Maruti Suzuki India Ltd
NSE:MARUTI

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Maruti Suzuki India Ltd
NSE:MARUTI
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Price: 13 314 INR 0.43% Market Closed
Market Cap: ₹4.2T

Q3-2026 Earnings Call

AI Summary
Earnings Call on Jan 28, 2026

Sales Surge: Maruti Suzuki reported its highest-ever quarterly net sales of INR 475 billion in Q3 FY '26, up from INR 368 billion in the same period last year, with strong demand across all segments.

Profit Impact: Net profit for the quarter was INR 38 billion, impacted by a one-time provision of INR 5,939 million due to new labor codes.

Volume Growth: Domestic sales volume grew by 22% YoY in Q3, with retail sales reaching a record 684,000 units and inventory at historically low levels (3-4 days).

GST Boost: The recent GST reform significantly improved market sentiment, especially benefiting the small car segment and leading to robust overall demand.

Capacity Expansion: Two new plants with 250,000 unit annual capacity each are scheduled to come online soon to meet high demand.

Export Strength: Maruti Suzuki maintained a strong export position with a 46% market share in Indian passenger vehicle exports and ongoing momentum for new models like Victoris and e VITARA.

Margin Pressures: Despite growth, EBIT margin declined to 8.1% from 8.4% last quarter, impacted by commodity costs, rare earth supply, forex, and temporary price reductions.

Guidance: Near-term demand remains strong, but management will reassess sustainable growth after the current period of heightened activity.

Demand Trends

Maruti Suzuki experienced a sharp recovery in demand across all vehicle segments, particularly small cars, following the government’s GST reform. The company reported record retail sales and noted that demand momentum is currently so strong that supply is the main constraint. Management remains positive about near-term demand, supported by a large order book, but plans to reassess the market’s sustainable demand levels after the initial euphoria subsides.

Margins & Cost Pressures

Operating profit margin (EBIT) declined sequentially to 8.1%, down from 8.4% last quarter, due to headwinds from higher commodity prices (notably platinum group metals and aluminum), rare earth supply issues, negative forex movement, fixed cost impacts from low inventory, and price reductions. A one-time provision related to labor codes further weighed on margins, though some factors like favorable operating leverage partially offset pressures.

Capacity Expansion

To keep up with strong market demand and low inventory, Maruti Suzuki is accelerating capacity expansion. Two new plants—one at Kharkhoda and another line in Gujarat—each with a 250,000 vehicle annual capacity, are scheduled to start operations soon. Management emphasized there is no shortage of investment for expanding both production capacity and new model launches.

Product & Segment Mix

Recent model launches, such as the Victoris SUV and e VITARA EV, are driving growth without significant cannibalization of existing models due to differentiated customer profiles. The company continues to see rising SUV market share and healthy demand across all segments, including a notable swing back into positive growth for small cars after earlier weakness.

Export Performance

Exports remained robust, with a 46% share of India's passenger vehicle exports. Maruti Suzuki shipped over 13,000 e VITARA units to 29 countries and is targeting over 100 countries. Minor one-offs affected Q3 export volumes, but management reaffirmed its guidance of about 400,000 export units for the year and highlighted diversification across more than 100 countries to manage market risks.

Pricing & Discounts

Discounts were at much lower levels this quarter, benefiting from market strength and demand momentum. Maruti Suzuki chose not to raise prices after the GST reduction, prioritizing consumer benefit and market momentum. Some price reductions, especially in the mini segment, were described as temporary, with decisions on future adjustments pending.

Commodity & Hedging Strategy

The company faces inflationary pressures on key commodities such as steel, aluminum, copper, and platinum group metals. While steel prices are negotiated quarterly, other commodities are sometimes hedged based on trend predictability and cost-effectiveness. The company currently maintains calibrated hedges but adapts its approach depending on market volatility and trends.

First-Time Buyers

The proportion of first-time car buyers increased by about 6-7% following the GST reform, a positive sign for market expansion. This was partly evidenced by anecdotal increases in two-wheeler owners upgrading to cars.

