P

Paradeep Phosphates Ltd
NSE:PARADEEP

Watchlist Manager
Paradeep Phosphates Ltd
NSE:PARADEEP
Watchlist
Price: 128.96 INR -1.62%
Market Cap: ₹133.9B

Q1-2026 Earnings Call

AI Summary
Earnings Call on Jul 30, 2025

Revenue Growth: Paradeep Phosphates reported a 58% year-on-year increase in revenue for Q1 FY26, reaching INR 3,754 crores.

Profit & Margins: EBITDA nearly doubled to INR 493 crores and profit after tax rose to INR 256 crores, supported by higher production and sales volumes and improved product mix.

Strong Volumes: Finished fertilizer production rose 23% YoY to 6.64 lakh tonnes, and sales grew 34% YoY to 7.42 lakh tonnes.

Price Increases: NPK fertilizer prices increased from INR 1,470 per bag to INR 1,850–1,900 per bag; DAP currently at INR 1,300–1,350 per bag.

Guidance Maintained: Management reiterated target of sustaining EBITDA around INR 5,000 per metric ton for the rest of the year, after a higher Q1 number.

Expansion Projects: Sulfuric acid capacity expansion on schedule for Q3 and phosphoric acid for completion within two years; merger with MCFL in final regulatory stages.

Inventory & Receivables: Trade inventory dropped to 6.4 lakh tonnes from 9.5 lakh tonnes YoY; subsidy receivables now at INR 2,200 crores.

Performance Drivers

Management attributed the strong financial results to higher production and sales volumes, improved product mix, robust demand due to favorable monsoons, and benefits from backward integration. Price increases in NPK fertilizers also helped revenue outpace volume growth.

Pricing Strategy

The company significantly raised NPK fertilizer prices, with bags now priced between INR 1,850 and INR 1,900 compared to INR 1,470 previously. DAP prices remain capped by government guidance, currently at INR 1,300–1,350 per bag. Management indicated they have flexibility to adjust NPK pricing based on costs and market dynamics.

Backward Integration & Expansion

Backward integration continues to provide cost benefits, particularly as captive phosphoric acid is cheaper than imports. Capacity expansions for sulfuric and phosphoric acids are on schedule, with additional phosphoric acid expected to support both Paradeep and, in future, Goa plants. Backward integration is expected to maintain and potentially improve EBITDA margins.

Merger with Mangalore Chemicals & Fertilizers (MCFL)

The merger process has received shareholder approval and is in its final regulatory stage. Management expects this to bring scale, expanded market reach, and both cost and revenue synergies. Further growth and CapEx plans will be announced after the merger's completion.

Raw Material & Cost Inflation

Sulfur and phosphate prices have increased, affecting input costs, though operational efficiency and inventory management have helped mitigate margin risks. Most of Paradeep's sulfur and DAP is procured on long-term contracts with formula-based pricing that tracks global markets.

Inventory Management

Trade and primary stocks have declined compared to previous quarters, aided by strong demand and efficient sales. Trade inventory dropped to 6.4 lakh tonnes from 9.5 lakh tonnes last year, improving cash flows and market liquidity.

Market Outlook & Guidance

Management guided for total volumes of 3.1 million tonnes in FY26, with the expectation to maintain close to 100% utilization rates. They expect momentum to continue, supported by a strong demand environment, above-normal monsoon forecasts, stable subsidy payments, and a focus on value-added and soil-specific fertilizers.

Government Subsidy & Receivables

Subsidy receivables at quarter-end stood at INR 2,200 crores. Management reported timely payments from the government linked to sales, with subsidy receivable days generally under 50, though temporarily higher (around 100 days) due to phosphoric acid.

Revenue
INR 3,754 crores
Change: Up 58% YoY.
EBITDA
INR 493 crores
Change: Nearly doubled YoY.
Guidance: Expected to be around INR 5,000 per metric ton for the rest of the year.
Profit before tax
INR 342 crores
No Additional Information
Profit after tax
INR 256 crores
No Additional Information
Finished fertilizer production
6.64 lakh tonnes
Change: Up 23% YoY.
Primary sales volume
7.42 lakh tonnes
Change: Up 34% YoY.
N-20 sales
2.24 lakh tonnes
Change: Up 45% YoY.
Biogenic nano fertilizer bottles sold
nearly 7 lakh bottles
No Additional Information
Phosphoric acid production
113,000 tonnes
Change: Up 22% YoY.
Sulfuric acid output
283,000 tonnes
Change: Up 30% YoY.
Trade inventory (dealers/retailers)
6.4 lakh tonnes
Change: Down from 9.5 lakh tonnes YoY.
Subsidy receivables
INR 2,200 crores
No Additional Information
EBITDA per metric ton
INR 6,600
Guidance: Expected to be around INR 5,000 per metric ton for the rest of the year.
Net debt to equity ratio
0.77x
No Additional Information
Gross debt
about INR 4,500 crores
No Additional Information
Net debt
about INR 2,800 crores
No Additional Information
Revenue
INR 3,754 crores
Change: Up 58% YoY.
EBITDA
INR 493 crores
Change: Nearly doubled YoY.
Guidance: Expected to be around INR 5,000 per metric ton for the rest of the year.
Profit before tax
INR 342 crores
No Additional Information
Profit after tax
INR 256 crores
No Additional Information
Finished fertilizer production
6.64 lakh tonnes
Change: Up 23% YoY.
Primary sales volume
7.42 lakh tonnes
Change: Up 34% YoY.
N-20 sales
2.24 lakh tonnes
Change: Up 45% YoY.
Biogenic nano fertilizer bottles sold
nearly 7 lakh bottles
No Additional Information
Phosphoric acid production
113,000 tonnes
Change: Up 22% YoY.
Sulfuric acid output
283,000 tonnes
Change: Up 30% YoY.
Trade inventory (dealers/retailers)
6.4 lakh tonnes
Change: Down from 9.5 lakh tonnes YoY.
Subsidy receivables
INR 2,200 crores
No Additional Information
EBITDA per metric ton
INR 6,600
Guidance: Expected to be around INR 5,000 per metric ton for the rest of the year.
Net debt to equity ratio
0.77x
No Additional Information
Gross debt
about INR 4,500 crores
No Additional Information
Net debt
about INR 2,800 crores
No Additional Information

