Ester Industries Ltd
NSE:ESTER
Ester Industries Ltd
NSE:ESTER
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Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Ester Industries Limited Q3 and 9M FY '25 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded.
I now hand the conference over to Mr. Gavin Desa from CDR India. Thank you and over to you, Mr. Desa.
Thank you, Ranjit. Good day, everyone, and a warm welcome to Ester Industries Q3 and 9 Month FY '25 Analyst and Investor Conference Call. We have with us today Mr. Vaibhav Jha, the Deputy CEO; and Mr. Pradeep Kumar Rustagi, the Executive Director, Corporate Affairs. We will begin this call with opening remarks from the management. Following which, we will have the floor open for an interactive Q&A session. Before we begin, I would like to point out that some statements made in today's discussions may be forward looking in nature and a note to this effect was sent to you in the invite earlier. We trust you've had a chance to go through the communications and financial performance.
I would now like to invite Mr. Vaibhav Jha to make his opening remarks. Over to you, Vaibhav.
Thank you, Gavin, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today. I will briefly talk about the key business developments, post which Mr. Pradeep will walk you through our financial performance. I'm pleased to report that we have not only sustained the business momentum of the previous quarter, but have in fact further accelerated it as can be seen from our margins and profitability. While both businesses performed well, Film business in particular registered a solid performance especially with regards to both margins and profitability. This was on the back of better product and market mix. Specialty Polymer business as well registered a healthy growth on a year-on-year basis. So now let me move over to the individual business performances. Starting with Specialty Polymers, the business registered a strong Y-o-Y growth. The growth was primarily due to strong demand of our marquee products, MB03 and innovative PBT.
For the quarter, our overall volumes of sales excluding RPET was around 785 metric ton, almost 40% higher compared to Q3 FY '24 volumes of 558 metric tons. On a 9-month basis, volume excluding RPET, stood at 2,610 metric tons compared to 1,683 metric tons achieved in 9 months FY '24, higher by 55% on a year-on-year basis. In terms of our key products, MB03 volumes stood at 202 metric tons during quarter 3 of FY '25 as against 153 metric tons during quarter 3 of FY '24. Volume of sales of Innovative PBT for Q3 FY '25 stood at 333 metric tons as against 314 metric tons of Q3 FY '24. Specialty Polymers, as previously mentioned, are primarily produced for sales to overseas customers with a substantial share of its sales directed towards client in U.S.A. and China. The primary application of these products are within the carpet and consumer electronics sectors.
From a margin and profitability standpoint, the business remains largely protected due to intellectual property safeguards associated with its key products. Looking ahead, we anticipate that the business will maintain its growth momentum in the coming years supported by a promising product pipeline and human capital to pursue aggressive and focused marketing strategy in order to achieve the growth that we are targeting in this segment. Now about Film business. Q2 was a turnaround quarter for the business. Q3 signifies a resurgence in both margin enhancement and overall profitability. As many of you know, the industry faced significant challenges characterized by ongoing losses due to pricing pressures over the past few years. Many new capacities were introduced over the last 2 years and that had created substantial oversupply, which has exerted downward pressure on pricing and profit margins within the BOPET films market.
I'm extremely pleased to report that we are now witnessing an improved demand-supply scenario, which in turn is translating into better pricing and margin environment. Despite the mid-single-digit volume growth during the quarter, we were able to achieve improved margins and were also able to deliver significantly better profitability due to better product mix that we were able to achieve. Increased export of high margin value-added products during the quarter led to overall better profitability for the business. To quantify on consolidated basis, exports registered a volume growth of 5% during Q3 FY '25. Furthermore, on consolidated basis, the share of value-added products as well stood at around 27% during the quarter as against 16% in Q3 FY '24. Various initiatives to transform Ester from a commodity player to a specialty film player are being pursued diligently. Our wholly-owned subsidiary, Ester Filmtech, generated revenue of INR 90 crores with volumes of 6,698 metric tons during the quarter.
