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Cerence Inc Logo

Cerence Inc
NASDAQ:CRNC

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Cerence Inc Logo
Cerence Inc
NASDAQ:CRNC
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DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
Wall St Estimates
Profitability
Solvency
Financials
Dividends
Investor Relations
Discount Rate
Price: 11.56 USD 0.78% Market Closed
Market Cap: 500.8m USD
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Cerence Inc
11.56
+0.09 (+0.78%)
52 Week Range
2.82
20.18
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Intrinsic ValueFundamental AnalysisWall St Price TargetsDividendsCompetitive LandscapeOwnershipNewsSee Also
Section:
Intrinsic Value
Fundamental Analysis
Wall St Price Targets
Dividends
Competitive Landscape
Ownership
News
See Also

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of one CRNC stock under the Base Case scenario is hidden USD. Compared to the current market price of 11.56 USD, Cerence Inc is hidden .

The Intrinsic Value is calculated as the average of DCF and Relative values:

DCF Value
Hidden
Relative Value
Hidden
DCF Value
Hidden
Relative Value
Hidden
What is Intrinsic Value? What is DCF Value? What is Relative Value?
CRNC Intrinsic Value
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Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation History
Cerence Inc

Intrinsic Value History
Dive into the past to invest in the future

CRNC looks undervalued. But is it really? Some stocks live permanently below intrinsic value; one glance at Historical Valuation reveals if CRNC is one of them.

Learn how current stock valuations stack up against historical averages to gauge true investment potential.

Show Historical Valuation
What is Valuation History?
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Fundamental Analysis

Cerence Inc
NASDAQ:CRNC
US
Technology
Market Cap
500.1m USD
IPO
Sep 16, 2019
US
Technology
Market Cap
500.1m USD
IPO
Sep 16, 2019
Price
$false
EPS
$false
1M
-4%
6M
+22%
1Y
+257%
3Y
-32%
5Y
-80%
10Y
-55%
All
|
Compare to S&P 500
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Buyback Yield
Debt Paydown Yield
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Cerence Inc
Overview Economic Moat Management Earnings Calls Contacts
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How do you feel about CRNC?
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Financials
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
Annual
Quarterly
TTM
0
Revenue
0
Operating Income
0
Net Income
0
EPS
0
Operating Cash Flow
0
Free Cash Flow

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Cerence Inc

Sep 2018 Dec 2018 Mar 2019 Jun 2019 Sep 2019 Dec 2019 Mar 2020 Jun 2020 Sep 2020 Dec 2020 Mar 2021 Jun 2021 Sep 2021 Dec 2021 Mar 2022 Jun 2022 Sep 2022 Dec 2022 Mar 2023 Jun 2023 Sep 2023 Dec 2023 Mar 2024 Jun 2024 Sep 2024 Dec 2024 Mar 2025 Jun 2025
A
Q
TTM

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Cerence Inc

636.8m
Assets
481.1m
Liabilities
636.8m
Assets
481.1m
Liabilities
Current Assets 190.1m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 79.1m
Receivables 62.2m
Other Current Assets 48.8m
Non-Current Assets 446.7m
PP&E 52.2m
Intangibles 299.1m
Other Non-Current Assets 95.4m
Current Liabilities 107.6m
Accounts Payable 5.5m
Accrued Liabilities 48.6m
Other Current Liabilities 53.4m
Non-Current Liabilities 373.6m
Long-Term Debt 198.8m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 174.7m
Efficiency

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Cerence Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
0
Gross Margin
0
Operating Margin
0
Net Margin
0
FCF Margin
0
ROE
0
ROA
0
ROIC
0
ROCE

Earnings Waterfall
Cerence Inc

Revenue
245.9m USD
Cost of Revenue
-71.9m USD
Gross Profit
174m USD
Operating Expenses
-168.7m USD
Operating Income
5.3m USD
Other Expenses
-31.1m USD
Net Income
-25.8m USD
Fundamental Scores

CRNC Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Cerence Inc's profitability score is hidden . The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