Earnings Call Transcript

Transcript
from 0
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Paradeep Phosphates Limited Q1 FY '26 Earnings Conference Call hosted by Antique Stockbroking Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorder.

I now hand the conference over to Mr. Riju Dalui from Antique Stockbroking Limited. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

R
Riju Dalui
analyst

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. On behalf of Antique StockBroking, a warm welcome to all the participants on the call of Paradeep Phosphates.

Today from the management side, we have Mr. Rajeev Nambiar, Chief Operating Officer; Mr. Harshdeep Singh, Chief Commercial Officer; Mr. Bijoy Kumar Biswal, Chief Financial Officer; Mr. Alok Saxena, Head of Corporate Finance; and Mr. Suresh Krishnan, DGM, Strategy IR and ESG on the call.

Without any further ado, I would like to hand over the call to Mr. Nambiar for his opening remarks, post which we will open the floor for Q&A. Thank you, and over to you, sir.

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Thank you, Riju.

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Paradeep Phosphates Q1 FY 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Thank you for joining us today and for your continued interest in Paradeep Phosphates. I trust you have reviewed our earnings presentation and press release, which are also available on our website and with the stock exchanges.

The fertilizer sector began FY '26 on a solid footing, supported by a favorable monsoon patterns, healthy reservoir levels and government initiatives to promote soil health and balanced nutrient applications. With this backdrop, Paradeep Phosphate delivered a strong start to the fiscal year through operational discipline and execution strength, capitalizing on sustained demand for phosphatic fertilizers.

For the first quarter, revenue from operation rose 58% Y-o-Y to INR 3,754 crores in EBITDA, including other income, nearly doubled to INR 493 crores, while profit before tax increased to INR 342 crores. Profit after tax reached a level of INR 256 crores, driven by higher production and sales volumes, strong sales velocity and improved product mix, backward integration and strategic sourcing.

[Technical Difficulty]

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, the line for the management has been reconnected. Please go ahead, sir.

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Operationally, we produced 6.64 lakh tonnes of finished fertilizers, up 23% year-on-year and achieved primary sales of 7.42 lakh tonnes, a 34% increase over the same period last year. Our product portfolio included diverse NPK grades in addition to DAP. Our flagship N-20 grade maintained strong momentum, delivering sales of 2.24 lakh tonnes. We also sold nearly 7 lakh bottles of our indigenously developed biogenic nano fertilizers during the quarter, underscoring their role in enhancing nutrient absorption and improving farm yield.

On the intermediary front, phosphoric acid production grew 22% year-on-year to 113,000 tonnes, while sulfuric acid output increased 30% to 283,000 tonnes, further strengthening our integrated operations. We maintained a healthy net to debt equity ratio of 0.77x, continue to operate with a lean cash conversion cycle and leverage our supply relationship and captive infrastructure to secure raw materials at competitive costs despite elevated input prices.

Progress on our strategic growth projects also continued as planned. The sulfuric acid capacity expansion Paradeep from 1.39 million tonnes per annum to 2 million tonnes is on schedule for commissioning by the third quarter of this fiscal year. The phosphoric acid expansion, which will raise capacity from 0.5 million to 0.7 million tonne annum is progressing well and is expected to be completed within the next 2 years.

Additionally, our proposed merger with Mangalore Chemicals & Fertilizers, which received shareholder approval in June, is advancing through the final stages of the NCLT process. Upon completion, this will enhance our scale and market reach. We intend to announce our further CapEx and growth plans following the conclusion of the merger process.

Looking ahead, we remain confident of sustaining our momentum through FY '26, supported by above normal monsoon forecast, stable subsidy disbursements and increasing demand for value-added and soil-specific fertilizers. With our integrated supply chain, flexible production capabilities, pan-India distribution network and established brand equity, Paradeep Phosphate will -- is well-positioned to deliver consistent growth and long-term value for all the stakeholders.