We expect the entity to deliver revenues of approximately INR 360 crores in the current fiscal and INR 450 crores to INR 500 crores upon achieving optimal utilization at a reasonable price and margins during next fiscal. Further, in addition to improved demand-supply environment and better product mix, also the Plastic Waste Management Rules mandating utilization of 10% recycled content in flexible packaging laminate coming into force from next year is expected to further increase demand for polyester films with conversion taking place from other substrates to polyester. As regards to the JV with Loop Industries, I am pleased to report that it is advancing according to the established time line. Collaborative teams comprising members from both Ester and Loop have been established to execute the plan and oversee essential functions such as detailed engineering, project setup, raw material procurement, planning and financing.
Our objective is to initiate commercial operations in the second quarter of calendar year '27. JV company ELITe, which is ELITe Loop JV, has been capitalized by an amount of INR 17 crores. Each contributed an equity by -- INR 8.5 crores each contributed as equity by Ester and Loop. So both Ester and Loop have contributed INR 8.5 crores and the JV now has INR 17 crore of equity available with it. In conclusion, we expect a markedly improved operational and financial performance in the current fiscal year compared to the previous one. Specialty Polymer continues to demonstrate strength and potential. Likewise, the prospect for the Film business supported by a more stable environment appears encouraging. We are assured that both of our SBUs are well positioned for growth and value enhancement. The collaboration with Loop, a groundbreaking and transformative initiative, is poised to facilitate profitable growth for the company moving forward.
So that concludes my opening remarks. I now hand over the floor to Mr. Pradeep to walk you through our financial performance. Over to you, Mr. Pradeep.
Thank you and good day, everyone. Thank you for joining us on our quarter 3 FY '25 earning call. Let me quickly walk you through our financial performance, post which we can commence the question-and-answer session. I would like to start with financial performance of Ester Industries. Total income on stand-alone basis stood at INR 277 crores as against INR 211 crores in the corresponding quarter last year. That's higher by 31%. The primary reason for the growth is the strong performance of both our businesses. EBITDA during the quarter under review, including nonoperating income, stood at INR 44 crores as compared to loss of INR 1.2 crores during Q3 FY '24. EBITDA during 9 months FY '25 stood at INR 98 crores as compared to INR 14 crore during the corresponding period last year.
Coming to the financial performance of wholly-owned subsidiary, Ester Filmtech. The revenues stood at INR 90 crores as against INR 99 crores in Q2 FY '25. Reported EBITDA during the quarter under review, including nonoperating income, stood at INR 22 crore as compared to INR 6 crore during the Q2 FY '25. EBITDA during 9 months FY '25 stood at INR 29 crores. In terms of sales in volumetric terms, Ester Filmtech sold 6,698 metric ton of film during Q3 FY '25. With the pricing and margin trend improving and demand supply mismatch narrowing, we are confident that Ester Filmtech will contribute positively to the overall growth of the business in coming years due to state-of-the-art plant and machinery and low operating cost. We expect the unit to generate revenue worth INR 450 crores to INR 500 crores at reasonable prices and margin upon achieving optimal utilization by FY '26.
On a consolidated basis, EBITDA for the quarter stood at INR 65 crores as against negative of INR 15 crores generated in Q3 FY '24. On 9-month basis, we could earn EBITDA of INR 125 crore as compared to negative INR 6 crores earned during 9 month FY '24. On consolidated basis, we could earn profit after tax of INR 25 crores as compared to loss of INR 45 crores incurred during corresponding quarter last year. As articulated by Vaibhav, we possess a strong confidence in the growth potential and value generation of both our SBUs. Specialty Polymer has demonstrated its potential for growth while the Film division is exhibiting enhanced performance characterized by favorable pricing and margin trends. The significant increase in demand for BOPET film is contributing to a more balanced demand-supply situation. Our collaboration with Loop Industries is anticipated to be transformative. Once operational, it is expected to significantly impact our growth path and profitability.
That concludes our opening remarks and we can now commence the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions] First question comes from the line of Jatin Damania with SVAN Investments.
First of all, congrats on a good set of numbers. So sir, first question, just wanted to understand on the market demand-supply scenario because in your opening comments, you alluded that a couple of new capacities were set up in the last 2 years, which had weighed on the pricing. And just wanted to understand the current demand-supply dynamics in terms of the mismatch, what is it right now and how are we seeing it 1 year or 2 years down the line?
