Century Aluminum Co
NASDAQ:CENX

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Century Aluminum Co
NASDAQ:CENX
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Price: 23.885 USD 5.31%
Market Cap: 2.2B USD
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DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Dec 3, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one CENX stock is 16.858 USD. Compared to the current market price of 23.885 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 29%.

CENX DCF Value
Base Case
16.858 USD
Overvaluation 29%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
16.858
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 16.858 USD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 723.4m USD. The present value of the terminal value is 1.2B USD. The total present value equals 2B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 2B USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 32.6m USD
Firm Value 2B USD
- Debt 457.1m USD
- Minority Interest -23.6m USD
Equity Value 1.6B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 92.8m
CENX DCF Value 16.858 USD
Overvalued by 29%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
2.4B 3.2B
Operating Income
142.6m 206.5m
FCFF
136.7m 154.6m

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one CENX stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one CENX stock is 16.858 USD. Compared to the current market price of 23.885 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 29%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Century Aluminum Co's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 2B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 16.858 USD per share.

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