Thank you once again for joining us today and for your continued trust in Paradeep Phosphate. I will now be happy to take your questions. Thank you.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Prashant Biyani from Elara Capital.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

Sir, congratulations on great financial performance. While you have mentioned in the opening remarks, but if you can elaborate further as to what drove this extraordinary growth in EBITDA?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

I think if you look at it, actually, our production volumes jumped up and early onset of monsoons and which has actually aided in terms of increased sales volume. If you look at it, we have an increase of sales volume plus 30 percentage compared to year-over-year. And the product mix also helped us in terms of optimizing whatever resources we have in terms of converting to the EBITDA levels. And our backward integration programs, which are going on are also well. Phosphoric acid 0.5 million, we could actually completely make a target clear and the further expansions also will drive our future things.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

Sure. Sir, between the 3 levers of high volume growth, backward integration benefit and maybe some inventory gains, how was the contribution of all 3?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Prashant, this is Harshdeep here. So if you look at it dominantly, the volume growth of 34% significantly contributed to the growth in the revenue and the bottom line. The further thing was even with the combination of -- Rajeev was saying, the benefit because of backward integration and the market realization.

In line with the market requirement, we could take a realistic pricing for NPK grade, which resulted in a revenue growth higher than the volume growth. So that's what helped us really get good EBITDA in the first quarter.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

Sir, how much price increase have you taken?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

So currently, like the complex fertilizers like 10:26:26, they've been in the range of INR 1,850 to INR 1,900 a bag. If you remember, they used to be earlier capped at around INR 1,470 a bag.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

Okay. And sir, Paradeep's view is very well-respected within the government circle. So what would be your view as a company on the trajectory of subsidy for H2?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Prashanth, we can't comment on this right now. We will have to wait till we have the government notification.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

Okay.

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Prashant, you are familiar with the process which the government follows, okay? They typically tend to look at the cost curve from Jan to June, okay? And that should be in the right direction. That's it.

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Yes. And just adding, I think we have been good support and we feel that, that will continue for us to benefit.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Ahmed Madha from Unifi Capital.

A
Ahmed Madha
analyst

Congratulations on great execution and financial performance.

Sir, I have 3 questions. First to start with in terms of understanding the strategy behind the product mix, I can see the traded volumes this quarter have been much lower, while we have manufactured a decent amount of DAP. So in terms of changing the mix, in terms of increasing DAP trading and manufacturing more NPK, what is the thinking behind the entire product mix and mix between the trading manufacturing? And also, any thought trading more TSP as well as DAP?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Harshdeep here. See, the strategy is to maximize the NPKs that is as far as our manufacturing strategy is concerned, and we are moving well in that respect. Our quarter 1 growth for NPKs has been 48% compared to the regular portfolio growth of 35%. So that direction, we continue that.

Trading, we are going to look at supporting the market strategically, and we will be doing both DAP and TSP in the Q2 because arrivals would happen. But the objective will be to do profitable trading volumes. So that's how our overall core strategy is.

A
Ahmed Madha
analyst

Got it, sir. My second question is on the increase in RM prices. The sulfur prices have been up materially and same is with phosphate prices. I'm not sure how the rock prices are moving for you guys considering you have long-term contracts. But do you see any material change in profitability margins for the balance of kharif season?

I understand you answered to Prashant that you cannot comment for the next because the subsidy are yet to be announced. But for the balance of the kharif season, do you see any major risk in terms of margins?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

These prices have been actually going up, and we see some of the area now a little softening. Maybe I think it is -- certain area, it has peaked out, but I think sulfur it is showing some little softening. Other things remain little on the growing side only.

But I think counter this, if you look at it, actually, our operational efficiency has actually been quite stronger actually. And in Q2, probably I think -- Q1, we have taken most of the shutdowns and other things. So Q2 in terms of operational efficiency, ability to produce should be much better than Q1.

And overall, if you look at it, the early monsoons and availability of more crop area, all those things basically facilitate our Q2. But there is -- definitely the RM prices are a concern for all of us, but we'll see what best can be done actually to mitigate this.

A
Ahmed Madha
analyst

Okay. My third question is on the inventory channel positioning. So can you give some broad numbers, what was our channel inventory as of Q1 end, which is June '25 and comparable numbers for Q4 '25 and Q1 '25, which is March '25 and June '24. That will be very helpful.

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Bijoy, could you take this one?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

Yes. This is Bijoy Biswal from PPL. So the inventory level has increased because of the stock we have purchased towards the end of this quarter. So inventory level, if you compare to 31st March '25, so this has gone up. So this is around INR 1,000 crores has gone up. And even the subsidy receivable also gone up. So that is mainly on account of the cost which has been accumulated and which will get the liquidated coming month in this kharif season. But inventory level, yes, it has gone up.

A
Ahmed Madha
analyst

Can you quantify on what...

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

I'll just clarify on the quantified value, Harshdeep here. See, if you look at last quarter as across trade and primary stocks, we were almost 10.9 lakh metric tons, which has come down to 7.2 lakh metric tons as on 30th of June 2025. So the company stock, the primary stocks are down from 1.4 lakh metric ton to 80,000 metric tons. And the trade stocks are down from 9.5 lakh metric ton to 6.4 lakh metric tons. So overall, trade stocks compared to last year's same level 30th of June, they are on the lower side.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Pratik Oza from Systematix.

P
Pratik Oza
analyst

Just one question on the PPT. So on Page 7, it is shown that N-20 sales grown at 45% Y-o-Y. And on Page 11, it is mentioned that N-20 sales grew 89% Y-o-Y. So which figure is correct?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Yes. See, the sales of -- N-20 sales are 2.24 lakh metric tons, okay? And last year sales was 1.55 lakh metric ton. There's a 45% growth in primary sales vis-a-vis last year. [Technical Difficulty] [indiscernible] it is 45% but in terms of growth portfolio…

[Technical Difficulty]

Operator

The next question is from the line of [indiscernible] Capital services.

