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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of CareDx Inc (CDNA) under the Base Case is 36.1168 USD per share. Compared with the current market price of 69.9899 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 48% .

The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. Net margin recovers from -5.6% last year to 14% by 2036. If net margin stayed at its five-year average of -18%, the estimate would be about $6.59. The value of the years after 2036 is tied to revenue, so margins count only until then.

Do our valuations actually work? See backtest results .

CDNA Intrinsic Value
$36.1168
Overvaluation 48%
Intrinsic Value
Price $69.9899

CDNA is more expensive than usual. It was this expensive or more expensive on just 7% of days in the past 5 years.

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Current Price $69.99
Intrinsic Value $36.12
Margin of Safety 20% $28.89
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Fundamental Analysis

What CareDx Does

Biotechnology Health Care

CareDx makes tests and related tools for organ transplant patients and the doctors who care for them. Its main products help hospitals and transplant centers match donors and recipients before surgery and then monitor whether the patient’s body is accepting the new organ afterward. The company also sells lab services and software that help transplant teams track results and manage patient follow-up.

Headquarters
United States of America US
Employees
761
IPO date
Jul 17, 2014
Read the full company overview
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CareDx has no economic moat

No Moat Narrow Wide

CareDx Inc lacks an economic moat, leaving it vulnerable to competitive pressures and market challenges.

Read the full moat analysis
Financials
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
CareDx Inc

Wall St Price Targets

Capital Returns

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

CDNA Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

What is the Intrinsic Value of one CDNA stock?

The intrinsic value for CareDx Inc (CDNA) under the Base Case is 36.1168 USD.

Is CDNA stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared with the current market price of 69.9899 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 48% .

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