So thank you for the question. So basically what has happened was that their capacity growth was more than the demand growth in last couple of years and now we are seeing quite a decelerated pace of capacity addition, maybe 1 or 2 lines this year and then another line in subsequent year. So this is making the market more balanced with respect to supply-demand and therefore, we expect that this recovery should continue and the margins should stabilize given that the supply and demand are now coming closer to each other. Also, the other thing that we are expecting is from 1st of April, the government is going to implement PWMR rules for flexible packaging and polyester is a substrate where the recycled content can be much higher than the other substrates. So we expect a pull coming in from the market, which would lead to an increment in the demand much more than what we have seen over last 2 or 3 years. So when that happens, it will further help to reduce this gap between demand and capacity and therefore, we are quite confident that the margin situation should continue to remain stable if not improve.
Sir, in terms of the quantification, if you can probably help me. Because if I'm not wrong, in last call or probably a call before that, we had mentioned that the demand-supply mismatch was around 15,000 per month. So has it come down to almost a single digit or it's still continuing to remain in the range of 10,000, 12,000?
So it is in that range, about 12,000 to 15,000 tons a month is the overcapacity. So there is a domestic demand and there is a certain amount of exports happening from India. So we are left with a surplus of about 12,000 tons a month.
So secondly, now when you look at the numbers, definitely see now the demand-supply has narrowed a bit, but there is a substantial improvement in the overall margins for us both in the stand-alone business as well as into the Ester Filmtech. So if you can help us what was the spread in the last quarter and what was the spreads currently I mean after the Q3 exit?
So one of the reasons why the Film has done better than the last quarter is that there has been significant improvement in the proportion of value-added and specialty films. On a consolidated basis, both the Ester and Ester Filmtech put together, we have been able to make sales of value-added products to the extent of 27%. So that's been one of the reasons for better performance. And our exports have also increased where the margins were better. So overall, higher exports and higher volume of value-added and specialty films has contributed to the improvement in performance of film business. Of course the raw material has been very stable in the last quarter and before that also. So a stable raw material scenario, increased volume of proportion of value-added products, higher exports. All that has contributed to better performance.
Yes. But sir, if I look at your numbers in the previous quarter, value-added proportion was much higher than what -- I mean...
That was for Ester Industries alone. On a consolidated, it was close to 19%.
19% has gone to 27% in this quarter.
Yes.
And how do we see the ramp up in this value-added products from a 27%?
So our target is to take it in a steady growth trajectory and what we are doing right now is we are in the budget process. So we will have a much better idea on what we are targeting for the next financial year by the time we have the next earnings call. But right now the focus for this quarter is to hold on to this Specialty Polymer and make it in the range of, say, 30% plus/minus so that this trend of high profitability continues in this quarter at least.
So is it fair to assume incremental 30 bps growth in the value-added products will come from the Ester Filmtech only because we operate at 55% and there we have enough value-added or the operating leverage that can come play in the Q4 and the year after?
No, it will come from both the companies because the major chunk of the value-added products can be produced only in Ester Industries because of the infrastructure that we have. We have offline quota and other various plant and machinery, which can do the products which Ester Filmtech cannot do as of now. So the growth is going to be there from Ester Industries primarily.
Next question comes from the line of Krushna Parekh with Dolat Capital.
Sir, I have a couple of questions. First one, do you still believe on the Specialty Polymers, we are on track to do INR 200 crores of revenue for this year?
See on Specialty Polymers, indeed the target was to do INR 200 crore top line as we had shared earlier. But right now given the way 3 quarters have shaped up, we believe that it's going to be quite tough for us to hit that INR 200 crore top line. And we are looking to come close to it, but I believe that in the end we might end up being 10% to 15% short in the top line target of INR 200 crores. So that is what we feel as of now. But we are pushing very hard to make sure that we reach as close to INR 200 crore as possible.
Okay. The second, my question was on what is your demand outlook for BOPET in the current calendar year '25?