U
Unknown Analyst

Congratulations sir. I just wanted to understand [indiscernible] of phosphoric acid for Paradeep.

[Technical Difficulty]

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Can you repeat your question?

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. I had 3 questions. First is phosphate rock to phosphoric acid, sulfuric to phosphoric acid. And third one is sulfur to sulfuric acid for the Paradeep.

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

[Technical Difficulty]

Operator

Sorry to interrupt. Sir, the audio from the management line seems to be distant. Can you come closer to the device?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

Can you hear me?

Operator

Sir, it's very distant.

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

Can you hear me now?

Operator

Yes, sir.

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Yes. So I'm saying [indiscernible] that to acid is 3.5x each set of sulfuric acid will consume 3.2 to 3.5 tonnes of rock and sulfuric acid to sulfur, it is 1/3. So for each ton of sulfuric acid, we consume 1/3 of the rock in sulfur. And what is last question?

U
Unknown Analyst

Sulfur to sulfuric acid.

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

That's what I'm saying that for sulfuric acid, we consume 1/3 of the sulfur.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. And what is for sulfuric acid to phosphoric acid? Like how much we require sulfuric acid for phosphoric acid production?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

3.2x of the phosphoric acid. For each tonne of phosphoric acid, we require 3.2 to 3.5 tonnes of sulfuric acid.

Operator

The next question is from the line of S. Ramesh from Nirmal Bang Equities.

S
S. Ramesh
analyst

Congratulations on a spectacular set of results. So if you look at the current quarter and the remaining 9 months, how should we see the performance? Will we be able to maintain the EBITDA per tonne and improve that based on the backward integration benefits, particularly in phosphoric acid where the contract prices have gone up?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

No, I can put this way that right now for this quarter, we have a little bit higher EBITDA per tonne. But going forward, as per our guidance, it will be around INR 5,000 per metric ton of -- in around that, that will be the EBITDA what we'll be maintaining for the rest of the quarter.

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

We always believe that the sustainable EBITDA number that we have -- for a company like us with the kind of backward integration that we have is around INR 5,000, and we continue to maintain that view. But directionally, with the kind of operational reliability improvements that we have embarked on, the kind of backward integration that we are doing and the market interventions that we are doing, obviously, we would like -- directionally, we are in the right direction, but the sustainable number as we speak today is around 5,000 number.

S
S. Ramesh
analyst

Yes. In this first quarter, what would be the benefit from the backward integration, if you can quantify per tonne?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Well, it will be difficult for us to quantify. As we mentioned earlier, it's a combination of 3, 4 factors driven by higher realizations, higher volumes of production and sales as well as backward integration. But we won't be able to give you a quantified number for backward integration.

S
S. Ramesh
analyst

So if you look at the longer term, big picture, sulfuric acid expansion, phosphoric acid expansion, once everything is done, what is the benefit you expect from these projects in terms of backward integration?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

In the long term, we should assume that whenever the backward integration gets into in the picture, there is always a $150 captive advantage vis-a-vis imported phos acid per tonne. So that will reflect into your EBITDA improvement.

S
S. Ramesh
analyst

That is taking both sulfuric acid, phos acid and the benefit of steam everything put together, right?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Yes.

S
S. Ramesh
analyst

So just one last thought. So if you look at your overall balance sheet, what is the kind of increase in working capital? And what is the kind of movement in debt you expect this year and next year?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

So I'll tell you that this year, the working capital is similar to the last year, the 31st March closing. It has not gone in a high. And long term, we have got around INR 1,000 crores we will be maintaining that one, provided whatever we repay and base load we take. But our guidance is that it will be around INR 1,000 crores.

S
S. Ramesh
analyst

So this current trend in interest rate -- interest cost reduction that will be sustained? Or do you see any risk on the interest cost going up over the next 2 years?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

No, I think we have got this reduction of the repo rate and all thing has really impacted positively. And as and when there is a reduction by the RBI, we negotiate with the banks and get this rate reduced. So we are quite hopeful that in case there is any reduction by the RBI, that benefit will accrue to us.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Krishan Parwani from JM Financial.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Congrats on a good set of numbers. Firstly, can you please highlight the MRP and subsidy realization of DAP and NPK 20 in 1Q FY '26 and July '25 again?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

During this quarter, we have the subsidy realization of around INR 1,500 crores at market less of around INR 2,000 crores, which is what we have sold has been converted the subsidy and the realization.

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Just to add to your specific point on the MRPs, the MRP for DAP currently is INR 1,350 a bag. DAP is INR 1,300 a bag. And for the NPKs, the ranges from INR 1,400 to INR 1,915 a bag. So depending on the grades that we're doing. And we maintain leadership as far as market is concerned on the price realization.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

And on the follow-up on that, like how much per bag MRP you have taken increase from the last quarter?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Yes. So specific grades, if you look at it, like, for example, NPKs, N-10 and 12, the average per bag realization was INR 1,470 a bag. Currently, it is around INR 1,850 to INR 1,900 a bag.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Okay. And that continues in July also?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Yes. Continue means, it's a part of the process. We review our cost curve and we look at what's the best from the market optimization point of view. So that's how we're looking at it. So we already clarified the guidance on the EBITDA. So that's what the intention is to maintain that, grow that.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Okay. And government isn't stopping you from taking MRP increase because I think...