ROE is Increasing
Exceptional Gross Margin
Strong 3Y Average Gross Margin
Net Margin is Increasing
ROE is Increasing
-36% > -17%
Exceptional Gross Margin
71%
Strong 3Y Average Gross Margin
70%
Net Margin is Increasing
-95% > -10%
hidden
Profitability
Score

Cerence Inc's profitability score is hidden . The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

View Profitability Analysis
CRNC Profitability Report
View Profitability Analysis

CRNC Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Cerence Inc's solvency score is hidden . The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Average D/E
Positive Net Debt
Short-Term Solvency Long-Term Solvency Average D/E
1.28
Positive Net Debt
119.7m USD
hidden
Solvency
Score

Cerence Inc's solvency score is hidden . The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

View Solvency Analysis
CRNC Solvency Report
View Solvency Analysis

Wall St
Price Targets

CRNC Price Targets Summary
Cerence Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast CRNC stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CRNC is 11.99 USD with a low forecast of 10.1 USD and a high forecast of 16.8 USD.

CRNC Lowest Forecast
Wall Street Target
10.1 USD
13% Downside
CRNC Average Forecast
Wall Street Target
11.99 USD
4% Upside
CRNC Highest Forecast
Wall Street Target
16.8 USD
45% Upside
Lowest
Price Target
10.1 USD
13% Downside
Average
Price Target
11.99 USD
4% Upside
Highest
Price Target
16.8 USD
45% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
CRNC Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Dividends

Cerence Inc
does not pay dividends
Shareholder Yield

Current shareholder yield for CRNC is hidden .

Shareholder yield represents the total return a company provides to its shareholders, calculated as the sum of dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield. What is shareholder yield?

Shareholder Yield
= Dividend Yield
+ Buyback Yield
+ Debt Paydown Yield
Shareholder Yield
HIDDEN
Show
Dividend Yield
No dividends
Buyback Yield
HIDDEN
What is Buyback Yield?
Debt Paydown Yield
HIDDEN
What is Debt Paydown Yield?

Competitive Landscape

Company Market Cap Intrinsic Valuation Profitability Solvency Price Change
1Y 3Y 5Y

Ownership

CRNC Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

CRNC News

Other Videos

See Also

Summary
CRNC intrinsic value, competitors valuation, and company profile.
DCF Valuation
CRNC stock valuation using Discount Cash Flow valuation method.
Relative Valuation
CRNC stock valuation using valuation multiples.
Wall Street Estimates
CRNC price targets and financial estimates made by Wall st analysts.
Profitability Analysis
Detailed analysis of the company's profitability.
Solvency Analysis
Analysis of the financial position and solvency of the company.
Financials
Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement.
Discount Rate
CRNC stock discount rate: cost of equity and WACC.
Summary
DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
Wall Street Estimates
Profitability Analysis
Solvency Analysis
Financials
Discount Rate
Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one CRNC stock?

The intrinsic value of one CRNC stock under the Base Case scenario is hidden USD.

Is CRNC stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 11.56 USD, Cerence Inc is hidden .

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www.alphaspread.com is not operated by a broker, a dealer, or a registered investment adviser. Under no circumstances does any information posted on www.alphaspread.com represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, investment advice or recommendations. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. In no event shall Alpha Spread Limited be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on www.alphaspread.com, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, www.alphaspread.com or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance.

What is intrinsic value?

Stock intrinsic value is the real worth of a company's stock, based on its financial health and performance.

Instead of looking at the stock's current market price, which can change due to people's opinions and emotions, intrinsic value helps us understand if a stock is truly a good deal or not.

By focusing on the company's actual financial strength, like its earnings and debts, we can make better decisions about which stocks to buy and when.

Read more
What is intrinsic value?
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What is DCF valuation?

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a method of estimating the current value of a company based on projected future cash flows adjusted for the time value of money.

DCF valuation is one of two methods of placing a monetary value on a company; the other is Relative Valuation method. We use a combination of these two methods to calculate the Intrinsic Value of stock as accurately as possible.