Net Sales
INR 475 billion
Change: Up from INR 368 billion YoY.
Net Profit
INR 38 billion
Change: Up from INR 36.5 billion YoY.
Operating Profit Margin (EBIT)
8.1%
Change: Down from 8.4% QoQ.
Retail Sales Volume
684,000 units
No Additional Information
Domestic Sales Volume
1,435,945 units (9M)
No Additional Information
Export Sales Volume
310,559 units (9M)
Guidance: About 400,000 units for the year.
Total Sales Volume
1,746,504 units (9M)
Change: Up from 1,629,639 units YoY.
Net Sales (9M)
INR 1,242 billion
Change: Up from INR 1,063 billion YoY.
Net Profit (9M)
INR 108.5 billion
Change: Up from INR 104.4 billion YoY.
Order Book
175,000 vehicles
No Additional Information
Network Inventory
3 to 4 days
No Additional Information
Export Revenue
INR 8,200 crores
No Additional Information
Net Sales
INR 475 billion
Change: Up from INR 368 billion YoY.
Net Profit
INR 38 billion
Change: Up from INR 36.5 billion YoY.
Operating Profit Margin (EBIT)
8.1%
Change: Down from 8.4% QoQ.
Retail Sales Volume
684,000 units
No Additional Information
Domestic Sales Volume
1,435,945 units (9M)
No Additional Information
Export Sales Volume
310,559 units (9M)
Guidance: About 400,000 units for the year.
Total Sales Volume
1,746,504 units (9M)
Change: Up from 1,629,639 units YoY.
Net Sales (9M)
INR 1,242 billion
Change: Up from INR 1,063 billion YoY.
Net Profit (9M)
INR 108.5 billion
Change: Up from INR 104.4 billion YoY.
Order Book
175,000 vehicles
No Additional Information
Network Inventory
3 to 4 days
No Additional Information
Export Revenue
INR 8,200 crores
No Additional Information

Earnings Call Transcript

Transcript
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Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Maruti Suzuki Q3 FY '26 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I now hand the conference over to Mr. Pranav. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

P
Pranav Ambaprasad
executive

Thank you, Raju. Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon, once again. Welcome you all to the Q3 FY '26 earnings call. May I introduce you to the management team from Maruti Suzuki. Today, we have with us our Chief Investor Relations Officer, Mr. Rahul Bharti; and CFO, Mr. Arnab Roy.

Before we begin, may I remind you of the safe harbor. We may be making some forward-looking statements that have to be understood in conjunction with the uncertainty and the risks that the company faces. I also like to inform you that the call is being recorded, and the audio recording and the transcript will be available at our website.

Please note that in case of any inadvertent error during this live audio call, a transcript will be provided with the corrected information. The con call will begin with a brief statement on the performance and outlook of our business by CIRO and Chief Senior Executive Officer, Corporate Affairs, Mr. Rahul Bharti, after which, we'll be happy to receive your questions.

I would now like to invite our CIRO, Mr. Rahul Bharti. Over to you, sir.

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

Thanks, Pranav. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for joining us. We are happy that after a long time, the growth in passenger vehicle industry has bounced back after the government's historic GST reform. It is not common that the taxes are reduced by about 5% to 10% on items in a single stroke. Given the magnitude of this measure, it was expected to show some manifestation in terms of market growth. The passenger vehicle industry, which had experienced a decline of 0.4% in the first half of the financial year '26, span to a whopping 20.5% growth in the third quarter, as compared to Q3 last year.

Maruti Suzuki benefited even more. Our sales volume growth in domestic market bounced back to a robust 22% in the Q3 of FY '26 compared to a decline of 5.8% in the first half of FY '26. The primary driver of our sales volume growth in quarter 3 compared to the same period last year has been the small car segment in the 18% GST bracket. Fortunately, for Maruti Suzuki, the demand is robust across the whole spectrum. We had to work on Sundays and holidays to meet the demand. We clocked our highest ever retail sales of over 683,000 units in quarter 3 of this year.

With this, we ended quarter 3 with a very low network inventory of just about 3 to 4 days, along with a healthy order book of around 175,000 vehicles. Once again, I'm happy to share that the Indian consumer has demonstrated her true strength, and she's the one who's actually driving us. We are the ones to follow and at present, we are constrained by supplies.

As a market leader, we have always mentioned that we have responsibility across all segments ranging from the compact mass segment vehicles to premium SUVs. You are aware that we have undertaken a series of SUV launches with the most recent launch being the Victoris. I vividly remember that when we had launched the Victoris, I asked my marketing colleague [ Partho-san ], about the product. He said Rahul-san, taste the product. It is the SUV that has got it all.

When we look at the styling, the features, the infotainment, the theater on wheels experience, the Level 2 ADAS, underbody CNG, and of course, the looks. Actually, the Victoris has got it all. And no wonder that the Victoris got the Indian Car of the Year award when 19 prominent auto publications form a jury and together vote for the best car in the country.