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

NPK -- the policy is clear on the NPK. On the DAP and TSP, they expect us to keep the MRP as per the guidance. However, for NPK, there is no restriction from the government.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

Okay. Secondly, we have reported INR 6.5 per tonne, while our targeted EBITDA, I think you reiterated around INR 5 a kg or let's say, INR 5,000 per tonne. So is it fair to say, let's say, there has been kind of an inventory gain of INR 120 crores, INR 150 crores during the quarter, taking incremental INR 1.5 per kg for 7.5 lakh tonne sales volume?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

That's not the way to capture that. It's a combination of factors. That's what we have clarified.

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

So the current financial situation volatility needs to be kept in mind.

K
Krishanchandra Parwani
analyst

That I understand. But could you quantify the inventory gain you could have had in the first quarter?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

I would like to clarify before we quantify that, the product mix did not have any traded volumes. So once the traded volumes set in, there is some normalization of the EBITDA, which happens. And first quarter was pure manufacturing volumes. So that's how you look at it.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Dhruv Muchhal from HDFC AMC.

D
Dhruv Muchhal
analyst

Sir, one data point in case I missed earlier is what is the subsidy outstanding for the quarter end?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

The subsidy outstanding is INR 2,200 crores.

D
Dhruv Muchhal
analyst

And sir, is it possible to share what was the volumes with the dealers or distributors as of the end of last quarter, I mean Q4 inventory of your products with the dealers at the end of Q4.

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Wholesaler and retailer was 6.7 lakh metric ton, trade total volume 9.5 lakh metric tons, wholesaler plus retailer. This year, the inventory is lower, and it is around 6.4.

D
Dhruv Muchhal
analyst

Sorry, your voice was breaking. Last quarter was and this quarter is?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Last quarter was around 9.5 lakh metric tons, and this quarter is 6.5 lakh metric tons.

D
Dhruv Muchhal
analyst

Is the inventory with dealers, distributors, everyone in the system?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Yes, this is with dealer and retailer. This does not include the primary inventory which the company holds, which is also lower compared to the last quarter. That's around 18,000 tonnes this quarter end.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Mr. Riju Dalui.

R
Riju Dalui
analyst

Congrats for great set of numbers. So in terms of -- some bookkeeping question. So how much we made in terms of EBITDA per tonne for the DAP this year -- sorry, this quarter?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

Generally, we don't give a guidance or say that what is that product wise. What we can say it this quarter we have EBITDA of around INR 6,600 per metric ton on an overall basis.

R
Riju Dalui
analyst

Understood, sir. And in terms of -- we have seen some increase in the RM prices from Q4. So if you could share some view about the inventory gain that we have reported this quarter, if it is possible?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

Can you repeat the question again?

R
Riju Dalui
analyst

Inventory gain in 1Q, if you could quantify that?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

Riju, regarding the subsidy impact already that has been factored in 31st March '25. So that impact has already been considered. And whatever we have taken this inventory at cost, now that has been realized because of the MRP inplace. We can’t can quantify that.

R
Riju Dalui
analyst

Understood, sir. And regarding the CapEx projects that we have. So in PPT, Page 11, we have mentioned that the upcoming phosphoric acid backward integration, so that will be beyond Paradeep site. So is it -- like can we assume that the Paradeep site is 100% backward integrated and the upcoming capacities will support the Goa plant in terms of backward integration?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

So far, whatever we announced, basically, it is for Paradeep only. So you can take it actually the backward integration is now concentrated on Paradeep.

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

As we said earlier that after the ongoing merger process of NCFL is closed, then we'll get into more detailing of the next investment plan. But as of now, the 0.5 to 0.7 expansion is coming for Paradeep.

R
Riju Dalui
analyst

That is for Paradeep, but in the PPT you have mentioned that beyond Paradeep site.

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

Whatever excess phos acid out of this 2 lakh metric ton we are increasing, if that is available, then definitely that will support this Goa plant or annual plant going forward.

R
Riju Dalui
analyst

Okay. Understood, sir. So with the current capacities in terms of phos acid and the sulfuric to sulfuric acid the plant, we have 1.8 million metric ton of capacity. So how much that plant is backward integrated? Is it 80%, 90% or 100% if you could quantify that?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Riju, on a thumb rule basis, typically 30% of the capacity should be backward integrated. So right now, we are kind of -- as the CFO mentioned, we are about 95%. Once we reach 7 lakh tonnes, we will actually be in excess of 100%. And that incremental can be then transferred to the other sites that we have.

R
Riju Dalui
analyst

Okay. Understood. And one last question. So yesterday, MCFL announced some kind of a CapEx, roughly around 6% kind of a CapEx for the NPK integrated with this phosphoric capacity expansion. So if you could highlight something like this new CapEx that announced by the MCFL? Will this be stand-alone CapEx for MCFL or like post-merger, we'll have a combined capacity addition for MCFL and Paradeep site?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

It’s improper for us to actually comment on MCFL currently. But once the merger is done, actually, we'll definitely get back to you.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Vignesh Iyer from Sequent Investment.

