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Lumentum Holdings Inc
NASDAQ:LITE

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Lumentum Holdings Inc Logo
Lumentum Holdings Inc
NASDAQ:LITE
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Price: 45.18 USD +0.51% Market Closed
Updated: Sep 30, 2023
Section:
 

Intrinsic Value

Lumentum Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of optical and photonic products. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one LITE stock under the Base Case scenario is 36.68 USD. Compared to the current market price of 45.18 USD, Lumentum Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 19%.

Key Points:
Price
45.18 USD
Intrinsic Value
-19%
DCF Value
-55%
Relative Value
+14%
Wall St Target
+20%
Positive Free Cash Flow
51.3m USD
Positive Gross Profit
569m USD
View All
View All
Price
45.18 USD
Intrinsic Value
-19%
DCF Value
-55%
Relative Value
+14%
Wall St Target
+20%
Positive Free Cash Flow
51.3m USD
Positive Gross Profit
569m USD
Negative Operating Income
-87.6m USD
Positive 3-Year Average ROIC
11%
Positive 3-Years Revenue Growth
2%
Negative Net Income
-131.6m USD
Positive 1-Year Revenue Growth
3%
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
10%
Negative Revenue Growth Forecast
0%
Negative ROIC
-6%
Declining ROIC
11% > -6%
Declining ROE
9% > -8%
Negative ROE
-8%
Short-Term Solvency Long-Term Solvency Positive Net Debt
486m USD
Average D/E
1.84
Low Altman Z-Score
0.94
Low Interest Coverage
-8.11
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LITE Intrinsic Value
Base Case
36.68 USD
Overvaluation 19%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case
What is intrinsic value?
Intrinsic Value History
Lumentum Holdings Inc

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Valuation Methods

There are two methods to calculate the Intrinsic Value of a stock: DCF Valuation and Relative Valuation. We take the average of these two methods to estimate the intrinsic value as accurately as possible. You can see the Intrinsic Value of a stock at the top of this page.

DCF Value
Discounted Cash Flow

DCF Parameters:
Operating Model
Discount Rate
Forecast Period
Terminal Growth
DCF Input
DCF Input
DCF Input

Relative Value
Pricing Multiples

Fundamental Analysis

Financials
Revenue
Operating Income
Net Income
Operating Cash Flow
Capital Expenditures
Free Cash Flow

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Lumentum Holdings Inc

4.6B
Assets
3.3B
Liabilities
4.6B
Assets
3.3B
Liabilities
Current Assets 2.8B
Cash & Short-Term Investments 2B
Receivables 246m
Other Current Assets 518m
Non-Current Assets 1.9B
PP&E 567m
Intangibles 1.2B
Other Non-Current Assets 133m
Current Liabilities 634m
Accounts Payable 169m
Accrued Liabilities 117m
Other Current Liabilities 348m
Non-Current Liabilities 2.6B
Long-Term Debt 2.5B
Other Non-Current Liabilities 143m
Efficiency
Gross Margin
Operating Margin
Net Margin
FCF Margin
ROE
ROA
ROIC
ROCE
Fundamental Scores

LITE Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Lumentum Holdings Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Gross Profit
Negative Operating Income
Positive 3-Year Average ROIC
50/100
Profitability
Score

Lumentum Holdings Inc's profitability score is 50/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

LITE Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Lumentum Holdings Inc's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Positive Net Debt
Average D/E
39/100
Solvency
Score

Lumentum Holdings Inc's solvency score is 39/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

See Also
Fundamental Analysis
Profitability Analysis Solvency Analysis Revenue Breakdown Earnings Call Transcripts
Profitability Analysis Solvency Analysis Revenue Breakdown Earnings Call Transcripts

Wall St
Price Targets

LITE Price Targets Summary
Lumentum Holdings Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast LITE stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LITE is 54.02 USD with a low forecast of 40.4 USD and a high forecast of 65.1 USD.

