NextDecade Corp
NASDAQ:NEXT

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NextDecade Corp
NASDAQ:NEXT
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Price: 7.85 USD 6.95%
Market Cap: $2.1B

NextDecade Corp
Investor Relations

In the dynamic world of energy, NextDecade Corp. emerges as a significant player, straddling liquefied natural gas (LNG) and infrastructure development. Established with a vision to connect abundant natural gas reserves in the United States with the increasing global demand for cleaner energy, NextDecade focuses on developing export solutions. The centerpiece of its operation is the Rio Grande LNG project, strategically located in South Texas. This facility is designed to receive natural gas via pipelines, super-cool it to liquid form, and export it to international markets. By bridging U.S. supply with overseas demand, NextDecade taps into the lucrative global LNG market, where economic and political shifts continue to heighten the appeal of natural gas as a transitional energy source.

At the heart of NextDecade's business model is its commitment to sustainability and innovation, leveraging cutting-edge technology to reduce carbon emissions and enhance operational efficiencies. The company offers a value proposition not only through its product – LNG – but also by aligning its processes with the evolving environmental standards and energy policies. This approach not only positions NextDecade to capitalize on traditional energy needs but also prepares it to adapt to future regulatory landscapes. Thus, the company derives revenue not just through direct sales of LNG but also through long-term contracts that hedge against market volatility, fostering an integrated and robust energy value chain that underpins its financial growth.

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Last Earnings Call
Fiscal Period
Q4 2025
Call Date
Mar 2, 2026
AI Summary
Q4 2025

Construction: Phase 1 is tracking ahead of plan — Trains 1 and 2 are almost 65% complete, Train 3 almost 40%, with first LNG expected in the first half of 2027.

Commercial: Completed SPAs totaling 9.1 million tonnes per annum for Trains 4 and 5 (7.2 million tpa in 2025 plus 1.9 million tpa with ADNOC in 2024) and fixed liquefaction fees of approximately $1.2 billion annually before escalation.

Early volumes: Projected ~3,800 TBtu of early LNG production from Train 1 start-up through Train 5 DFCD, including 1,275 TBtu uncontracted above long‑term SPAs; ~175 TBtu of early cargoes have been sold year-to-date.

Financing: Trains 4 and 5 were fully funded at FID with ~60% debt / ~40% equity; NextDecade funded its ~$2.4 billion equity commitment via ~$2.7 billion of term loans and >$200 million cash, with term debt cost ~9% all-in.

Cash-flow sensitivities: Company reiterates a $5/MMBtu cargo margin steady-state case (projecting ~ $800 million distributable cash flow post‑flip) and adds a $3/MMBtu early‑volume sensitivity (projecting ~$1.2 billion of NextDecade share distributable cash flow from Train 1 start-up through Train 5 DFCD).

Expansion & permitting: Prefiling for Train 6 and a third berth initiated; full FERC application planned mid-2026 with a potential FERC permit as early as mid-2027 and aim to develop Trains 6–8 toward a 60 mtpa ultimate footprint.

Key Financials
SPAs for Trains 4 and 5 (2025)
7.2 million tonnes per annum
SPA with ADNOC (2024)
1.9 million tonnes per annum
Total SPAs for Trains 4 and 5
9.1 million tonnes per annum
Fixed liquefaction fees (annual)
approximately $1.2 billion
Rio Grande LNG production capacity under construction
30 million tonnes per annum
Train 1 and 2 completion
almost 65% complete
Train 3 completion
almost 40% complete
Train 4 completion (since FID)
7.8% complete
Train 5 completion (since FID)
3.3% complete
Projected early LNG production (Train 1 start-up through Train 5 DFCD)
approximately 3,800 TBtu
Early cargoes sold year-to-date
over 175 TBtu
Cargo margin sensitivity (early volumes)
$3 per MMBtu (sensitivity)
Cargo margin sensitivity (steady state)
$5 per MMBtu (steady‑state)
Impact per $0.50/MMBtu cargo margin change
~$60 million post‑flip; ~$45 million pre‑flip
Estimated project cost per train
approximately $6.7 billion per train
Train 4 project debt
approximately $3.8 billion
Train 5 project debt
approximately $3.6 billion
Train 4 total equity commitments
approximately $2.8 billion
Train 5 total equity commitments
approximately $2.6 billion
NextDecade equity commitment (Trains 4 & 5)
approximately $2.4 billion
Term loans all‑in expected cost
approximately 9%
Corporate exchangeable loan
$100 million
Trains 1–5 contracted percentage
approximately 85% contracted
Steady‑state per‑train production assumption
309 TBtu per train per year
NextDecade leverage target (steady state)
3 to 3.5x debt to adjusted EBITDA
Earnings Call Recording
Other Earnings Calls
2025

Management

Mr. Matthew K. Schatzman
Chairman & CEO
No Bio Available
Mr. Brent E. Wahl
Chief Financial Officer
No Bio Available
Ms. Vera De Brito de Gyarfas
General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
No Bio Available
Mr. Tarik Skeik
Chief Operating Officer
No Bio Available
Mr. Eric Garcia
Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer
No Bio Available
Ms. Raquel Couri
Senior Vice President of Human Resources & Administration
No Bio Available
Mr. James MacTaggart
Chief Marketing Officer
No Bio Available
Mr. Michael Reed Mott
Senior Vice President of Enterprise Transformation
No Bio Available
Mr. Ariel Handler
Senior Vice President of Commercial & Carbon Solutions
No Bio Available
Mr. David Keane
Senior Vice President of Policy & Corporate Affairs
No Bio Available

Contacts

Address
TEXAS
Houston
1000 Louisiana St Ste 3900
Contacts
+17135741880.0
www.next-decade.com
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