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Portillos Inc
NASDAQ:PTLO

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Portillos Inc Logo
Portillos Inc
NASDAQ:PTLO
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Price: 14.21 USD 1.14%
Updated: Mar 28, 2024

Intrinsic Value

Portillo's, Inc. serves street food through high-energy, multichannel restaurants designed to ignite the senses and create a memorable dining experience. [ Read More ]

The intrinsic value of one PTLO stock under the Base Case scenario is 28.53 USD. Compared to the current market price of 14.21 USD, Portillos Inc is Undervalued by 50%.

Key Points:
PTLO Intrinsic Value
Base Case
28.53 USD
Undervaluation 50%
Intrinsic Value
Price
Worst Case
Base Case
Best Case

Valuation Backtest
Portillos Inc

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Fundamental Analysis

Portillo's Strong Q4 and FY 2023 Performance
2023-Q4 Earnings Call

Portillo's Strong Q4 and FY 2023 Performance

Portillo's ended 2023 with a bang, with fourth-quarter sales soaring by 24.5% to about $188 million and full-year sales up 15.8% at roughly $680 million. The company's same-restaurant sales rose 4.4%, propelled by a transaction increase of 1.3%, and their restaurant-level adjusted EBITDA jumped a significant 42.7% to $46 million with margins expanding by 310 basis points to 24.3%. Over the course of the year, they added 12 new locations, underscoring their aggressive expansion strategy, while cash flow also bulged by 24.4%, signifying the highest level in Portillo's history. The growth trajectory continues into 2024, with at least nine new stores in the pipeline, self-financed to maintain their ambitious growth trajectory.

Financials

Balance Sheet Decomposition
Portillos Inc

Current Assets 41.9m
Cash & Short-Term Investments 10.4m
Receivables 14.2m
Other Current Assets 17.3m
Non-Current Assets 1.3B
Long-Term Investments 16.7m
PP&E 489.6m
Intangibles 647.1m
Other Non-Current Assets 190.2m
Current Liabilities 104.9m
Accounts Payable 33.2m
Accrued Liabilities 37.6m
Short-Term Debt 15m
Other Current Liabilities 19.1m
Non-Current Liabilities 958.2m
Long-Term Debt 283.9m
Other Non-Current Liabilities 674.3m
Efficiency

Earnings Waterfall
Portillos Inc

Revenue
679.9m USD
Cost of Revenue
-230.9m USD
Gross Profit
449m USD
Operating Expenses
-394.4m USD
Operating Income
54.6m USD
Other Expenses
-36.2m USD
Net Income
18.4m USD

Free Cash Flow Analysis
Portillos Inc

Last Value
3-Years Average
FCF Margin
Conversion Rate
History
Components
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Fundamental Scores

PTLO Profitability Score
Profitability Due Diligence

Portillos Inc's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

Positive Gross Profit
Positive Revenue Growth Forecast
Positive 1-Year Revenue Growth
Negative Free Cash Flow
49/100
Profitability
Score

Portillos Inc's profitability score is 49/100. The higher the profitability score, the more profitable the company is.

PTLO Solvency Score
Solvency Due Diligence

Portillos Inc's solvency score is 24/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Long-Term Solvency
Low D/E
Short-Term Solvency
Low Altman Z-Score
24/100
Solvency
Score

Portillos Inc's solvency score is 24/100. The higher the solvency score, the more solvent the company is.

Wall St
Price Targets

PTLO Price Targets Summary
Portillos Inc

Wall Street analysts forecast PTLO stock price to rise over the next 12 months.

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PTLO is 21.87 USD with a low forecast of 17.17 USD and a high forecast of 28.35 USD.

Lowest
Price Target
17.17 USD
21% Upside
Average
Price Target
21.87 USD
54% Upside
Highest
Price Target
28.35 USD
100% Upside
View Analyst Estimates
View Analyst Estimates

Competitive Landscape

Ownership

PTLO Insider Trading
Buy and sell transactions by insiders

Cumulative Transactions Amount
Period Sold Bought Net
3 Months
6 Months
9 Months
12 Months
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Shareholder Return

PTLO Price
Portillos Inc

1M 1M
-8%
6M 6M
-7%
1Y 1Y
-33%
3Y 3Y
-51%
5Y 5Y
-51%
10Y 10Y
-51%
Annual Price Range
14.21
52w Low
12.73
52w High
23.77
Price Metrics
Average Annual Return -11.99%
Standard Deviation of Annual Returns 64.28%
Max Drawdown -77%
Shares Statistics
Market Capitalization 874.7m USD
Shares Outstanding 61 554 100
Percentage of Shares Shorted 9.16%

PTLO Return Decomposition
Main factors of price return

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PTLO News

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Company Profile

Portillos Inc Logo
Portillos Inc

Country

United States of America

Industry

Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure

Market Cap

874.7m USD

Dividend Yield

0%

Description

Portillo's, Inc. serves street food through high-energy, multichannel restaurants designed to ignite the senses and create a memorable dining experience. The company is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois and currently employs 7,453 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-10-21. The firm's menu consists of Chicago-style hot dogs, Beef and sausage Sandwiches, Chicken, Char-Broiled Burgers, Sandwiches and Ribs, Salads, Barnelli’s Pasta, Sides and Soup, Desserts and shakes, Italian beef sandwiches, burgers, crinkle-cut French fries, homemade chocolate cake, signature chocolate cake shake and milkshakes. The company accommodates a range of access modes, including dine-in, carryout/curbside, delivery and catering. The company owns and operates approximately 69 restaurants across nine states, including Illinois, Arizona, Indiana, Florida, Iowa, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan and California. The firm conducts its business through PHD Group Holdings LLC, known as Portillo’s OpCo and its subsidiaries. The firm also operates in non-traditional locations, which includes a food truck, ghost kitchen and concessions.

Contact

ILLINOIS
Oak Brook
C/O The Portillo Restaurant Group, 2001 Spring Road, Suite 400
+16309543773.0
https://www.portillos.com/index.html

IPO

2021-10-21

Employees

7 453

Officers

President, CEO & Director
Mr. Michael Osanloo
CFO & Treasurer
Ms. Michelle Greig Hook
Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Derrick Lee Pratt
Director of Investor Relations
Ms. Barbara Margaret Noverini C.F.A.
General Counsel & Secretary
Kelly M. Kaiser
Chief Marketing Officer
Mr. Nicholas Anthony Scarpino
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Chief People Officer
Ms. Jill Francine Waite
Chief Development Officer
Mr. Michael K. Ellis
Show Less

See Also

Discover More
What is the Intrinsic Value of one PTLO stock?

The intrinsic value of one PTLO stock under the Base Case scenario is 28.53 USD.

Is PTLO stock undervalued or overvalued?

Compared to the current market price of 14.21 USD, Portillos Inc is Undervalued by 50%.