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Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value of Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) under the Base Case is 278.452 USD per share. Compared with the current market price of 251.785 USD, the stock appears Undervalued by 10% .

The intrinsic value is calculated using the DCF method. The model assumes operating margin rises from 18% last year to 21% by 2031, higher than in any of the last six years. If operating margin stayed at its five-year average of 15%, the estimate would be about $205.

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ERIE Intrinsic Value
$278.452
Undervaluation 10%
Intrinsic Value
Price $251.785

ERIE is cheaper than usual. It was this cheap or cheaper on just 24% of days in the past 5 years.

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20% below Intrinsic Value $222.76
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Intrinsic Value $278.45
Current Price $251.79
Margin of Safety 20% $222.76
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Fundamental Analysis

What Erie Indemnity Does

Insurance Financials

Erie Indemnity Co. is the company that runs the business side of Erie Insurance Exchange, a property and casualty insurer. It does not sell insurance policies in the way a normal insurer does; instead, it handles the core work behind the scenes, including policy administration, underwriting support, billing, claims handling, and investment-related services for the exchange.

Headquarters
United States of America US
Employees
6 667
IPO date
Oct 2, 1995
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Erie Indemnity has a narrow economic moat

No Moat Narrow Wide

Erie Indemnity is appointed to act on behalf of policyholders in the Erie Insurance Exchange and runs key operations such as issuing and renewing policies. Replacing it would require moving these operations and related agreements to another provider, which could be difficult in a reciprocal insurance structure.

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Financials
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Erie Indemnity Co

Wall St Price Targets

Capital Returns

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

ERIE Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

What is the Intrinsic Value of one ERIE stock?

The intrinsic value for Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) under the Base Case is 278.452 USD.

Is ERIE stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared with the current market price of 251.785 USD, the stock appears Undervalued by 10% .

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