Now we have a happy problem of meeting the market demand. I remember that on August 15, when the GST reform was announced, our top management immediately advised to accelerate our capacity expansion plans. So our second plant at the Kharkhoda facility is scheduled to be operational by April '26. And soon after in Gujarat, the D-line, which is the fourth line at our existing Gujarat facility will also be commissioned. Each will have a capacity to produce about 250,000 vehicles annually. Additionally, we have also announced our plan to set up a second greenfield manufacturing facility in Gujarat.

The GST reform has not only boosted consumption but has also accelerated private CapEx. Coming to exports. We continue to grow faster than the rest of industry. In calendar year '25, Maruti Suzuki commanded nearly 46% share in passenger vehicle exports from India. Till December '25, we have exported over 13,000 units of e VITARA to 29 different countries for which we have a plan to for about 100 countries plus.

Before we move to the financial results, since investors like some flavor of the business, may I share some major highlights for the company. Maruti Suzuki has set a new benchmark in industry by achieving cumulative sales of 30 million units in the domestic market. This historic milestone has been attained within 42 years, reflecting the company's sustained leadership and deep customer trust. This was the second consecutive calendar year in which the company crossed annual production volume of 2 million units, reflecting our strong focus on meeting customer demand across both domestic and export markets.

Our true SUV, the Jimny 5-Door has achieved a landmark milestone, surpassing a cumulative export figure of 100,000 units from India. Jimny's strong off-road DNA, reliable performance and uncompromising quality have earned admiration in over 100 countries. The e VITARA, the company's first electric vehicle secured a comprehensive 5-star safety rating in Bharat NCAP, strengthening the company's 5-star BNCAP rated vehicle portfolio alongside the all-new Dzire, the Victoris and the Invicto. Further strengthening the company's robust network of 2,000 exclusive charging points across our sales and service network spanning across 1,100 cities, we have collaborated with 13 charge point operators to offer access to a vast charging infra across the country.

Aligned with Suzuki's global vision, we plan to introduce multiple EVs. And to support this, our aim is to enable a network of over 100,000 charging points across India by 2030 along with our dealer and charge point operators. For promoting inclusive mobility in mass segment cars, we introduced a very small, sweet step, the option of a swivel seat. Swivel seat in the WagonR, especially designed to offer greater convenience to senior citizens and persons with disabilities, bringing the joy of mobility to them, drawing inspiration from Suzuki's Group corporate slogan "By Your Side". This initiative aligns with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goal that aims to reduce inequality.

The company also celebrated a historic milestone of 3.5 million units of cumulative production across 3 generations of the iconic WagonR. This milestone marks the extraordinary journey of trust and emotional connect of the brand with millions of customers across India. Recently, the company inaugurated its 5,000th Arena service touchpoint and 1,500 parts and accessories distributor touch point in India, reflecting the company's commitment to provide hassle-free and delightful car ownership experience to customers across the country.

The Maruti Suzuki Smart Finance, MSSF, India's first digital car financing platform has reached a significant milestone surpassing disbursal of 2.5 million car loans worth INR 170,000 crores or is that -- INR 170 billion, about INR 1,700 billion since its inception in the financial year '21.

Now coming to the financial results. During quarter 3 of the financial year '26, the company registered its highest ever quarterly net sales of about INR 475 billion, up from about INR 368 million in the same period of previous year. The net profit for the quarter stood at about INR 38 billion compared to about INR 36.5 billion in quarter 3 of previous year. Net profit was impacted by a onetime provision of INR 5,939 million on account of the new labor codes.

Before we delve into the explanation of results, I would like to inform that Suzuki Motor Gujarat Private Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of Maruti Suzuki, amalgamated with MSIL starting December 1, 2025. The appointed date of the scheme of amalgamation is April 1, 2025. So the stand-alone financial statements have been restated with effect from April 1, 2025, and there is no impact on the consolidated financial results. The following are the broad changes in the accounting of SMG cost heads on MSIL's stand-alone financial results.

The first is prior to amalgamation in the material cost head of MSIL's stand-alone numbers, the cost of completely built unit manufactured at SMG, excluding the depreciation expense was getting accounted. The cost of CBU included component cost of vehicles manufactured at SMG, the employee cost and the overheads of SMG. These expenses were netted with other operating income, such as income from scrap sales, et cetera. After amalgamation now, only the component cost of vehicles manufactured at the Gujarat facility will get accounted in the material cost head. Rest all the items will move to their respective natural heads.