So a part of it was already answered in the previous question, but just for your benefit. See, there are multiple drivers. One is the natural growth, which is happening. And we have seen in the past that the film demand has been growing in the ratio of 1.5x the GDP growth rate. So that is one natural growth rate, which is there in the film packaging industry. The second part of it is coming from our expectation of the PWMR rules getting implemented from 1st of April, which is again likely to give a flip to the film demand in India. So that makes us very confident that if we take, say, a growth of 6.5% in the GDP and multiply it by 1.5% so 9% to 10% of the growth in demand in India should come because of the natural progression plus whatever growth we get due to the implementation of PWMR would be on top of that. So we are extremely confident that we are going to see a very, very strong growth in BOPET film demand in the next financial year.
Next question comes from the line of Aditya Vora with Share India.
Couple of questions from my side. One was if you could quantify what was the average gross spreads per kg for the quarter, which is the third quarter, that would be helpful.
So we generally focus on 12-micron commodity films. So the value addition, which is the difference between selling price and raw material cost, in the December quarter it stood at about INR 43 per kg. But the blended VA for the domestic or export market would be much higher for us because we do various grades, various varieties of films, value-added and metalized, et cetera. So the 12 micron is about INR 43 in December quarter.
And what would it be currently in the month of February?
Currently, it is in the same range, about INR 40, INR 42 kind of.
And if I were to extrapolate this to the peak, say, during I think COVID we had a peak in terms of spread. What would the peak be and how far are we from that?
The peak that we saw was in, let's say, March '22 quarter or June '22 quarter, it was in the range of INR 55 to INR 60 a kg. And at that time, the volumes were also very high. This time, the volumes are lower, the margins are at about INR 40.
Okay. And so when we talk about the value-add, which has gone up from 19% to 27%, in that can you let me know what will be the gross spread there over and above the normal spread or the total number?
So in the VAS products, generally the value addition over and above the 12 micron is in the range of INR 45 to INR 65 a kg depending on the product mix. The product that we have in the value-added basket are too many. So it depends on the proportion of sales that we achieve. So range can be over incremental of about INR 45 to INR 55.
Right, right. Okay. And sir, secondly, on the Specialty Polymer business, you said it's difficult to do INR 200 crores. But can you just guide us in terms of strategically where do we see this business? Because if we look at Ester Industries, obviously majority of your revenue comes from your BOPET, which is a commodity business. I know you're trying to increase your value-added, but the real juice lies in the Specialty Polymer business. So in that case, where do we see this business, say, 2, 3 years down the line considering the fact that margins are extremely higher and do we see margins going higher from here because I think 30%, 33% is the margin? And just another follow-up on the same is that the Specialty Polymers business is down quarter-on-quarter so any seasonality that is there?
Right. So couple of points. First on the strategic view of Specialty Polymer that we are taking. So we are completely aligned. It's a high margin business. This is where, like you are rightly saying, the juice is and not to say that Film business is any lesser. But in terms of the outlook for Specialty Polymer, we definitely want to focus on it more and grow it. Now the challenge is that while this market is very attractive, it takes time to establish new products and new customers because of the long approval cycle for any new chemical that we develop. So what we are doing right now is working on multiple leads. The pipeline is very strong and we are expecting them to materialize in due course of time and the focus is going to be on the market outreach to make sure that this pipeline becomes stronger and stronger so that we are able to see significant volume growth. In terms of the profitability, we think that the profits are going to remain stable around the EBITDA levels of 30%, 33%. The focus will be to retain the EBITDA margins and grow the volumes, which is where we are. So in 2 to 3 years' time line, we expect the volume to be significantly higher than where we are today right now. Now you had a second question, sorry, can you repeat that?
There was a quarter-on-quarter decline in terms of the Specialty Polymer revenues and also the margins, I think 33% has come to 30%. So is there some seasonality or a one-off order in this?
There is definitely a seasonality because what we see, one of our major clients -- one of the major segments that we target is the consumer electronics segment and the trend over there is that the manufacturing of consumer electronics is done in Q2 so most of the sales happen then. And in Q3 because of the holiday season in the global markets, the manufacturing is on a low side because whatever needs to be sold in quarter 3 has already been manufactured in quarter 2. So historically, we have seen a seasonality wherein the Q2 volumes due to the consumer electronics effect has been lower than the Q2 volumes.
And coming to the lower EBIT margin for the Specialty Polymer. So what has happened that if you see there is a significant increase in the volume of sales. That is because of the sale of RPET in the domestic market. The margins in RPET that is sold in the domestic market is lower than the normal Specialty Polymer product. So that has pulled the EBIT down from 33% to 30%.
