Green Plains Inc
NASDAQ:GPRE
Intrinsic Value
Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil, the provision of grain handling, and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one GPRE stock under the Base Case scenario is 48.43 USD. Compared to the current market price of 23.12 USD, Green Plains Inc is Undervalued by 52%.
Valuation Backtest
Green Plains Inc
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Fundamental Analysis
Company's Progress on Dextrose, Proteins, and Decarbonization
2023-Q4 Earnings Call
The company's liquidity improved, powered by robust operations and favorable market conditions, with $378.8 million in cash and around $251 million in credit facilities. Following the acquisition of Green Plains Partners, it's focusing on streamlining operations and leveraging synergies for better earnings and lower expenses. Capital expenditures for the year are projected at $125 to $150 million, targeting high-return projects with short paybacks. The launch of the world’s first commercial scale clean sugar technology is imminent, expected to deliver significant production in Q2, with strong market interest and pending major commercial agreements. The protein segment is booming, with notable progress in 50% protein sales and 60% protein trials, paving the way for large-scale supply chain development. Decarbonization initiatives are advancing, with three Nebraska plants set to produce low-carbon ethanol by mid-2025 and a larger Summit Carbon Solutions project anticipated to go live by late 2026, positioning the firm for future sustainable aviation fuel production.
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Green Plains Inc
Current Assets | 732.7m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 349.6m |
Receivables | 95.3m |
Other Current Assets | 287.9m |
Non-Current Assets | 1.2B |
Long-Term Investments | 17.3m |
PP&E | 1.1B |
Other Non-Current Assets | 93.4m |
Current Liabilities | 385m |
Accounts Payable | 186.6m |
Accrued Liabilities | 79.9m |
Short-Term Debt | 106m |
Other Current Liabilities | 12.4m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 710.6m |
Long-Term Debt | 491.9m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 218.7m |
Earnings Waterfall
Green Plains Inc
Revenue
|
3.3B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-3.1B
USD
|
Gross Profit
|
191.9m
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-258.7m
USD
|
Operating Income
|
-66.8m
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
-26.5m
USD
|
Net Income
|
-93.4m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Green Plains Inc
What is Free Cash Flow?
GPRE Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Green Plains Inc's profitability score is 33/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Green Plains Inc's profitability score is 33/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
GPRE Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Green Plains Inc's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Green Plains Inc's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
GPRE Price Targets Summary
Green Plains Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GPRE is 35.11 USD with a low forecast of 24.24 USD and a high forecast of 57.75 USD.
Ownership
GPRE Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Shareholder Return
GPRE Price
Green Plains Inc
Average Annual Return | 35.12% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 100.23% |
Max Drawdown | -77% |
Market Capitalization | 1.4B USD |
Shares Outstanding | 64 264 400 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted | 11.49% |
Company Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil, the provision of grain handling, and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. The company is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska and currently employs 859 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-03-15. The firm is principally engaged in operating ethanol production facilities and corn processing, with a focus on the production of high protein feed ingredients. The firm operates through four segments: Ethanol Production, Agribusiness and Energy Services, Food and Ingredients, and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment includes production of ethanol, including alcohol, distillers grains, protein and corn oil at ethanol plants in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota and Tennessee. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment agribusiness and energy services segment includes grain procurement, and its commodity marketing business, which markets, sells and distributes ethanol, distiller’s grains, Ultra-High Protein and corn oil produced at its ethanol plants. Its limited partnership provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, and other assets.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one GPRE stock under the Base Case scenario is 48.43 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 23.12 USD, Green Plains Inc is Undervalued by 52%.