Prior to the amalgamation, the depreciation of SMG facility was getting accounted as lease rent under other expense costs ahead of MSIL's stand-alone numbers. After amalgamation, the depreciation will move to its natural hit. Due to this regrouping, EBITDA will be adjusted upwards. And on the EBIT, there is no major change at the EBIT level due to amalgamation.

Now I'll come to the financial performance in the quarter 3 of financial year '26. And since investors look for a sequential comparison, I'll share. On a sequential basis, the overall sales volume grew by 21.2%, and the net sales grew by 18.4%. Sequentially, the operating profit margin, EBIT has reduced to 8.1% of net sales, compared to 8.4% in quarter 2 of financial year '26.

There were several unfavorable factors like: one, adverse commodity prices of about 60 basis points, largely on account of PGM, aluminum and copper. Adverse impact due to rare earth element supply issues of about 20 basis points, unfavorable fixed cost incidence on account of inventory depletion of about 50 basis points, unfavorable foreign exchange movement of about 15 basis points, price reduction in few models of about 70 basis points and a onetime provision on account of the new labor codes leading to higher employee costs of about 125 basis points.

These unfavorable factors were partially offset by favorable operating leverage of about 190 basis points, lower discounts and favorable product mix of about 120 basis points. Now I come to the highlights of the 9-month financial results, 9-month period. The company recorded its highest ever monthly sales volume, net sales and net profit in this period.

The company sold a total of 1,746,504 units during the period compared to 1,629,639 units in the same period previous year. Sales in the domestic market stood at 1,435,945 units and exports at 310,559 units. The company registered net sales of INR 1,242 billion in the 9-month period as compared to about INR 1,063 billion in the same period previous year. The company made a net profit of about INR 108.5 billion in the 9-month period as against INR 104.4 billion in the 9 months period of financial year '25.

With that, we are now ready to take your questions, feedback and any other observations that you may have. Thank you.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from Gunjan Prithyani from Bank of America.

G
Gunjan Prithyani
analyst

Just looking for a bit of clarification on the numbers that you shared on the margin [ bridge. ] Can you talk about the PGM impact, the 60 basis points that you called out, is that -- do we see further pressures on this front? And what is it that we are looking to do in terms of mitigating these incremental cost headwinds that we are seeing? So a bit more color on the commodity inflation would help. And I think I just need a clarification on this -- the rare earth thing also, what is it actually, if you can share more information, how big -- how significant this impact is and will this recur?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

Okay. So we are seeing some kind of headwinds in commodities at the moment in platinum, palladium, rhodium and aluminum and copper. And some of these are also being discussed across sectors. Some of these have to do with the AI memory chips, et cetera, also. In terms of rare earth, we mentioned that instead of importing the -- just the magnets, we were constrained to import larger aggregates or sub-assemblies of which magnets were child parts.

So to that extent, higher imports and along with that, some air freight costs, et cetera. So there's a -- rare earth has a minor impact of about 20 basis points. But the good part is that the government of India is -- has invited with a scheme to -- invited global manufacturers to make rare earth magnets in India. So this won't be a long-term problem. Sooner or later, India will manufacture rare earth magnets.

G
Gunjan Prithyani
analyst

Okay. And how much more to go from a -- I mean maybe just a bit more on precious metals, how significant is it in terms of the commodity costs? Is there more headwind to go, going into quarter 4 as well?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

As of now, we have not taken a view on to the future. But yes, we can mention to you that the PGM content as a percentage of net sales in the car is about 2%. And these are commodities which are very -- which are in the public domain, very well researched. So your commodity analysts can also throw some light on that.

G
Gunjan Prithyani
analyst

Got it. And my second question is on the demand outlook. I mean you clearly sound very confident on, at least in near-term demand given the pending order book, Victoris launch, et cetera. Now that it's been a couple of months post GST, would you be able to share a little bit more color on how do we look beyond quarter 4 going into fiscal '27 industry growth? And how do we see Maruti performing relative to that? Any product action? Anything that you can share more in terms of next year growth outlook?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

So as I mentioned, in the immediate short-term, of course, we are constrained by supply, and we are struggling to meet demand as much as possible. We have a healthy order book. Our share within the SUV segment is growing, so all positive. Having said that, the query remains in our mind, what is the sustainable level of demand after the euphoria is over. So I think in about a few months from now, we will again do a careful review and a careful assessment of what is the sustainable level of demand in the next year and in the next few years.