Read more
See Also:
How is DCF value calculated? What are valuation scenarios?
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How is DCF value calculated?

Alpha Spread forecasts a company's future cash flow and estimates the appropriate discount rate to calculate the DCF value of a stock.

1. Free cash flow forecasting

You can view the operating model used to estimate free cash flow in the "DCF Operating Model" block. You can change model inputs forecasted by our algorithm (such as revenue growth, margins, etc.) if you are a professional analyst and have your own opinion about them.
Click here to read more about FCF forecasting.

2. Calculating present value

Once free cash flow is forecasted, it is discounted at a risk-appropriate discount rate (which you can also change in the DCF settings). The resulting value is the present value of the company's free cash flow.

DCF Operating Model
Capital Structure
3. Calculating the value of equity

Depending on which type of operating model for the company our algorithm has chosen (equity or whole firm valuation model), the resulting value is either the value of equity or the value of the entire firm. In the case of the latter, to move from the value of the firm to the value of equity, liabilities are subtracted and assets are added. You can see these and subsequent steps in the block "Capital structure".

4. Calculating the DCF value of one stock

In order to come from the value of equity to the DCF value of one share, we only need divide the equity value by the number of shares outstanding.

See Also:
What is DCF valuation? What are valuation scenarios?
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What are valuation scenarios?

A stock has no absolute intrinsic value because the future is not predetermined.

We build several DCF models for different scenarios of the company's future so you can see a complete picture of the investment risks and opportunities.

See Also:
What is DCF valuation? How is DCF value calculated?
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What is relative valuation?

Relative valuation is used to value companies by comparing them to other businesses based on certain metrics such as EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, and P/E ratios.

Relative valuation is one of two methods of placing a monetary value on a company; the other is Discounted Cash Flow valuation method. We use a combination of these two methods to calculate the Intrinsic Value of stock as accurately as possible.

Read more
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How is Relative Value calculated?

Our algorithm takes into account all the information about the company's valuation multiples (their historical values, how competitors are priced, and much more) and consolidates it into one single number - relative value.

Read more
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Understanding Valuation History

Valuation history is a powerful tool that allows you to see how a stock's valuation has changed over time.

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What is Economic Moat

The most important thing to me is figuring out how big a moat there is around the business. What I love, of course, is a big castle and a big moat with piranhas and crocodiles.

Warren Buffett

Economic Moat is a concept popularized by Warren Buffett to describe a company's durable competitive advantage. It represents the 'moat' that protects a company from competitors and helps it sustain profitability over the long term. Our analysis of the past 10 years showed that companies with a wide economic moat significantly outperformed the market, delivering +645% returns compared to +189% for the S&P 500.

Research Insights: The Power of Wide Economic Moat

Our research into Economic Moat performance spans the past 10 years and focuses on companies with a wide economic moat. For this analysis, we calculated the average stock price returns of these companies, comparing them to the performance of the S&P 500 index over the same period.

The results were compelling: wide moat stocks achieved a remarkable +645% average return, compared to +188% for the broader market. This difference highlights the long-term benefits of investing in businesses that can maintain their market position and pricing power over time.

Note: This research does not account for survivorship bias. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

How We Determine a Company's Economic Moat

Determining whether a company has an economic moat requires both a deep dive into financial metrics and a qualitative assessment of its competitive position. Our analysts conduct a rigorous evaluation that focuses on identifying structural advantages that enable a company to sustain profitability and defend its market share over the long term.

The process begins with an analysis of a company’s historical financial performance. We assess how consistently the company has generated returns above its cost of capital and whether those returns have been stable or improving. However, financial performance alone doesn’t reveal the full picture. To understand the sources of these advantages, we evaluate five key drivers of economic moats:

Network Effect: We analyze whether the value of a company’s product or service grows as its user base expands. Platforms like payment systems or marketplaces benefit from this self-reinforcing.

Switching Costs: We assess whether customers face significant costs or disruptions when switching to a competitor’s product or service. High switching costs create customer stickiness and provide pricing power.