Right, right. And sir, just lastly, since you have seen a lot of cycles, currently, where are we in terms of the BOPET cycle? So I'm assuming that uptick started last year. So where do we look at it? Because we have reached I think INR 45?
So only I can answer this. I have seen many cycles. So what has happened that the upturn has started and it's likely to continue for, I would say, 3, 4 years because no major new capacity is expected to come before '27-'28. Only 1 or 2 lines are going to come in '25-'26. The growth in demand at about 11% to 12% is going to be -- the industry will need about 2 lines to come every year. So as the time passes by, we are going to see a significant narrowing of the demand-supply gap. Secondly, the Plastic Waste Management Rules is going to trigger a spike in the demand. So we are going to see a much better scenario to emerge in the next, let's say, years or year after that and the good run is expected to continue not less than 3 years.
Next question comes from the line of Saket Kapoor with Kapoor & Company.
Welcome Mr. Vaibhav. The first point was, sir, I think so we are also in the process of installing a metallic extruder in our Khatima plant. So is that also related to this value-addition proposition going up? I think so some INR 70 crores, INR 80 crores of capital work in progress was there as a closing balance.
So we are going to install an extruder in Ester Filmtech in Hyderabad for taking advantage of the increased demand emerging from the implementation of Plastic Waste Management Rules. There is no major CapEx planned in Ester Khatima. Ester Filmtech, there is an extruder to be commissioned, which is likely to be installed by June or July '25.
Okay. And how will we benefit out of it, sir? What would be the benefit?
So that machine will convert the PET bottle flakes to granules, which can then be fed as a raw material in the manufacturing process of polyester film to meet the requirement of PCR content in the film.
Okay. It will be a backward integration exercise in that way?
Yes, to some extent, yes, yes.
Okay. And sir, as per your commentary also and since Mr. Singhania is not in the call -- firstly, I would like to thank Mr. Singhania on behalf of investors that you and Pradeep ji have given us the right understanding as the way things were shaping up way back in the first quarter and things have been in line with that, expectations have been met and even better. So my congratulations to both of you. Kindly convey my regards to Singhania, sir, also. Sir, when we look at your now the way forward, going ahead since we are running at optimum level for our Khatima unit and the demand-supply gap of 12,000, 15,000 will take time to get balanced. So where will the growth in the Film segment come especially in terms of the higher value-added proposition and also export? And if you could give some color how the mix is going to be going ahead in the next quarter and the way forward?
So you mean the current quarter, right?
Yes, correct. Current quarter especially and also going ahead also, sir?
So see, in terms of domestic demand, we know it's growing, but there is definitely the supply overhang, which is receding as we speak, right? So in terms of domestic sales, we expect that the domestic sales should remain in the range where we are right now, but we are expecting to see an improvement in the export sales in this quarter. So I would say that while there will be some improvement in the domestic sales, we are expecting a better improvement in the export sales in the quarter.
Okay. And you have thrown the thrust and the weight on value-added Film segment. So sir, actually what has exactly been in favor of these value-added films? Are the product mix or some type of orders that we are executing due to which the proportion has gone up? And where should it be on a conservative basis going ahead?
Yes. So in terms of value-added products, these have long gestation period and once you develop a product, it takes anywhere close to 1 year to 1.5 year to establish it. So the pipeline which we had built earlier, they are slowly materializing as we speak and that has led to fruition of some of the value-added sales that we are seeing right now. In terms of the growth path, we are looking at -- in this quarter, I already mentioned that our focus will be to hold 27% VA share and probably grow it to the range of 30%. What we are going to do next year, we are still working out on the details as a part of our annual operating plan and we will be in a much better position to give you an outlook for next financial year by the time we are ready for the next investor call. So please bear with us till then and we should have a much clearer picture by the next call.
Sir, 2 small points, and I'll join the queue. Firstly, Pradeep ji, if you could give us the net debt number? And I think so the rating has also been given some changes in the month of May so after these numbers, when are we opting for a rating review and what is our current cost of fund?
