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Century Aluminum Co
NASDAQ:CENX

Watchlist Manager
Century Aluminum Co Logo
Century Aluminum Co
NASDAQ:CENX
Watchlist
Price: 17.985 USD 4.44% Market Closed
Updated: May 18, 2024

DCF Value

This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on May 7, 2024.

Estimated DCF Value of one CENX stock is 16.896 USD. Compared to the current market price of 17.985 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 6%.

CENX DCF Value
Base Case
16.896 USD
Overvaluation 6%
DCF Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
16.896
DCF Value
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
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DCF Value: 16.896 USD

Present Value Calculation

This block is the starting point of the DCF valuation process. It calculates the present value of a company's forecasted cash flows based on selected operating model. Adjust key parameters like discount rate and terminal growth, and alter inputs such as revenue growth and margins to see their impact on valuation.

DCF Model
Base Case Scenario

The present value of cash flows over the next 5 years amounts to 542.2m USD. The present value of the terminal value is 1.4B USD. The total present value equals 1.9B USD.
Forecast Period
Years
Discount Rate
%
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Terminal Growth
%
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DCF Value Calculation

This stage translates the present value into DCF value per share. For firm valuation models, it adjusts present value for debt and assets to derive equity value (skipped if using equity valuation model). Finally, this equity value is divided by the number of shares to determine the DCF value per share.

Present Value to DCF Value
Capital Structure

Present Value 1.9B USD
+ Cash & Equivalents 93.5m USD
Firm Value 2B USD
- Debt 459.9m USD
- Minority Interest -14.4m USD
Equity Value 1.6B USD
/ Shares Outstanding 92.7m
CENX DCF Value 16.896 USD
Overvalued by 6%

Valuation Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis
DCF Value Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity Analysis assesses how changes in key factors like revenue growth, margin, and discount rate affect a stock's DCF value. By visualizing various scenarios, from significant downturns to optimistic growth, this tool helps you understand potential valuation shifts, aiding in risk assessment and strategic decision-making.

DCF Financials
Financials used in DCF Calculation

Revenue
2B 3.9B
Operating Income
48.4m 257.9m
FCFF
46.5m 190.8m

See Also

Discover More

What is the DCF value of one CENX stock?

Estimated DCF Value of one CENX stock is 16.896 USD. Compared to the current market price of 17.985 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 6%.

The true DCF Value lies somewhere between the worst-case and best-case scenario values. This is because the future is not predetermined, and the stock's DCF Value is based almost entirely on the future of the company. Knowing the full range of possible stock DCF values gives a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

How was the DCF Value calculated?

1. Present Value Calculation. Utilizing the DCF operating model, Century Aluminum Co's future cash flows are projected and then discounted using a chosen discount rate to determine its Present Value, which is calculated at 1.9B USD.

2. DCF Value Calculation. The company's capital structure is employed to derive the total Equity Value from the previously calculated Present Value of the cash flow. This Equity Value, when divided by the total number of outstanding shares, yields the DCF Value of 16.896 USD per share.

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