Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
NASDAQ:OLLI
Intrinsic Value
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the retail of closeouts, excess inventory, and salvage merchandise. [ Read More ]
The intrinsic value of one
OLLI
stock under the Base Case scenario is
62.51
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 74.35 USD,
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
is
Overvalued by 16%.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc's market capitalization is 4.6B USD.
OLLI stock price is 74.35 USD.
OLLI stock (62.51 USD) is 16% less than its price (74.35 USD).
OLLI stock (66.02 USD) is 11% less than its price (74.35 USD). Open Relative Valuation
OLLI has upside potential of 21% compared to the average analyst price target.
Open Wall St Estimates
OLLI has positive three-year average ROIC (Return on Invested Capital): 10%. The company is efficient at using invested capital to generate operating income.
OLLI's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 10%.
OLLI has positive Operating Income for the last twelve months.
OLLI has positive Net Income for the last twelve months.
OLLI's ROE (Return on Equity) for the past 12 months is positive and is equal to 13%.
OLLI has positive three-year average ROE (Return on Equity): 12%. The company is efficient at transforming stockholders' equity into net income.
OLLI's Revenue has been growing by 5% per year for the last 3 years.
OLLI's Revenue has grown by 15% over the past 12 months.
OLLI's Revenue is forecast to grow at a rate of 10% per year over the next 3 years.
OLLI's ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) has decreased in the last 3 years from 17% to 10%.
OLLI's ROE (Return on Equity) has decreased in the last 3 years from 20% to 13%.
OLLI has positive Free Cash Flow for the last twelve months.
OLLI has positive Gross Profit for the last twelve months.
OLLI's short-term assets (871m USD) exceed its short-term liabilties (316m USD).
OLLI's long-term assets (2B USD) exceed its long-term liabilties (786m USD).
OLLI's D/E (Debt to Equity) is very low and is equal to 0.
OLLI has negative Net Debt. This means that the company has more cash and short-term investments (353m USD) than debt (1m USD).
OLLI's Altman Z-Score is very high and is equal to 5.58.
OLLI earns more than enough operating income (228m USD) to safely cover interest payments on its debt (419k USD).
Valuation Backtest
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
Run backtest to discover the historical profit from buying and selling
OLLI
stocks based on their intrinsic value.
Analyze the historical link between intrinsic value and market price to make more informed investment decisions.
Fundamental Analysis
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
Balance Sheet Decomposition
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
| Current Assets | 871.4m |
| Cash & Short-Term Investments | 353.2m |
| Receivables | 2.2m |
| Other Current Assets | 516m |
| Non-Current Assets | 1.4B |
| PP&E | 745.6m |
| Intangibles | 675.4m |
| Other Non-Current Assets | 2.2m |
| Current Liabilities | 315.6m |
| Accounts Payable | 128.1m |
| Accrued Liabilities | 159.3m |
| Other Current Liabilities | 28.2m |
| Non-Current Liabilities | 470.8m |
| Long-Term Debt | 1m |
| Other Non-Current Liabilities | 469.8m |
Earnings Waterfall
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
|
Revenue
|
2.1B
USD
|
|
Cost of Revenue
|
-1.3B
USD
|
|
Gross Profit
|
832.4m
USD
|
|
Operating Expenses
|
-604.6m
USD
|
|
Operating Income
|
227.8m
USD
|
|
Other Expenses
|
-46.4m
USD
|
|
Net Income
|
181.4m
USD
|
Free Cash Flow Analysis
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
OLLI Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
Score
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc's profitability score is 53/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.
OLLI Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc's solvency score is 94/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Score
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc's solvency score is 94/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.
Wall St
Price Targets
OLLI Price Targets Summary
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for
OLLI
is 89.6 USD
with a low forecast of 64.64 USD and a high forecast of 109.2 USD.
Ownership
OLLI Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders
| Period | Sold | Bought | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Months |
|
|
|
| 6 Months |
|
|
|
| 9 Months |
|
|
|
| 12 Months |
|
|
|
Shareholder Return
OLLI Price
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
| Average Annual Return | -12.66% |
| Standard Deviation of Annual Returns | 31.4% |
| Max Drawdown | -66% |
| Market Capitalization | 4.6B USD |
| Shares Outstanding | 61 956 000 |
| Percentage of Shares Shorted | 6.19% |
OLLI News
Last Important Events
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
Significant happenings or occurrences that are of interest to investors. These could be company-specific developments or market-wide shifts.
Sentiment Analysis
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
Company Profile
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
Country
Industry
Market Cap
Dividend Yield
Description
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the retail of closeouts, excess inventory, and salvage merchandise. The company is headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania and currently employs 4,700 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2015-07-16. The firm principally buys overproduced, overstocked and closeout merchandise from manufacturers, wholesalers and other retailers. Its warehouse format stores feature a number of categories including housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys and electronics as well as other products including hardware, candy, clothing, sporting goods, pet and lawn and garden products. The firm operates approximately 431 retail locations in 29 states. Its retail locations are located in Alabama, Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia and West Virginia.
Contact
IPO
Employees
Officers
The intrinsic value of one
OLLI
stock under the Base Case scenario is
62.51
USD.
Compared to the current market price of 74.35 USD,
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc
is
Overvalued by 16%.
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