Intangible Assets: Strong brands, patents, and regulatory licenses can protect a company’s market position by creating barriers for competitors or enabling premium pricing. For example, a well-recognized consumer brand may command higher customer loyalty and margins.

Efficient scale: Occurs when a market is optimally served by one or a few players, making it unprofitable for new entrants to compete. This typically happens in industries with high fixed costs or geographic constraints, such as utilities or pipelines.

Cost Advantage: Companies with structural cost advantages can produce goods or services at a lower cost than their competitors, enabling them to offer competitive pricing or maintain higher margins. These advantages often arise from economies of scale, superior supply chain management, or proprietary technology. Firms like Walmart leverage their massive scale to negotiate better terms with suppliers, allowing them to undercut competitors on price.

By examining these factors in combination with a company’s financial performance and market positioning, we classify each company into one of three categories:

Wide Moat
Strong and sustainable advantages that are expected to last for decades
Narrow Moat
Moderate advantages that provide some protection but are less durable
No Moat
No identifiable long-term competitive advantages

This rigorous evaluation ensures that our moat ratings are both comprehensive and reliable, giving investors the tools they need to make well-informed, long-term decisions.

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What is Free Cash Flow?

Free Cash Flow (FCF) is the money a company has left over after it pays for all its expenses and any investments it needs to make to keep the company running smoothly.

Think of it like your personal budget at home: after you pay for your necessities, like rent and groceries, and set aside money for future needs, like saving for a car or home repairs, the cash you have left is what you're free to spend or save as you wish.

Why is FCF important?

It's a sign of a company's health and its ability to do things like grow its business, pay dividends to shareholders, or reduce debt.

Flexibility: Companies with more FCF can make big moves without having to borrow money or ask for more investment, giving them the freedom to grow or tackle new projects on their terms.

Rewards for Investors: When a company has extra cash, it can decide to give some back to its investors through dividends or by buying back shares, which can increase the value of the remaining shares.

A Healthy Sign: Regularly having more cash coming in than going out shows that a company is doing well, making smart decisions, and earning more than it spends.

Close

Shareholder Yield is an integrated metric that represents the total returns a company delivers to its shareholders, including dividends, share buybacks, and debt reduction. It offers a holistic view of a company's capital return strategies, going beyond simple dividend yields to encompass all forms of shareholder returns.

Components

The calculation of Shareholder Yield involves summing the dividend yield, buyback yield, and debt paydown yield:

• Dividend Yield is calculated by dividing the annual dividends per share by the stock price per share.

• Buyback Yield reflects the decrease in shares outstanding, showing how much a company is investing in repurchasing its shares.

• Debt Paydown Yield measures the reduction of debt in relation to the company’s market capitalization, highlighting efforts to reduce financial liabilities.

Implications for Investors

High Shareholder Yield is often associated with superior long-term performance in the stock market, making it a crucial measure for investors seeking stocks that consistently deliver high returns through dividends, buybacks, and effective debt management. This metric highlights the importance of looking beyond traditional dividend yields to consider how companies return capital to shareholders in other ways, enhancing overall investment analysis.

Close

Buyback Yield measures how much a company reduces its outstanding shares through repurchases, expressed as a percentage. It is calculated by taking the decrease in shares outstanding during a period, dividing it by the total shares at the beginning of that period, and then converting this figure into a percentage.

This metric is crucial for calculating Shareholder Yield as it directly reflects the company’s efforts to return value to shareholders. By reducing the number of shares, buybacks can increase earnings per share and potentially boost the stock's price. Including Buyback Yield provides a fuller understanding of how capital is used to enhance shareholder returns, alongside dividends and debt reduction.

Close

Debt Paydown Yield measures the amount of debt a company repays within a specific period, shown as a percentage of its market capitalization. It is calculated by taking the reduction in total debt from the beginning to the end of the period, dividing this amount by the company's market capitalization at the start of the period, and then expressing the result as a percentage.