V
Vignesh Iyer
analyst

Congratulations on a great set of numbers. Sir, 2 questions from my side. My first question would be procurement of sulfur, is it more like a yearly contract that is set? And is there a pattern of revision of prices when it comes to that?

And second question is on procurement of DAP. I mean there is clearly some shortfall in DAP as per the industry commentary, right, mainly because of import from China. So I wanted to understand what is our strategy and where do we -- where are the other sources we are looking to procure that DAP for trading?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

No, regarding sulfur, the contract is a yearly basis, it’s a long-term contract. In case there is any shortfall, we go purchase the spot market based on this price viability and other things. But regarding DAP, I think Harshdeep can tell you regarding the DAP procurement.

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Yes. See, the DAP, typically, what we are doing currently, we are buying dominantly from OCP as a part of a long-term contract. And that is driven by a formula pricing. Both DAP and TSP.

V
Vignesh Iyer
analyst

Sir, the pricing of sulfur, I mean, does it -- I mean, it is a long-term contract, but is there a reset on pricing every 15 days or every month?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

This follows the price given by international market. Even though -- the long-term contract is for the quantity assurance.

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

To just to clarify, most of the long-term contracts are governed by formula and every formula is actually linked to the current market dynamics. So as and when there is a swing upward or downward of the prices internationally in the commodity markets, we kind of -- that will reflect on our pricing.

V
Vignesh Iyer
analyst

Right. Just one last question to this. So would it be fair to assume that since the spread has improved between sulfuric and sulfur, we might see some gains coming to us in quarter 2?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

No, the gains have already been coming. If you look at the prices, the spread has actually been there for the last few quarters. So we are realizing the prices. And as and when the spread kind of improves or reduces, we'll stand to kind of gain accordingly.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Saumil Shah from Parikh Investments. Mr. Saumil your voice is breaking.

U
Unknown Analyst

Can you hear me now?

Operator

Yes.

U
Unknown Analyst

So most of my questions were answered. I just had one data question. I just needed some clarity on the shareholding in promoter category. So per notification, it will be 58.64% held by the promoters. Is my understanding right?

U
Unknown Executive

So after the merger, the controlling entity of PPL, which is Zuari Maroc Phosphates Limited will hold more than 51%.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. And the rest will be by Zuari Agro Chemicals and others.

U
Unknown Executive

Yes. That together will be around 7%. So you're right, 58% will be the collective promoter holding after the merger.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. And ZMPPL will be a 50-50 [indiscernible] poster merger?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

Yes, it will continue that way.

U
Unknown Executive

Because the control [indiscernible] ZMPPL.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Shaurya Poyanij from [indiscernible] Partners.

U
Unknown Analyst

Am I audible?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

Yes, Shaurya go ahead please.

U
Unknown Analyst

First quarter was very good in terms of volume. So what kind of growth can we expect in terms of volume?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

No, this past quarter, we sold around 7 lakh tonnes. I think by the year-end, we'll have what we projected [indiscernible] will be selling in the manual as well as traded product.

U
Unknown Analyst

Your voice broke. Can you repeat?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

So we have established capacity of 2.7 million, 2.8 million tonnes, and we expect to deliver those volumes. So we are targeting about 3.1 million tonnes, and this should actually include a bit of trading as well. And once the MCFL merger is complete, that will kind of get us another additionally 7 lakh tonnes.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay, sir. And sir, at what utilization are we operating? Can you repeat it?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

We are close to 100% utilization at the moment, and we will try to maintain this kind of utilization levels throughout FY '26.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Sandeep Mukherjee from SKP Securities Limited.

S
Sandeep Mukherjee
analyst

Can you share the CU volume and EBITDA per tonne for Paradeep and Goa separately for the NPK?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

So generally, what we always mentioned that we don't give these numbers on a unit basis. Now as a whole company as a whole, what is reflected is around INR 6,600 on the overall product for this quarter. And the volume what is sold is around 7.4 lakh tonnes.

S
Sandeep Mukherjee
analyst

All right, sir. Sir, my next question is, how are you seeing the TSP as a substitute to DAP? And what are the challenges of this product?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

So you see, we are positioning TSP as a powerful phosphate fertilizer with 46% fee. And we have found good traction. We have been doing a lot of groundwork in terms of promoting it amongst the farmers. We see a good acceptance happening with farmers where the awareness level is high, like potato farmers in Punjab, soybean farmers in Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra. So the product has been introduced in almost 10 states currently.

It's a product which is gaining acceptance. However, based on the soil and the crop, part of the nitrogen could be supplemented by the farmer. But we see it as a good powerful phosphate fertilizer. And from a sustainability dimension also, it's something which is good because you're preventing overuse of nitrogen.

S
Sandeep Mukherjee
analyst

And are you producing or manufacturing the product?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

No, we're currently importing the product from OCP Morocco.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Manish Mahawar from Antique Stockbroking.

