Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
NASDAQ:GO
Intrinsic Value
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. engages in the operation of retail stores in the United States. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
GO
stock under the Base Case scenario is
31.91
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 27.36 USD,
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
is
Undervalued by 14%.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp's market capitalization is 2.7B USD.
GO stock price is 27.36 USD.
GO stock price (27.36 USD) is 14% less than its Intrinsic Value (31.91 USD).
GO's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 6% to 4%.
GO's Altman Z-Score is equal to 2.56.
GO's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 7%.
GO's Revenue has grown by 11% over the past 12 months.
GO has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
GO has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 8%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
GO's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 13% to 7%.
GO's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is very low and is equal to 4%.
GO's Revenue has been growing by 8% per year for the last 3 years.
GO's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 10% per year over the next 3 years.
GO's short-term assets (517m USD) exceed its short-term liabilties (384m USD).
GO has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
GO has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
GO has a very low three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 4%. The company is not efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
GO has positive Net Debt. This means that the company has more debt (287m USD) than cash and short-term investments (115m USD).
GO's long-term assets (3B USD) exceed its long-term liabilties (2B USD).
GO has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
GO's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.24.
GO generates enough operating income (126m USD) to cover interest payments on its debt (23m USD).
Valuation Backtest
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
GO
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
| Current Assets | 516.6m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 115m |
| Receivables | 19.1m |
| Other Current Assets | 382.4m |
| Non-Current Assets | 2.5B |
| PP&E | 1.6B |
| Intangibles | 826.5m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 38.4m |
| Current Liabilities | 384m |
| Accounts Payable | 209.4m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 155.2m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 19.4m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 1.4B |
| Long-Term Debt | 287.1m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 1.1B |
Earnings Waterfall
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
|
Revenue
|
4B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-2.7B
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
1.2B
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-1.1B
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
125.8m
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-46.3m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
79.4m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
GO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
GO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp's solvency score is 50/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
GO Price Targets Summary
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
GO
is 31.9 USD
with a low forecast of 23.23 USD and a high forecast of 45.15 USD.
Ownership
GO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
|
|
| 9 Months |
|
|
|
| 12 Months |
|
|
|
Shareholder Return
GO Price
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
| Average Annual Return | 10.7% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 32.36% |
| Max Drawdown | -54% |
| Market Capitalization | 2.7B USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 99 227 504 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 7.34% |
Company Profile
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. engages in the operation of retail stores in the United States. The company is headquartered in Emeryville, California and currently employs 803 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2019-06-20. The firm operates approximately 400 stores throughout California, Washington, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Idaho, and Nevada. The company purchases name-brand consumables and fresh products through a centralized purchasing team that manages supplier relationships to acquire merchandise. The firm distributes inventory through eight primary distribution centers. The company operates three distribution centers and use five distribution centers operated by third parties. The company has an in-house transportation fleet as well as transportation partner relationships that provides deliveries to its stores. The firm is focused on centralized marketing efforts primarily on digital ads, social media, television, and radio commercials, print circulars and in-store and outdoor signage.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
GO
stock under the Base Case scenario is
31.91
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 27.36 USD,
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
is
Undervalued by 14%.
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