I'm sure quarter 3 would have involved some element of postponed demand and some of preponed demand. So quarter 4 seems to be good, but we need to look beyond, and we'll make an assessment in a few months from now. Temporarily, we had given out an initial figure of about 7% growth -- volume growth so -- on a sustainable level, but we'll make an assessment in about 3 months.

G
Gunjan Prithyani
analyst

Got it. And just lastly, just housekeeping, if you can give the discounts and the retail volumes for quarter 3?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

So of course, as we mentioned, the discounts were at a much lower level. And discounts, you're aware a function of -- it's a function of market strength, volume growth, market buoyancy and competitive action. So we gained on -- we gained by about 120 basis points if we talk about both discounts and mix put together.

G
Gunjan Prithyani
analyst

Okay. Retail volumes?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

Retail volume, we did 683,000 -- about 684,000.

Operator

The next question is from Chandramouli Muthiah from Goldman Sachs.

C
Chandramouli Muthiah
analyst

My first question is just around, I think, the amalgamated financials. So if I were to just compare, it looks like the change to amalgamated financials is causing close to about INR 700 crores quarterly increase in depreciation, and that number potentially comes out of the lease, rentals line that you had mentioned, which possibly sits in other expenses.

But having said that, the other expenses, I think pre-amalgamation versus post-amalgamation is almost flat at close to INR 3,700 crores quarterly run rate. So I just want to understand if there was a meaningful pickup in other expenses this quarter and what potentially drove that? And if there are any sort of one-offs sitting in the other expenses number? Or if that is the sort of steady-state run rate we should assume going forward for this level of volume?

A
Arnab Roy
executive

I'll take this question. You're right on the classification part of it, of depreciation and rent, I think Rahul already touched upon it in the beginning. So overall, at an EBIT level, I mean there is nothing significant in terms of the impact. But yes, I mean as we explained earlier that pre-amalgamation, everything was accounted in the material cost rate. Now it has moved into the natural heads. So that's what the change is with almost neutral level at an EBIT.

In terms of the other expenses, sequentially, if you look at it, nothing -- one-off per se, I think it is a regular business expenses. So nothing particular to call out. It's a combination of various small things.

C
Chandramouli Muthiah
analyst

That's helpful. Second question is just around export volumes. I think over the past kind of 4 to 5 quarters, we've been doing a healthy clip of 25%, 30% plus volume growth. This quarter, I think the volume growth on exports was more sort of low single-digit run rate Y-o-Y? I just want to understand if there's any one-offs on the export volume. And just related to that, if there's any clarity you're able to provide on how you're thinking about South Africa as an end market, just in the light of some of the news flow items around potential increase in duties in that market?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

So yes, there was a one-off in the quarter 3. We missed a shipment for some very, very mundane procedural, very logistical reasons. We missed a shipment. On South Africa, we have heard the news today. But it's only a media coverage. We will try to understand what exactly is in the mind of the government, and we'll understand how it goes.

Having said that, I may mention that exports is always a mixed bag. There are always some countries which take prominence or which have some changes happening. So the top few countries always keep seeing changes. It's a very dynamic scenario. So the best thing is to be broad-based across a wide portfolio of countries, and we have 100-plus of them. So we'll try to de-risk to the maximum possible. But still, we are exposed to all kinds of global trade and tariff-related issues.

C
Chandramouli Muthiah
analyst

Got it. That's helpful. And lastly, if you could you share the export revenue for the quarter, please?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

It's about INR 8,200 crores.

Operator

The next question is from Arvind Sharma from Citigroup.

A
Arvind Sharma
analyst

If you could just tell us the reason for this quarter-on-quarter decline in the average selling price despite the more apparent positive mix shift, please?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

I don't think it's a net sales. See, apart from -- in our top line, apart from the models -- the car models, we have other items also like parts or other dyes, molds, et cetera. So it's not necessary that everything moves in the same percentage growth as others. So there is no reduction in ASP as such.

A
Arvind Sharma
analyst

Branded ASP even accounting for the mix, sir?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

So that may include other things like parts.

A
Arvind Sharma
analyst

Got it. The second question, if I could ask, would be on Victoris versus Grand Vitara. Have you seen any shift from Grand Vitara to the Victoris? And if you could throw some light on its impact on overall profitability, sir?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

So the Victoris is our latest model. Of course, it should contribute to profits healthily. There's no doubt about it. But if you're talking about cannibalization, we've been having these kind of doubts for more than 2 decades now. So the WagonR and the Zen, the Swift and the Ritz or the Baleno and the Fronx, now the Grand Vitara and the Victoris. The fact is that as a market leader, we have to distinguish customer profiles, and we have to provide a model in every white space.

