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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
NASDAQ:OLLI

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Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc Logo
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
NASDAQ:OLLI
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Price: 78.96 USD -1.51% Market Closed
Updated: Mar 2, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the retail of closeouts, excess inventory, and salvage merchandise. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one OLLI stock under the Base Case scenario is 60.35 USD. Compared to the current market price of 78.96 USD, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 24%.

Key Points:
OLLI Intrinsic Value
Base Case
60.35 USD
Overvaluation 24%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Strong Growth and Raised Guidance
2024-Q3 Earnings Call

Strong Growth and Raised Guidance

The company had a vigorous quarter with a 7% rise in comparable store sales, a 14.8% increase in net sales to $480 million, and a 29.5% gain in adjusted EBITDA to $51 million. They opened a record 23 new stores, indicating robust new store productivity. Gross margin improved to 40.4%, and operating margin grew by 100 basis points to 8.1%. With ongoing business momentum, they've raised the full-year forecast, expecting net sales between $2.097 billion to $2.104 billion, a 5.3% to 5.6% jump in comparable store sales, and a gross margin ranging from 39.2% to 39.3%. The adjusted net income is anticipated to be $172 million to $176 million, with an adjusted EPS of $2.77 to $2.83.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc

Current Assets 805.6m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 264m
Receivables 2m
Other Current Assets 539.6m
Non-Current Assets 1.4B
PP&E 711.3m
Intangibles 675.4m
Other Non-Current Assets 2.1m
Current Liabilities 289.1m
Accounts Payable 105.4m
Accrued Liabilities 151.3m
Other Current Liabilities 32.4m
Non-Current Liabilities 464.9m
Long-Term Debt 957k
Other Non-Current Liabilities 463.9m
Efficiency
Fundamental Scores

OLLI Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Free Cash Flow
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
Positive 3-Year Average ROE
53/100
Profitability
Score

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

OLLI Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc's solvency score is 94/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

High Interest Coverage
High Altman Z-Score
Negative Net Debt
Low D/E
94/100
Solvency
Score

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc's solvency score is 94/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

OLLI Price Targets Summary
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast OLLI stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OLLI is 88.74 USD with a low forecast of 64.64 USD and a high forecast of 103.95 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
64.64 USD
18% Downside
Average
Price Target
88.74 USD
12% Upside
Highest
Price Target
103.95 USD
32% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

OLLI Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
Why is insider trading important?

Shareholder Return

OLLI Price
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc

1M 1M
+5%
6M 6M
+6%
1Y 1Y
+39%
3Y 3Y
-6%
5Y 5Y
-7%
10Y 10Y
+394%
Annual Price Range
78.96
52w Low
51.94
52w High
82.66
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return -10.55%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 29.63%
Max Drawdown -66%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 4.9B USD
Shares Outstanding 61 592 300
Percentage of Shares Shorted 5.76%

OLLI Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

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OLLI News

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Last Important Events
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc

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Sentiment Analysis
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc

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Company Profile

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc Logo
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Retail

Market Cap

4.9B USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the retail of closeouts, excess inventory, and salvage merchandise. The company is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania and currently employs 4,700 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2015-07-16. The firm principally buys overproduced, overstocked and closeout merchandise from manufacturers, wholesalers and other retailers. Its warehouse format stores feature a number of categories including housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys and electronics as well as other products including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn and garden products. The firm operates approximately 431 retail locations in 29 states. Its retail locations are located in Alabama, Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia and West Virginia.

Contact

PENNSYLVANIA
Harrisburg
6295 Allentown Blvd Ste 1
+17176572300.0
https://investors.ollies.us/

IPO

2015-07-16

Employees

4 700

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Mr. John W. Swygert Jr.
Senior VP & CFO
Mr. Robert F. Helm
Executive VP & COO
Mr. Eric van der Valk
VP & Chief Information Officer
Mr. Larry Kraus
Senior VP & General Merchandise Manager
Mr. Kevin McLain
Senior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Mr. James J. Comitale
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Senior Vice President of Marketing & Advertising
Tom Kuypers
Executive
Ms. Lyn Rhoads Walther C.F.A.
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See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one OLLI stock?

The intrinsic value of one OLLI stock under the Base Case scenario is 60.35 USD.

Is OLLI stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 78.96 USD, Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc is Overvalued by 24%.