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Luna Innovations Inc
NASDAQ:LUNA

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Luna Innovations Inc Logo
Luna Innovations Inc
NASDAQ:LUNA
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Price: 3.205 USD -4.75% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 29, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Luna Innovations, Inc. engages in the development and manufacture of fiber optic test and measurement, sensing and instrumentation products for the automotive, aerospace, energy and infrastructure ind... [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one LUNA stock under the Base Case scenario is 9.037 USD. Compared to the current market price of 3.205 USD, Luna Innovations Inc is Undervalued by 65%.

Key Points:
LUNA Intrinsic Value
Base Case
9.037 USD
Undervaluation 65%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Luna Innovations Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Company Lowers Revenue Guidance, Maintains EBITDA
2023-Q3 Earnings Call

Company Lowers Revenue Guidance, Maintains EBITDA

Amid recent customer delays, the company adjusted its revenue forecast to $120-$125 million, while keeping its adjusted EBITDA projection steady at $14-$18 million. The third quarter saw a 5% year-over-year increase in revenue to $30.7 million, supported by recovering sales in the government and defense sectors. Cash on hand remained stable at $6 million, with working capital growing to $65.2 million, marking a healthy liquidity position.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Luna Innovations Inc

Current Assets 100.2m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 6m
Receivables 46.6m
Other Current Assets 47.6m
Non-Current Assets 64.9m
PP&E 12.9m
Intangibles 43m
Other Non-Current Assets 9m
Current Liabilities 35m
Accounts Payable 10.6m
Accrued Liabilities 15.7m
Other Current Liabilities 8.7m
Non-Current Liabilities 35.5m
Long-Term Debt 28.9m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 6.6m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Luna Innovations Inc

Revenue
116.6m USD
Cost of Revenue
-47.8m USD
Gross Profit
68.8m USD
Operating Expenses
-68.5m USD
Operating Income
270k USD
Other Expenses
-2.4m USD
Net Income
-2.1m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Luna Innovations Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
Chart
Table
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Fundamental Scores

LUNA Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Luna Innovations Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Exceptional 3-Years Revenue Growth
Exceptional Revenue Growth Forecast
Positive 1-Year Revenue Growth
48/100
Profitability
Score

Luna Innovations Inc's profitability score is 48/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

LUNA Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Luna Innovations Inc's solvency score is 48/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Long-Term Solvency
Average Altman Z-Score
48/100
Solvency
Score

Luna Innovations Inc's solvency score is 48/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

LUNA Price Targets Summary
Luna Innovations Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast LUNA stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LUNA is 9.282 USD with a low forecast of 7.07 USD and a high forecast of 13.125 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
7.07 USD
121% Upside
Average
Price Target
9.282 USD
190% Upside
Highest
Price Target
13.125 USD
310% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

LUNA Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

LUNA Price
Luna Innovations Inc

1M 1M
-53%
6M 6M
-45%
1Y 1Y
-51%
3Y 3Y
-68%
5Y 5Y
-23%
10Y 10Y
+118%
Annual Price Range
3.205
52w Low
3.14
52w High
10.56
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return 25.17%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 37.85%
Max Drawdown -75%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 108.6m USD
Shares Outstanding 34 697 000
Percentage of Shares Shorted 5.09%

LUNA Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

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Company Profile

Luna Innovations Inc Logo
Luna Innovations Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Electrical Equipment

Market Cap

108.6m USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Luna Innovations, Inc. engages in the development and manufacture of fiber optic test and measurement, sensing and instrumentation products for the automotive, aerospace, energy and infrastructure industries. The company is headquartered in Roanoke, Virginia and currently employs 385 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2006-06-02. The firm is engaged in providing capabilities in fiber optic-based, test products for the telecommunications industry and distributed fiber optic-based sensing for a multitude of industries. The firm operates through Lightwave segment, which develops, manufactures and markets distributed fiber optic sensing products and fiber optic communications test and control products. The firm develop and commercialize its fiber optic technology for sensing applications for aerospace, automotive, energy and infrastructure as well as for test and measurement applications in the telecommunications and data communications industries. Its Lightwave segment also performs applied research principally in the areas of optical and terahertz technologies. Its capabilities include sensing and non-destructive testing, strain sensing, vibration and acceleration measurements, and communications test and photonic control.

Contact

VIRGINIA
Roanoke
301 1st St SW Ste 200
+15407698400.0
http://lunainc.com/

IPO

2006-06-02

Employees

385

Officers

President, CEO, Treasurer, Secretary & Director
Mr. Scott A. Graeff
Chief Technology Officer & Executive VP of Corporate Development
Dr. Brian J. Soller Ph.D.
Executive Officer
Mr. Eugene J. Nestro
Chief Financial Officer
Mr. George Gomez-Quintero
Senior Director of Administration
Ms. Allison L. Woody
Senior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Mr. Ryan H. Stewart
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Senior Vice President of Human Resources
Ms. Eva Hartmann
Senior VP & MD of EMEA
Mr. Thomas Oldemeyer
VP & Corporate Controller
Mr. Andy Brown
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one LUNA stock?

The intrinsic value of one LUNA stock under the Base Case scenario is 9.037 USD.

Is LUNA stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 3.205 USD, Luna Innovations Inc is Undervalued by 65%.