M
Manish Mahawar
analyst

Yes, sir, a couple of questions. One, in terms of phos acid and DAP and the rock value chain, right, it is a couple of quarters, we are seeing the phos prices are going up. It's been, I think, 5 or 6 quarters. However, rock prices are still at a lower level. So any specific reason rock prices are not going up in tandem with the phos acid and DAP? Because historically, if you look at the cycle last 15, 20 years, right, the rock price always follows phos acid and DAP. Any specific reason this time it's not following?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

No, just to kind of give you a clarity here, see, while rock prices will follow the overall direction as far as phosphates is concerned, but there is not a one-to-one correlation. DAP is a purely demand kind of supply-linked commodity. And currently, because the inventory levels in the country are low, so you're finding typically the prices have moved up significantly.

However, rock, the sources are multiple and the import pattern is different. There are not too many players buying rock today vis-a-vis DAP, which everybody wants to build up the inventory to ensure that the farmers get the availability of the material. And this year, China has not been on the supplier side as far as DAP is concerned, which has pushed up the prices.

M
Manish Mahawar
analyst

Right. But what you're talking about, it's more of an Indian situation, right? Globally, I think DAP and phos acid prices are still up. So basically, rock has to follow the prices, right?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Yes. The pace will not be the same as with the finished product.

M
Manish Mahawar
analyst

Okay. Understood. And phos acid price, as I understand for 2Q is around INR 1,250 or maybe INR 1,260, right, $1 for Indian contract price.

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Yes, INR 1,250.

M
Manish Mahawar
analyst

Okay. And are we or industry are taking price hikes in DAP and NPK to offset this?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

No, DAP is covered under this price basis. That's why there is no increase of MRP in DAP. But in case of other NPKs, it is of this price regulation. So we have increased the price. The MRP has been increased compared to last quarter.

M
Manish Mahawar
analyst

That was 1st June, right? Last price hike was 1st June, what I understand, right? Or after that, we've increased also in NPK?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

During this quarter, this has been increased.

M
Manish Mahawar
analyst

Okay. In July month, you're talking about, right? How much -- what was the quantum for this MRP hike in NPK in July month?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

I think we have clarified, see the overall price hike for the NPK, see, what was there last year was around INR 1,470 a bag. And over a period of time, gradually, we -- currently, our average range is between INR 1,400 to INR 1,900 per bag depending on the product basically. So N-20 has a different price, N-10,N-12 has a different price. So there is a significant increase that we've taken in line with our RM increase.

M
Manish Mahawar
analyst

Okay. Just giving an example, N-20, what was the price, maybe the...

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

N-20 current MRP is around INR 1,400 a bag, -- last year, depending on different price point, it was prevailing between INR 1,200 to INR 1,300 a bag. N-10 was INR 1,470 a bag. Currently, N-10 prices is around INR 1,900 a bag.

M
Manish Mahawar
analyst

Okay. Understood. And maybe 2 bookkeeping questions, sir. I think you have said in the call, I think inventory at a dealer and wholesaler or retail level is INR 6.4 lakhs for us by the end of this quarter. Can you break it up in terms of DAP and NPK?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

We can do that, but there are a number of grades of NPK. So I'll give you that as an overall.

M
Manish Mahawar
analyst

NPK total number, you can highlight.

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Yes. So currently, the trade inventory for DAP overall is around 1.3 lakh tonnes, okay? And for NPK would be around 4.35, 4.3 lakh metric tons.

M
Manish Mahawar
analyst

Understood. And second question, in terms of gross debt and net debt number by end of June.

U
Unknown Executive

Yes. So the gross debt is -- the short-term debt is close to about INR 4,000-odd crores. Long term is very minimal, about INR 500 crores because there aren't too many CapEx projects, new projects running at the moment. In terms of net debt, I think we are doing a net debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77 with INR 1,200 crores of cash at hand.

M
Manish Mahawar
analyst

Okay. So it's around INR 2,800 crores roughly is a net debt number by end of June, right?

U
Unknown Executive

Yes.

Operator

The next question is from the line of from Yatharth from IGE India.

U
Unknown Analyst

Congratulation on the results. Just wanted to ask a small question regarding nano DAP fertilizers. How do you see nano DAP fertilizers going ahead in the market in the next 3 to 4 years compared to NPK?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

See, we are finding quite a good acceptance for our nano products, okay? Nano product is a biogenically done nano. And we are seeing the farmers getting a good result with that. Our current volumes have grown in the Q1 significantly. And we see a good traction building up for nano DAP.

However, we have to see it in the context. It is not a replacement for the existing DAP or NPK. It's a partial supplementation of the current phosphate application which happens through the nano DAP. And good thing about our nano DAP is that it's got nitrogen also as a built-in this thing, and we see a good response from the farmers and good acceptance.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Amit Agicha from HG Hawa.

A
Amit Agicha
analyst

Sir, could you give insights into the order book visibility or the demand pipeline for the rest of FY '26?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Biswal, I'm just taking this. In terms of the overall guidance, I think we have already indicated that we would be doing 3.1 million tonne plus in line with our budgeted numbers. The demand is strong. We are finding good traction for the farmer sales as well as phos sales is concerned. And Q2 also should be strong -- is a strong consumption quarter. And we maintain the guidance as far as overall volume of 3.1 million tonne plus is concerned for the whole of the year.

A
Amit Agicha
analyst

And the second question was with government subsidy rising, like how much of your revenue is exposed to delayed subsidy payments?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

See, currently, we are finding -- the payments from the government are happening quite on a timely basis linked to the phos sales. And as long as farmer sales are happening on time, we are getting a good cash flow as far as company is concerned.