Our pursuit is that the overall volume is the maximum, and all customers are serviced with different taste, lifestyle, wants and desires. So we are not worried about it at all. The total volume is going up, and our SUV market share is also going up.

A
Arvind Sharma
analyst

And sir, if I may just ask one small clarification. While you have elucidated the one-off impact on labor code norms, what would be the recurring impact?

A
Arnab Roy
executive

There is no significant recurring impact. It's predominantly the past services cost, which has got accounted here.

Operator

The next question is from Kapil Singh from Nomura.

K
Kapil Singh
analyst

My question is on the demand outlook. Could you share your outlook between the segments of hatchback, compact SUVs and large SUVs, where you are seeing a stronger demand pool as we look into the next year? And how is the first-time buyer mix changed after the GST cut, if at all?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

So Kapil, we are seeing a healthy demand all across. Of course, small cars were earlier at a negative growth zone, they have from red, they have come into black and healthy black. So that's a big swing. Their swing is larger than that of bigger cars. That's a positive. Even in SUVs, et cetera, we are seeing demand. The wholesale numbers may more be constrained by what we are able to supply and which choices we are making across models. So that may not show the true picture, but we see healthy demand all across. There was another question which I missed.

K
Kapil Singh
analyst

Yes. First-time buyer mix, have you seen any changes before?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

Yes. Yes. Yes. We have seen a positive swing. There are so many ways of defining. But generally, we have observed a delta of about 6% to 7%. That's the increase in the first-time buyers percentage, which is a very healthy sign. And anecdotally, we had mentioned earlier that we are seeing a lot of helmets in our showroom, which means there are positive signs that the 2-wheeler owner is upgrading to small and compact cars.

K
Kapil Singh
analyst

Sir, what is the number? How much is it now?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

So there are so many ways of defining, it's about -- the increase is 7%.

K
Kapil Singh
analyst

We used to say around like around 40% or so, right. So -- if we should assume 47% or something? Around that?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

So with respect to that benchmark, yes, it has gone up by 7%.

K
Kapil Singh
analyst

Okay. Fair enough. And sir, the second question is on the pricing. Normally, we take a price hike at the start of the year. This time, so far, we haven't taken. So what is the thought process here on pricing because we are looking at some commodity pressure as well as we look forward. And we have also taken some additional price cuts in the mini segment. Is that a temporary strategy or a permanent strategy looking at the success of increase in first-time buyer mix?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

See, this is a historic GST reform and the momentum generated is from something like minus 0%, minus 1%, minus 2% growth to about 20% plus growth. It is an opportunity when we should build momentum and add to the efforts. We always have time ahead of us where we can -- if there are cost pressures, we can recover that from the market. But temporarily, we would like to continue with the momentum. And it's not ethical also to have a price increase immediately after the government reduces taxes. Some manufacturers may be doing it, but we think we should make a decision in favor of the consumer.

Operator

Next question is from Mumuksh Mandlesha from Anand Rathi Institutional Equities.

M
Mumuksh Mandlesha
analyst

Can you hear me, sir?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

Yes.

M
Mumuksh Mandlesha
analyst

Sir, for the exports market for CY '26, any outlook you want to share? How do you see the exports market? And also considering Victoris model also started exporting, sir?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

Victoris, we sent out the first shipment of about 400, 500 numbers from the Gujarat port. And we have domestic demand also to service. So exports is doing good. We are on track to achieve the target that we had -- the guidance that we had given of about 400,000. And for the next year, we are in the process of deciding our volume target. So by March, we should have a figure for next year exports.

M
Mumuksh Mandlesha
analyst

Got it, sir. So on the e VITARA side, how are you seeing the ramp-up there, sir, globally? How is the acceptance of the model? And from a 2,500 average currently, how do you see the ramp-up ahead, sir?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

So the e VITARA, we have -- as I mentioned in my opening remarks also, we have -- till the end of December, we had shipped out 13,000 numbers, which had reached 28 out of the 100 countries. And U.K. is our top destination in terms of volumes. So -- but the chain is slightly long. It is slightly premature to get retail level feedback, but the momentum continues and we'll keep shipping out.

M
Mumuksh Mandlesha
analyst

Got it, sir. Just on the financial side. This ForEx impact is part of which line item, sir?

