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Green Plains Inc
NASDAQ:GPRE

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Green Plains Inc Logo
Green Plains Inc
NASDAQ:GPRE
Watchlist
Price: 23.12 USD 2.98% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 29, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil, the provision of grain handling, and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one GPRE stock under the Base Case scenario is 48.43 USD. Compared to the current market price of 23.12 USD, Green Plains Inc is Undervalued by 52%.

Key Points:
GPRE Intrinsic Value
Base Case
48.43 USD
Undervaluation 52%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Green Plains Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Company's Progress on Dextrose, Proteins, and Decarbonization
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Company's Progress on Dextrose, Proteins, and Decarbonization

The company's liquidity improved, powered by robust operations and favorable market conditions, with $378.8 million in cash and around $251 million in credit facilities. Following the acquisition of Green Plains Partners, it's focusing on streamlining operations and leveraging synergies for better earnings and lower expenses. Capital expenditures for the year are projected at $125 to $150 million, targeting high-return projects with short paybacks. The launch of the world’s first commercial scale clean sugar technology is imminent, expected to deliver significant production in Q2, with strong market interest and pending major commercial agreements. The protein segment is booming, with notable progress in 50% protein sales and 60% protein trials, paving the way for large-scale supply chain development. Decarbonization initiatives are advancing, with three Nebraska plants set to produce low-carbon ethanol by mid-2025 and a larger Summit Carbon Solutions project anticipated to go live by late 2026, positioning the firm for future sustainable aviation fuel production.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Green Plains Inc

Current Assets 732.7m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 349.6m
Receivables 95.3m
Other Current Assets 287.9m
Non-Current Assets 1.2B
Long-Term Investments 17.3m
PP&E 1.1B
Other Non-Current Assets 93.4m
Current Liabilities 385m
Accounts Payable 186.6m
Accrued Liabilities 79.9m
Short-Term Debt 106m
Other Current Liabilities 12.4m
Non-Current Liabilities 710.6m
Long-Term Debt 491.9m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 218.7m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Green Plains Inc

Revenue
3.3B USD
Cost of Revenue
-3.1B USD
Gross Profit
191.9m USD
Operating Expenses
-258.7m USD
Operating Income
-66.8m USD
Other Expenses
-26.5m USD
Net Income
-93.4m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Green Plains Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
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Fundamental Scores

GPRE Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Green Plains Inc's profitability score is 33/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
ROE is Increasing
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
ROIC is Increasing
33/100
Profitability
Score

Green Plains Inc's profitability score is 33/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

GPRE Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Green Plains Inc's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Low D/E
Long-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
44/100
Solvency
Score

Green Plains Inc's solvency score is 44/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

GPRE Price Targets Summary
Green Plains Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast GPRE stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GPRE is 35.11 USD with a low forecast of 24.24 USD and a high forecast of 57.75 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
24.24 USD
5% Upside
Average
Price Target
35.11 USD
52% Upside
Highest
Price Target
57.75 USD
150% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

GPRE Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

GPRE Price
Green Plains Inc

1M 1M
+9%
6M 6M
-23%
1Y 1Y
-25%
3Y 3Y
-10%
5Y 5Y
+40%
10Y 10Y
-13%
Annual Price Range
23.12
52w Low
19.71
52w High
35.51
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 35.12%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 100.23%
Max Drawdown -77%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 1.4B USD
Shares Outstanding 64 264 400
Percentage of Shares Shorted 11.49%

GPRE Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

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GPRE News

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Company Profile

Green Plains Inc Logo
Green Plains Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Energy

Market Cap

1.4B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Green Plains, Inc. engages in the production of fuel-grade ethanol and corn oil, the provision of grain handling, and storage commodity marketing and distribution services. The company is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska and currently employs 859 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-03-15. The firm is principally engaged in operating ethanol production facilities and corn processing, with a focus on the production of high protein feed ingredients. The firm operates through four segments: Ethanol Production, Agribusiness and Energy Services, Food and Ingredients, and Partnership. The Ethanol Production segment includes production of ethanol, including alcohol, distillers grains, protein and corn oil at ethanol plants in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota and Tennessee. The Agribusiness and Energy Services segment agribusiness and energy services segment includes grain procurement, and its commodity marketing business, which markets, sells and distributes ethanol, distiller’s grains, Ultra-High Protein and corn oil produced at its ethanol plants. Its limited partnership provides fuel storage and transportation services by owning, operating, developing and acquiring ethanol and fuel storage tanks, terminals, and other assets.

Contact

NEBRASKA
Omaha
1811 Aksarben Dr
+14028848700.0
http://www.gpreinc.com/

IPO

2006-03-15

Employees

859

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Mr. Todd A. Becker
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. James E. Stark
Executive Vice President of Operations & Technology
Mr. Chris G. Osowski
Chief Legal & Administration Officer and Corporate Secretary
Ms. Michelle S. Mapes B.S., J.D., M.B.A.
Chief Transformation Officer
Mr. George Patrich Simpkins Jr.
Executive Vice President of Product Marketing & Innovation
Mr. Leslie van der Meulen
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Executive Vice President of Investor Relations
Mr. Phil Boggs
Communications Manager
Lisa Gibson
Chief Human Resources Officer
Mr. James F. Herbert
Consultant
Mr. Paul E. Kolomaya CPA
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one GPRE stock?

The intrinsic value of one GPRE stock under the Base Case scenario is 48.43 USD.

Is GPRE stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 23.12 USD, Green Plains Inc is Undervalued by 52%.