is a robust conservative estimate for the number of patients that are out there and could be helped with our products. .

Then your question on Syfovre, I'm sorry, but you were breaking up...

[David Acheson, executive]

I can answer it. It's on the samples in free goods. So your question was, is there a competitive dynamic. I don't think that's necessarily the case. What we do know is if someone is reaching for a free good, that's true demand. It's a patient that wants to be treated. It's a physician that wants to treat the patient. And we have those programs in place and monitor them regularly to make sure that they're within the guidelines that we want to have followed, but they're accessible because patients that want to go on treatment, we believe should be able to do that.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Ryan Deschner with Raymond James.

[Ryan Deschner, analyst]

Can you remind us when the actual date EMPAVELI was first made available to patients for the C3G and PGM launch? And then also, do you have an update on the rough time line for a top line readout from the Phase II study for Syfovre and APL-3007?

[David Acheson, executive]

This is David. I'll answer the first part of the question. We launched the product in the week of July 28, and I'll hand the other portion of the question over on 3007 to Cedric.

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Yes. So thank you for that question. So the trial is enrolling. We're very excited about this trial. As a reminder, it 3007, what we do is combined Satori with a subcutaneous injection that is an siRNA product, which brings down the systemic levels of C3 by approximately 90%.

And the objective there is to go from every 2 months to every 3 months dosing and to then obviously, of course, see an outsized effect on the efficacy side. We're not guiding in terms of when that study will be completed. It's currently enrolling and has a 1-year endpoint readout.

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Douglas Tsao with H.C. Wainright.

[Douglas Tsao, analyst]

Tim, I think gives you that sort of mentioned that sort of there was an issue with some practices sort of just as with the lack of co-pay support sort of a backlog or sort of operational challenges with practices if because they're not able to easily put patients on treatment. Is that in terms of just the headache within the practice in terms of just the time it takes to sort of adjudicate benefits and follow that patient? Or is it just the sort of patient having an unrealistic expectation of starting treatment and then having themselves sort of sort of put off and sort of having to deal with the frustration on that side.

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Yes. It's just -- it's a very -- it's really a very complicated situation for the physicians as well as for the patients, right? Kind of figuring out who can afford copay, who cannot. I mean, there's a lot that goes into it. There's a lot of share time that is lost by the physician in that process. And as Tim outlined earlier, what we've seen this year is, of course, kind of a lot of slowdown that was driven by these dynamics, not just on the GA side, also on the wet AMD side, where a lot of practices have temporarily paused even bringing on new patients to avoid having those discussions. So these are all things that are headwinds that we'll have to find a new place of settlements, but we are working hard on it. We can help practices with availability and access, of course. But the foundation is something that we -- that is something that we're separated from, of course.

[Timothy Sullivan, executive]

I also add that in particularly GA patients because there is a generic alternative in the wet space. There is no generic alternatives in the [indiscernible]

[Douglas Tsao, analyst]

And if I can, on the kidney launch, I'm just curious. I know obviously something that you sort of -- people have been wondering about in terms of the identification of patients with C3G and ICM PMG since it does require a biopsy -- have you seen evidence that now there is an available treatment like EMPAVELI or such an efficacious treatment that clinicians are biopsying more regularly or more aggressively than they were in the past?

[Caroline Baumal, executive]

Well, that typically happens when there's a new treatment available for something when there was no previous treatment that there are patients that come out of the woodwork and clinicians are also more motivated to make the diagnosis, so they can more effectively treat this disease, which does ultimately end and stage renal failure. .

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Greg Suvannavejh with Mizuho.

[Graig Suvannavejh, analyst]

Just wanted to go back to EMPAVELI. I might have missed it before, but any way you can provide a sense of the breakout in terms of the revenue and what came from PNH and what came from the new rare kidney indications and how the 152 in new patient start forms, how that might have contributed to whatever contribution there was EMPAVELI revenue from the new rare kidney indications.

[Timothy Sullivan, executive]

Greg, thank you for the question. This is Tim. Yes, so you can look at our PNH revenue for the last few quarters, last quarter, we reported, I think, $20.3 million in EMPAVELI revenue. And that market has been relatively static.

So I think from the perspective of revenue, you can maybe back out a little bit there and look at the fact that we probably are also putting a little bit into inventory as a distributor. So on a combined basis, it's -- we don't break out that in terms of revenue, and we don't plan to break that out because it is hard for us to do that. And then from -- can you repeat the second part of the question, apologize.

[Graig Suvannavejh, analyst]

Yes. Just for -- if we do -- thanks for that clarity on maybe assuming $20 million-ish or so from PNH and then maybe some inventory build, but whatever the balance is for EMPAVELI revenue in the quarter from the new rare kidney indication? Just trying to get a sense of if you did provide us with 152 in terms of the patient start forms, how much of that is kind of translating into that balance of revenue specifically? And rare kidney and just trying to get a sense of what fourth quarter might look like, understanding that you're not providing sales guidance per se.

[Timothy Sullivan, executive]

Yes. We're not providing sales guidance. We did give you some guidance on sort of an expectation around start forms for the year-end, which we -- which was $225 million. So look, I think the way to think about this probably is looking at the time to getting on drug from start form to getting on drug is approximately 4 to 6 weeks. And I would just work backwards from that. .

[Operator]

Our next question comes from the line of Lisa Walter with RBC.

[Lisa Walter, analyst]

And congrats on the kidney launch. I was just wondering if you could provide us any color on the pivotal trial design for FSGS and DGS.

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Thank you so much. So these trials have just started. We're not providing details beyond what's available on clinicaltrials.gov. But we're really excited about the opportunity that we have in FSGS and DGF. FSS, as a reminder, affects about 13,000 patients in the U.S. similar in terms of severity to the patient and the patient's kidney to what we see with T 3G and IC-MPGN. And we're looking forward to hopefully having a treatment available for these patients. And with delayed graft function, we are looking into a 3-month treatment with EMPAVELI to protect these kidneys that typically come from DC orders. Obviously, there are 21,000 per year and about probably 30% of those patients will suffer from that so-called delayed graft function, which is an increase in creatinine in the week post transcend. .

[Operator]

Ladies and gentlemen, we have time for one last question, and that will come from the line of as a follow-up question from the line of Yigal Nochomovitz with Citi.

[Yigal Nochomovitz, analyst]

Just 1 quick follow-up, please, on the prefilled syringe Cedric or Tim or David, I'm just wondering, is that going to be offered also as samples? Or will it only be -- will it be restricted to just commercial drug for the prefilled syringe? .

[David Acheson, executive]

This is David. So we will launch with commercial products. And then over time, we'll have samples available as we get into the launch.

[Operator]

Thank you. I would like to turn the call back over to Cedric for closing remarks.

[Cedric Francois, executive]

Thank you so much, and thank you, everybody, for your thoughtful questions. This concludes the Apellis third quarter earnings call, and I hope you all have a wonderful rest of the day. .

[Operator]

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.