A
Arnab Roy
executive

ForEx is part of raw material, predominantly. So that's where it is impacting. And I think in the opening statement, we have already given you the walk there, that 0.15, which we highlighted to you.

M
Mumuksh Mandlesha
analyst

Got it, sir. And sir, possible to share spares number this quarter, sir? And how it has moved sequentially?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

Spares, as a distinct category, we've never announced.

M
Mumuksh Mandlesha
analyst

Got it. Got it, sir. Sir, lastly, if I can, just on the steel prices also have recently moved up. Do you see -- I mean are you seeing the impact going ahead for you, sir?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

So the government had given a safeguard duty in some grades, with some prices -- price limits. The auto industry or at least the imports that Maruti has does not qualify for that. However, it appears that the steel industry is using that opportunity to increase commodity prices. Though there was a clear message from the government that the steel industry should not use it to profiteer or to raise commodity prices, but it appears there are some such pressures. So we will engage with the steel industry and mention to them that the safeguard duty should not be misused to increase steel prices, but it appears that there are some signals that they want to increase prices.

Operator

The next question is from Rishi Vora from Kotak Securities.

R
Rishi Vora
analyst

My first question is just a clarification on SMG amalgamation. You have said that we have amalgamated effective from 1st April, but I'm also seeing previous year's third quarter numbers are also being restated. So what is the reason for that?

A
Arnab Roy
executive

As per Ind AS, you have to restate the financials for previous year. So that's accounting stand compliance to make it compatible.

R
Rishi Vora
analyst

Okay. So that is also a like-for-like SMG amalgamated numbers?

A
Arnab Roy
executive

Yes, everywhere. I mean when the moment you do it, you'll have to restate all the comparable numbers.

R
Rishi Vora
analyst

Understood. Second question is regarding the 50 bps of fixed cost incidents you talked about. So should we expect that, that reversal should happen next quarter as we build up the inventory during the course of the quarter?

A
Arnab Roy
executive

See, it's a mathematical thing. I mean, right now, as Rahul explained, we are at 3 days inventory. Obviously, it's an all-time low. So as and when it reverses, the mathematical impact of that will flow.

R
Rishi Vora
analyst

Understood. And just last question on the commodity side of things. I just wanted to understand that do we hedge any of these commodities or it's something where -- like what are the mitigation steps, if any, which we could take in order to offset some of this inflationary impact which may come through?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

Yes. The largest commodity is steel, which you cannot hedge. So we do a quarterly negotiation and we fixed prices for the quarter. Generally, market prices reflect in the next quarter in our purchasing. The others are, of course, PGM and then we have aluminum, copper. So we take calibrated calls. And we also studied some forecasts. So if a trend does not last too long, then whether to get into a hedge or not is also something that we study. We also study whether the cost of hedging is too high to make it unproductive. So according to that, we take our hedge calls.

A
Arnab Roy
executive

And just to supplement here, if you look at it, there is a predictable trend to the commodity, then hedging becomes economical. If the trend is too spiky, which is the situation now, hedging doesn't work out economical. So we do calibrate hedges, but you have to keep measuring the trend. Is it a short-term spike or the relatively predictable trend.

R
Rishi Vora
analyst

So right now, just to clarify, do we have any hedges or we don't?

A
Arnab Roy
executive

We do have. We do have, but calibrated hedges.

Operator

Next question is from Binay Singh from Morgan Stanley.

B
Binay Singh
analyst

Looking at the backlog that you talked about and demand trends, how do you see mix trending incrementally? Will it be favorable tailwind to margins? Or is it more in the discounted products? Could you comment on that?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

Binay, I may want to tell you that once demand momentum comes, the operating leverage is so good that you don't need to think of mix much. So it's the momentum that is most valuable and that we are most happy about. And we will ensure that capacity is not found lacking, and we will supply to the -- to what the demand asks for in the market.

Just for information, by April, our first -- our second plant at Kharkhoda should become operational. And in a few months from there, the fourth line or the fourth plant at erstwhile SMG or Maruti Gujarat facility should become operational. So we have 2 plants of 250,000 each coming in very short time frames. So -- and so far, all segments are doing good, which is a positive.

B
Binay Singh
analyst

Right. And Rahul, that leads me to the second question on the -- how to think about EBIT margins incrementally, right? Because our December quarter utilization rates were quite high, mix looks favorable with high SUV share. But then we did have these one-offs that you highlighted, fixed cost hit. And then the price reduction hit and now we have the PGM hit also rising. So how do we look at the margins on the EBIT level incrementally? Do you think this is where the business sort of stabilizes? Are there downward risk from here or upward risks from here?