So as far as rating is concerned, Ester Industries is A- and Ester Filmtech is BBB. We are targeting -- we have been in discussion with the rating agencies and we are talking to them to consider an upgrade and we have a strong case to pursue that. And basis the December results that we have just declared and the expected performance of March, we expect some improvement in the rating from our rating agencies. As far as net debt is concerned, it is standing at about INR 600 crores as on 31st December '24 consolidated. This is consolidated, INR 600 crores including working capital both for Ester Industries and Ester Filmtech.
Long-term borrowing [Foreign Language]
Long term would be about INR 400 crores and working capital would be about INR 200 crores.
And our current maturities [Foreign Language]?
March quarter, there is hardly an amount to be paid, INR 3 crores to INR 4 crores. Next year it is INR 50 crores plus INR 35 crores, INR 80 crores to INR 85 crores.
Okay. And sir, now one small point on this Loop part of the story. I think it's a big project that we have undertaken considering our size of operations at today's valuation at $165 million, it runs around INR 1,500 crores CapEx and in an uncharted, if I may use the word. Since the product understanding and the business profile is very unique, has unique propositions so what is the management objective? I think Singhania sir is not here, but I think Pradeep ji, you would be able to give or convey to him that next time when he's there, he give us some much more understanding because this is going to be a bigger "risk", if I may use the word, in terms of the size of the business that we are trying to inculcate the profile into the company. And out of this INR 1,400 crores, INR 1,500 crores; how much will go into land, plant machinery, technology? If some breakup, some understanding further would be provided to us, that would give some more inputs.
So first, coming to the size of the implementation, INR 15 crores appears to be big, but we have done projects about INR 700 crores all alone. But this time, we have a joint venture partner who has developed the technology, who has a pilot plant running, who is looking after the marketing and sales arrangement. So we don't see any major issue in implementation or commissioning of the plant. As far as the funding is concerned, the breakup of $165 million, Sourabh, would you -- do you have ready numbers. So yes, it is $165 million, close to INR 1,400 crores to INR 1,500 crores. It will be funded through debt and equity. Equity will be 40%, 60% will be debt. And the 40% equity is going to come equally in equal parts from Ester and Loop so it is going to be INR 280 crores each from Ester Industries and Loop. As far as breakup is concerned, how the INR 14 crores is consisting of building land, et cetera; that Sourabh will give you.
So roughly around INR 90 crores is for the land part and around INR 1,000 crores is for the plant and machinery, which we are planning in this and the balance part is your GST and intel during construction, et cetera.
Okay. And lastly, Pradeep ji, there was an INR 8 crore exchange fluctuation impact in the Ester Filmtech because of restating of loan. So if we net of that, that would give a better understanding for the PBT numbers. The PBT number on a consolidated basis was INR 31 crores. So that had a INR 8 crore additional impact. So [Foreign Language] operational numbers, so we should eliminate the same?
Yes. So whatever impact was there in the second quarter, INR 8 crores in Ester Filmtech on account of restatement of foreign currency loan that we had taken from [ OLB ], that entirely got reversed in Q3. So the EBITDA of Ester Filmtech was hit adversely by INR 8 crores in Q2. Now that has been reversed in Q3. So if you eliminate INR 8 crores from the performance of Ester Filmtech, we would be standing at about EBITDA margin of 16% to 17% for Ester Filmtech and Ester Industries remain the same.
Next question comes from the line of Jatin Damania with SVAN Investments.
So sir, just wanted to -- I mean majority of the questions has been answered. Just wanted to understand our margin profile in the stand-alone entity. So can you help us how does the margin differ into the -- in our Film business and our chip business?
So you are talking of chips business for film, which is captively consumed in a small quantity fold or you're talking of Film and Specialty Polymers?
Films and the polyester chips, which we captively consume because we sell INR 30-odd crores.
Polyester chips, the major quantity is captively consumed. It has hardly any contribution margin. The contribution margin is not more than INR 2, INR 3 a kg. So it's an intermediate product primarily produced for captive consumption or consumption in Ester Filmtech. A very small quantity is left with us, that is sold to the customers outside of Ester and Ester Filmtech.
So that means the entire margin of stand-alone entity is largely a polyester film margin...
Yes, it is polyester film. Chips is hardly anything. It is just addition to the top line, nothing to the bottom line.
