Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc
NASDAQ:KTOS
Intrinsic Value
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. provides mission critical products, services and solutions for United States national security priorities. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one KTOS stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.51 USD. Compared to the current market price of 17 USD, Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc is Overvalued by 9%.
Valuation Backtest
Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling KTOS stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Impressive Q4 Revenue Growth and Strong 2024 Forecast
2023-Q4 Earnings Call
Q4 revenues hit $273.8 million, surpassing estimates and indicating a 17% organic growth in the KGS segment over the previous year. Adjusted EBITDA reached $29.1 million, again exceeding forecasts. With a free cash flow of $48.1 million and a decrease in days sales outstanding, the yearly revenues reached over $1 billion, showing a 12.6% organic growth. Looking ahead, the 2024 guidance anticipates significant growth driven by the Unmanned Systems business, projecting revenues between $260 million and $270 million.
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc
Current Assets | 594.2m |
Cash & Short-Term Investments | 72.8m |
Receivables | 329.2m |
Other Current Assets | 192.2m |
Non-Current Assets | 1B |
PP&E | 289.3m |
Intangibles | 631.5m |
Other Non-Current Assets | 117.5m |
Current Liabilities | 292.5m |
Accounts Payable | 63.1m |
Accrued Liabilities | 113.9m |
Other Current Liabilities | 115.5m |
Non-Current Liabilities | 364m |
Long-Term Debt | 270.2m |
Other Non-Current Liabilities | 93.8m |
Earnings Waterfall
Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc
Revenue
|
1B
USD
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-768.5m
USD
|
Gross Profit
|
268.6m
USD
|
Operating Expenses
|
-236.2m
USD
|
Operating Income
|
32.4m
USD
|
Other Expenses
|
-41.3m
USD
|
Net Income
|
-8.9m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc
What is Free Cash Flow?
KTOS Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc's profitability score is 43/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
KTOS Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc's solvency score is 49/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
KTOS Price Targets Summary
Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KTOS is 22.24 USD with a low forecast of 17.17 USD and a high forecast of 26.25 USD.
Ownership
KTOS Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
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Shareholder Return
KTOS Price
Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc
Average Annual Return | -3.88% |
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 41.22% |
Max Drawdown | -73% |
Market Capitalization | 2.5B USD |
Shares Outstanding | 149 164 000 |
Percentage of Shares Shorted | 2.02% |
KTOS News
Last Important Events
Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc
Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.
Sentiment Analysis
Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc
Company Profile
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. provides mission critical products, services and solutions for United States national security priorities. The company is headquartered in San Diego, California and currently employs 3,300 full-time employees. The firm operates through two segments: The Kratos Government Solutions (KGS) and Unmanned Systems (US). The KGS segment includes microwave electronic products, space and satellite communications, training and cybersecurity, intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance (C5ISR)/modular systems, turbine technologies and defense and rocket support services operating segments. The US segment consists of the Company’s unmanned aerial, unmanned ground, unmanned seaborne and command, control and communications system business. The KGS and US segments provide products, solutions and services for mission critical national security programs. KGS and US customers primarily includes national security related agencies, the United States Department of Defense (DoD), intelligence agencies and classified agencies.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one KTOS stock under the Base Case scenario is 15.51 USD.
Compared to the current market price of 17 USD, Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc is Overvalued by 9%.