A
Arnab Roy
executive

See, I think we have clarified this a few quarters now that we don't give a forward-looking outlook. So I'm sure you have your models. We can give you the factors. You can do the computation yourself. I think the factors are in front of you. Rahul has articulated in the beginning, the positive factors like the operating leverage. You have seen that 190 bps coming this quarter. You have also seen the lower discount and the favorable mix coming in.

Of course, there are headwinds as you have seen on the raw material, foreign exchange and other things. So -- and these are things which -- there are global trends. You can do your modeling and see. But for us, we don't give a forward-looking outlook, and I think we can give you the broader picture here.

B
Binay Singh
analyst

And then just lastly, on this price reduction, 70 basis points hit that we said, we had earlier also talked about some of it being introductory prices and then it will get rolled back. So is there any element to that? Or this 70 basis point sort of hit of price reductions will continue?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

So we had announced these and customers who had booked that time, some of them we have not been able to provide cars. So it's slightly -- not fair to them that prices should be rolled back even before they were able to take deliveries. So we'll watch. At least till end January, we have committed. And we'll watch when it's the right time to take a call.

Operator

Next question is from Pramod Amthe from InCred Capital.

P
Pramod Amthe
analyst

So 2 questions. One is considering the buoyancy in demand and also the low inventory. Do you need to do some debottlenecking or what's the CapEx outlook? Are you advancing it?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

So in terms of capacity, I mentioned that 2 plants will come on stream. And now we are at a run rate of about INR 10,000 crores a year. For the next year, we have not done our budgeting exercise yet. We'll be just getting into it. So I think in March, we'll have the figure for our next year's CapEx, but we are going at the run rate of about INR 10,000 crores a year.

P
Pramod Kumar
analyst

So would you balance between capacity versus new model launches? Because those are the 2 variables which you have, right, on CapEx. How do you look at...

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

Sorry, once again.

P
Pramod Kumar
analyst

No, when you look at CapEx, one is for fixed asset and the second one is for new model launches. Would you balance to fit in that broader number in that context to adjust each other? Or you would grow...

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

No, there is no need to cut down on any one of them. If market demand exists, whatever it takes, we will supply. If the customer wants, we shouldn't found lacking. And there is no dearth of funds.

P
Pramod Kumar
analyst

No, I agree because we haven't seen such a 0.5 million capacity being installed at one go. So hence, I was asking on the CapEx.

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

Volumes about India's growth story. India is the third largest car market now. And we are putting up almost 1 plant every year. And there is no time when a new plant is not under construction or commissioning. So that's India's growth.

P
Pramod Kumar
analyst

And related to that, in terms of new models, is there a delay in terms of EV rollout for India? And how do you look in the context of ICE vehicles coming back post-GST, the EV scenario?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

No, no, no. There is no delay. It's just that we had to -- we are serving about 100 markets. So some kind of time frame, and we've covered 28 already. And the domestic launch of e VITARA should happen very soon now. And in terms of ICE, I don't think GST has anything to do with that. The government is providing big money, whether through the PLI scheme or through other incentive schemes.

In addition, the state government is giving. There is absolutely no reason that EV should not grow. We will increase our EV adoption and with -- along with other parameters like ecosystem development, like good service, good assurance on after sales support, charging infrastructure, as I mentioned, so the government has done its bit. It's now the industry that has to respond.

P
Pramod Kumar
analyst

Sure. And the last 1 is with regard to the EU and U.K. FDA. How do you see an opportunity for you on export rates and also in terms of any -- how are you assessing the threats and opportunities?

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

The preliminary details that have come out seem to be quite positive. From whatever we've heard that the opening up has been done only above EUR 15,000 CIF price, which translates to something like INR 2.5 million in India. And we are told that even above EUR 15,000, there are slabs. And it may happen in a very gradual manner.

So I believe the government would have been extremely calibrated and sensitive to the domestic industry, while making India participate in the global arena, which is a big positive. And we have always supported liberalization and opening up, particularly when we put our money where our mouth is. We are exporting EVs to Europe. We do not know what are the specific clauses regarding EV exports. But sooner or later, it should be positive for India.

Operator

Thank you very much. We'll take that as the last question. On behalf of Maruti Suzuki India Limited, that concludes the conference. Thank you for joining us, ladies and gentlemen. You may now disconnect your lines.

R
Rahul Bharti
executive

Thank you.

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