And sir, secondly, now when you guided, I mean it is good to hear that we have raised our guidance for our Filmtech business from INR 300 crores to INR 350 crores of the top line for this year and INR 450 crores to INR 500 crores for next year. So if we consider next year, what will be our rated capacity utilization for Filmtech? And are we -- on a sustainable basis, we'll be able to make 18% to 20% EBITDA margin in the Filmtech, which we reported in the Q3?
So currently operating at about 55% to 60%. Going forward, we could see an increase of over 10 percentage points in the capacity utilization. And the EBITDA margins at the current prices and the margins that are prevailing, we should be able to sustain that because the fixed cost will remain the same. So only the variable cost will be incurred to achieve higher sales. So we expect the EBITDA margins to be sustained.
Okay. And sir, in export, I mean definitely you indicated that the current quarter export will be good and there's a huge visibility for FY '26 also. So do you have any rough order book in terms of the export order that is there in the pipeline or probably are we bidding for something for a couple of customers which already have tendered certain thing? If you can throw some light on that?
Yes. See, the export business that we have established so far, that is a very recurring kind of business, right? It's not a tender driven business as such. So basically once you have established a product with a customer, then you get into the repeat business mode. So we have that proven pipeline, which we have executed in quarter 3, and we expect that, that pipeline should continue to give us business in this quarter also plus in some newly established businesses, we will try to see if our business can expand. So that is how the export situation is right now and therefore, we are targeting to hold on to this 27% VA volumes and also target on a minimum the same export sales that we did in Q3 and potentially see some increase on top of what we did in Q3.
So in exports, what happens that we receive order every day, every week and execute the same. So it's almost like a running account kind of situation.
Sir, last question from my end. Sir, just on the Specialty Polymer, definitely now on Innovative and MBO3, I mean we are probably a well-known party in the market. But is there any other product in the pipeline that we are working on and should be launched in next couple of quarters that could also be as big as what Innovative or MB03 is at this point of time?
Yes. So see, there are 2 strategies that we are taking in Specialty Polymer. One is farming what we already have like MB03 has good potential and we are looking at other chemicals, which are there, but very small. We don't talk about it because the volumes are quite small, but the potential is huge. And like I said that the maturity time line for Specialty Polymer is quite large. So we have the pipeline where the approval processes are on and we are expecting some gains in the coming quarters. So of course in terms of potential and pipeline, it's quite rich. How it materializes, we are quite sure that we will be looking at, at least a double-digit growth in the next financial year across not only the existing products, but the new products that we had started working on. And we have started working on these some time back, right? So sometime during next financial year, we should see those pipelines also materializing. But overall in terms of understanding the volume growth, it would be safe to say that we are looking at a double-digit growth in Specialty Polymers.
Next question comes from the line of Saket Kapoor with Kapoor & Company.
When we look at the consolidated numbers for Specialty Polymer, we find our revenue as well as the profitability is lower. What explains this number, sir? When we look at stand-alone, the number is INR 126 crores for the 9 months and profitability PBT number is INR 44.53 crores. [Foreign Language] So what exactly?
There is a very small portion of Specialty Polymer, which is sold from Ester Industries to Ester Filmtech. That amount is very, very small. As you rightly said, INR 126 crores is getting reduced to INR 123 crores or INR 124 crores. So that's the elimination when we look at the consolidated accounts.
Okay. And also, sir, when we look at the volume for the 9 month for Ester, there was a 3% volume decline. So what explains -- although we are running at 91%, but when we look at 9 months FY '24, the volume was 38,170 metric tons and this time, 9 months, it is 36,998 metric tons.
So there what happened that the accounting standard is such that something dispatched from the factory, but not reached to the customer is not recognized as sales. So that plays -- that makes a gap of about 1 to 2 percentage points. That's insignificant. So what is dispatched from the factory in this, let's say, in the month of December not reached by 31st December will be recognized as sales in the following quarters. So 1% to 2% variation can happen because of this.
Other than that, sir, for the Specialty Polymers, we had volume of, say, 1,155 tons, as mentioned in the presentation for the 9 months. So what should we end the year in terms of the tonnage and is that also a reason for the lower tonnage that something was got shifted to the next quarter or this has not played out for Specialty Polymer?