This metric is important for calculating Shareholder Yield because it indicates how the company is using its capital to decrease financial liabilities, which can strengthen its financial health and potentially enhance shareholder value. Including Debt Paydown Yield in the Shareholder Yield calculation gives investors insight into the company's commitment to reducing debt alongside returning value through dividends and buybacks.

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Why insider trading information is important

Insiders might sell their shares for any number of reasons, but they buy them for only one: they think the price will rise.

Peter Lynch

It isn't a coincidence that corporate executives seem to always buy at the right times. After all, they have access to every bit of company information you could ever want. However, the fact that company executives have unique insights doesn't mean that individual investors are always left in the dark. Insider trading data is out there for all who want to use it.

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Cerence Inc
Show Cerence Inc’s journey over time
List all major events that shaped Cerence Inc in chronological order, including founding, IPO, major acquisitions, strategic pivots, leadership changes, and product breakthroughs. For each milestone, briefly note why it mattered and how it influenced Cerence Inc’s long-term trajectory.
CRNC
Assess Cerence Inc’s revenue growth trend
Show how Cerence Inc’s revenue has changed over the past 5 years. Include a table and calculate the compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Explain what drives revenue growth. Start with a short summary.
CRNC
How long can Cerence Inc run on current cash?
Estimate a simple cash runway for Cerence Inc: cash balance vs recent monthly cash burn (or vs planned uses). Explain the idea in one plain sentence (“At this pace, cash would last ~X months”). Add a note if Cerence Inc is cash-generative (runway less relevant) and what could extend it.
CRNC
Show Cerence Inc’s journey over time
List all major events that shaped Cerence Inc in chronological order, including founding, IPO, major acquisitions, strategic pivots, leadership changes, and product breakthroughs. For each milestone, briefly note why it mattered and how it influenced Cerence Inc’s long-term trajectory.
CRNC
Assess Cerence Inc’s revenue growth trend
Show how Cerence Inc’s revenue has changed over the past 5 years. Include a table and calculate the compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Explain what drives revenue growth. Start with a short summary.
CRNC
How long can Cerence Inc run on current cash?
Estimate a simple cash runway for Cerence Inc: cash balance vs recent monthly cash burn (or vs planned uses). Explain the idea in one plain sentence (“At this pace, cash would last ~X months”). Add a note if Cerence Inc is cash-generative (runway less relevant) and what could extend it.
CRNC
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Johnson & Johnson
NYSE:JNJ
190.4 USD
-1.08%
Bank of America Corp
NYSE:BAC
52.57 USD
1.56%
Mastercard Inc
NYSE:MA
573.67 USD
-0.02%
Salesforce Inc
NYSE:CRM
254.83 USD
-0.09%
Abbvie Inc
NYSE:ABBV
227.99 USD
-0.11%
Home Depot Inc
NYSE:HD
386.68 USD
0.43%
View Wide Economic Moat Stocks Full List

Companies demonstrating exceptional profitability and efficient operations.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc
NASDAQ:MPWR
1 074.91 USD
0.38%
Applovin Corp
NASDAQ:APP
620 USD
5.14%
NVIDIA Corp
NASDAQ:NVDA
186.26 USD
2.25%
Cal-Maine Foods Inc
NASDAQ:CALM
90.01 USD
0.74%
Pro Medicus Ltd
ASX:PME
281.88 AUD
-0.72%
Thor Explorations Ltd
XTSX:THX
1.2 CAD
-0.83%
View High Profitability Stocks Full List

Companies with the lowest probability of bankruptcy.

Salesforce Inc
NYSE:CRM
254.83 USD
-0.09%
Amphenol Corp
NYSE:APH
133.82 USD
-1.1%
ServiceNow Inc
NYSE:NOW
930.17 USD
-0.96%
Spotify Technology SA
NYSE:SPOT
645.78 USD
-4.17%
Applied Materials Inc
NASDAQ:AMAT
228.75 USD
0.12%
NVIDIA Corp
NASDAQ:NVDA
186.26 USD
2.25%
View High Solvency Stocks Full List
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