LITE Lowest Forecast
Wall Street Target
40.4 USD
11% Downside
LITE Average Forecast
Wall Street Target
54.02 USD
20% Upside
LITE Highest Forecast
Wall Street Target
65.1 USD
44% Upside
Lowest
Price Target
40.4 USD
11% Downside
Average
Price Target
54.02 USD
20% Upside
Highest
Price Target
65.1 USD
44% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

LITE Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Summary Transactions
Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

LITE Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

What is price return decomposition?

LITE Price
Lumentum Holdings Inc

1M 1M
-14%
6M 6M
-15%
1Y 1Y
-34%
3Y 3Y
-40%
5Y 5Y
-25%
10Y 10Y
+166%
Annual Price Range
45.18
52w Low
42.22
52w High
75.42
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 23.18%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 51.56%
Max Drawdown -61%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 3B USD
Shares Outstanding 68 700 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 17.03%

LITE News

Last Video News
Lumentum Holdings Inc

Other Videos

Last Important Events
Lumentum Holdings Inc

Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.

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Negative

Sentiment Analysis
Lumentum Holdings Inc

Today
Last 7 Days
Last 30 Days
Last 90 Days

Company Profile

Lumentum Holdings Inc Logo
Lumentum Holdings Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Communications

Market Cap

3B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Lumentum Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of optical and photonic products. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California and currently employs 5,618 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2015-07-23. The firm operates through two segments: Optical Communications (OpComms), and Commercial Lasers (Lasers). Its OpComms products segment includes a range of components, modules and subsystems to support customers, including carrier networks for access (local), metro (intracity), long-haul (city-to-city and worldwide) and submarine (undersea) applications. Additionally, its products address enterprise, cloud, and data center applications, including storage-access networks (SANs), local-area networks (LANs) and wide-area networks (WANs). Its Lasers products are used in a variety of original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) applications, including diode-pumped solid-state, fiber, diode, direct-diode and gas lasers such as argon-ion and helium-neon lasers. The firm also provides high-powered and ultrafast lasers for the industrial and scientific markets.

Contact

CALIFORNIA
San Jose
1001 Ridder Park Dr
+14085465483.0
http://investor.lumentum.com/

IPO

2015-07-23

Employees

5 618

Officers

Pres, CEO & Director
Mr. Alan S. Lowe
Exec. VP & CFO
Mr. Wajid Ali B.A., C.M.A., M.A., M.B.A.
Exec. VP & COO
Mr. Vincent Retort
Sr. VP, Gen. Counsel & Sec.
Ms. Judy G. Hamel
Exec. VP & Chief Transformation Officer
Mr. Jason Reinhardt
VP of Fin., Corp. Controller & Chief Accounting Officer
Mr. Matthew Joseph Sepe
Show More
Sr. VP of IT & Chief Information Officer
Mr. Ralph Loura
VP of Investor Relations
Kathryn Ta
Sr. VP and Chief Strategy & Corp. Devel. Officer
Mr. Christopher W. Coldren
Sr. VP of Global Sales
Mr. Andrea Milani
Show Less

See Also

Summary
LITE intrinsic value, competitors valuation, and company profile.
DCF Valuation
LITE stock valuation using Discount Cash Flow valuation method.
Relative Valuation
LITE stock valuation using valuation multiples.
Wall Street Estimates
LITE price targets and financial estimates made by Wall st analysts.
Profitability Analysis
Detailed analysis of the company's profitability.
Solvency Analysis
Analysis of the financial position and solvency of the company.
Financials
Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement.
Discount Rate
LITE stock discount rate: cost of equity and WACC.
Summary
DCF Valuation
Relative Valuation
Wall Street Estimates
Profitability Analysis
Solvency Analysis
Financials
Discount Rate
Other Stocks
What is the Intrinsic Value of one LITE stock?

The intrinsic value of one LITE stock under the Base Case scenario is 36.68 USD.

Is LITE stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 45.18 USD, Lumentum Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 19%.

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