So first of all, 1,155 tons includes 370 tons of RPET. This is only quarter 3. In quarter 2 also, 1,200 tons was the quantity of special polymer, out of which 128 tons was RPET. So if you look at the total quantity that we achieved till date 31st December, 3,353 tons. We should be looking at -- we should be closing near to 5,000 tons including RPET.
Okay. And sir, why is this segregation for RPET part being mentioned? If you could just provide the significance of that?
So RPET is sold primarily in the domestic market and the margins are not comparable to the other specialty polymer products that we do.
Sir, although the organization is growing, there is impetus on growth, there is impetus on transforming company into value-added company, but we are also seeing the attrition also in the organization at high level. I think so Vaibhav is addressing investors for the first time. So I would like to understand, Pradeep ji, you have a long stint here in the organization. What could be the reasons for these?
First of all, we must realize that there is no alarming attrition. The people who left us, they have served the Ester for 4 years, 5 years; after that, they have left. So there are opportunities, new film players have also come in. So people look for opportunities. But after serving the company for 5 to 6 years, if they leave, that's not an alarming situation as far as attrition is concerned.
Correct. And for Vaibhav ji, sir, what is the task in hand currently? What's the role envisaged with and your background, sir, earlier role?
Sure. So I was earlier with a company called Reliance Sibur Elastomers Private Limited. I was the CEO of the company. That company was a joint venture between Reliance Industries and Sibur, which is the largest petrochemical company in Russia. So I served Reliance for almost 13 to 13.5 years in Reliance and I was on secondment to this JV as the CEO. So that's my background. In terms of the task at hand, it is very clearly to transform Ester into a specialty focused company, whether it be Specialty Polymers or Specialty Films. So that is the key task, which is the juicy part, right? And of course the other responsibilities are the typical organization management responsibilities, which is basically a part of day-to-day operations. But the key task is to help Ester transform into a specialty focused company.
Correct, sir. And last point, sir. Pradeep ji, for this Loop Industry venture, when will we be drawing the debt particularly that 60% of the total cost of the project? Have we tied up for the loan or at which stage we are? And also the closing balance of INR 450 crores, which is due on account of the long-term debt taken from Filmtech, when will we be able to lower that down to reasonable levels? What's the thought process time line there, sir?
So as far as Loop is concerned so there are various activities like identification of land, FEED study, raw material planning, procurement planning, et cetera, detailed engineering. All that is going on diligently. We are in the process of getting the DPR prepared for -- bankable DPR prepared and we expect the debt to be tied up in the next 4 to 5 months or outer limit 6 months. And in the meantime whatever is the requirement of funds will be met by the equity contribution from Ester Industries and Loop. We both have invested INR 8.5 crores each about a week ago and we now have INR 17 crores, INR 18 crores sitting in the ELITe. And so the fund is not going to come in the way of the implementation of the project.
In due course of time, both equity and debt will be tied up. We are very confident. We have reached out to a few bankers and that all would be tied up. On the equity that has to come from Ester, we have already raised share warrants for INR 175 crores, out of which 25% has already been received. And as we need additional money, we would be calling on the share warrant holders to make the remittance. Coming to the debt of Ester Filmtech, the repayment obligation is INR 50 crores each year. So going by the current outstanding of about -- so by 2030, existing debt will be liquidated. And in the intervening period if we have some CapExs, for which we may raise additional debt, but the existing debt will be extinguished by 2030, term debt.
Next question comes from the line of Jatin Damania with SVAN Investments.
Sir, just last question. How much of the tonnage did we do RPET in second quarter?
RPET in December '24 quarter was 370 tons. In September '24, it was 128 tons.
And out of the -- as you gave a guidance of 5,000 tons for the full year, which makes it around 1,650 tons for the next year was Specialty Polymers, how much will we do RPET for fourth quarter?
In the fourth quarter, we are expecting RPET sales to be in the range of about 800 to 1,000 tons.
Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of question-and-answer session. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.
Thank you, everyone, for attending the call. We look forward to talk to you all in the month of May when we have the next earnings call. Thank you.
Thank you. On behalf of Ester Industries Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.
All right. Thank you.