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

So currently, there are no constraints in terms of getting the receivables from the government. So the subsidy receivable days are pretty much under 50 actually for us.

A
Amit Agicha
analyst

Under 50?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Under 50 and the trade receivables are under 17.

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

Subsidy receivables are a little bit higher because of the phos acid as of this quarter, is around 100 days and trade 30 days.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Ritik Shrawak from Nirmal Bang Securities.

R
Ritik Shrawak
analyst

Congratulations on a good set of number. I just want to ask one question that how much of additional phosphoric acid from expansion will reduce the import? And how much will it add to fertilizer volumes?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

No, it depends on -- see we are adding another 2 lakh tonnes and depends on the type of product we are going to take. I think mostly we'll be doing N-20 the requirement is required.

Operator

Sorry to interrupt. But the audio from the management seems to be distance. Can you come a little closer?

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

Can you hear me now?

Operator

Yes, sir.

B
Bijoy Biswal
executive

What I’m saying that this 2 lakh tonne of this phos acid what we'll be adding, that will be consumed for the NPK products and it depends on the percentage of what are the NPK we are making. And now if you look at mostly we'll be doing N-20 product. This will give 2 lakh tonnes means it will give around 9 lakh tonne of N-20, which can be [indiscernible].

Operator

The next question is from the line of Ajit Sethi from Quantum Solutions.

U
Unknown Analyst

I just need some clarification. Sir, can fertilizer we produce in smelter grade sulfur. The reason for asking this question is the sulfur which came out from smelter is of low purity as compared to the sulfur which came out from refining crude or natural gas.

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Normally, we prefer actually the refinery grade because of purity to avoid most of the operational-related issues.

U
Unknown Analyst

Okay. So next question is, sir, going forward, many of the global refineries will be closing down. So do we see any shortage of sulfur going forward?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Not really. In fact, our procurement team is working in terms of mapping all the resources. And since we have got a lot of long-term contracts, we don't see any problem in terms of the availability of sulfur.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Prashant Biyani from Elara Capital.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

Sir, in the RM price chart that you have shared in the PPT, rock and sulfur price movement is difficult to assess because of high index value of acid. Can you spell out rock phosphate value in that chart for Q1 and Q4, what we have seen last year?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

No, I can take the call. This rock phosphate price in the Q4, it was around $200. I think similar terms it is there in Q4, Q1 of this year also. So there is no much change in the Q4 and Q1.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

And how was it for sulfuric acid?

U
Unknown Executive

Acid actually moved up from, say, about 100 levels in Q4 to a current level of about 130-odd.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

And sir, how much was the subsidy received in Q1?

U
Unknown Executive

About INR 1,477 crores, INR 1,500 crores.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

Okay. And sir, lastly, Harshdeep, sir, what was the trade inventory in Q1 last year?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Trade inventory in Q1 last year, we were discussing was around 9.5 lakh metric tons.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

That was for Q4, right?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

No, I'm talking of 30th June 2024.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

Okay. Then how much was it for Q4?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

I can Prashant share with you that number 31st March number, right? I can get back to you. Just compare the quarter-to-quarter, like I have clarified from 9.5 lakh, we are currently down to 6.4, 6.5 lakh metric tons. So that way, the absolute inventory in the trade has come down because of good onset of monsoon season. So that's a very, very positive thing that helps the cash flow both on the market front and as well as the subsidy realization.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

Yes. Sir, one last question on -- I mean, the fundamentals of phosphate. DAP because of government regulation, prices are not able to increase. And on NPK, we are increasing the price, but by their very nature, the price difference between DAP and NPK is increasing. So the balanced nutrition concept isn't it going for a toss? And will the market accept such kind of price increase?

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

So Prashant, what you're saying is absolutely right. What is important is for us to promote balanced nutrition. And in line with our motto of healthier soil, healthier people, our focus is to promote complex fertilizers, which have a combination of nitrogen, phosphorus and potash. And wherever farmers are buying, let's say, a stand-alone DAP or urea, we also promoting that they use specialty nutrient as well as potash and the nutrient. But our focus remains on promoting a combination of nutrients that is NPK.

However, there would be a certain set of farmers who still would want DAP and there, we promote them to use potash. But you're right, there is a distortion which happens in the market because of a cap on the prices as far as DAP is concerned.

P
Prashant Biyani
analyst

And sir, this is acceptable right now buying NPK even at higher price vis-a-vis.

H
Harshdeep Singh
executive

Yes. So if you look at the overall trend, Prashant, that I'm talking of as an industry, you look at the NPK growth, which has happened for the Q1, the NPK growth has been almost 34%, right? And the DAP is down by around minus 19% -- so partly it is linked to the supply side issues also. However, what is important is that you are finding farmers getting a good acceptance for the NPKs.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Gagan Thareja from ASK Investment Managers.

G
Gagan Thareja
analyst

I hope I'm audible. First question from my side is on your capacity expansion trend. You are at 100% utilization currently. Can you lay out the expansion trend for FY '26, '27 and '28?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

A lot of plans are going on. I think we will be able to announce it once the MCFL merger goes on. Currently, the expansion in terms of backward integration is rock solid, 1,500 tonnes sulfuric acid plant is expected to get commissioned in Q3 beginning and the phosphoric acid capacity by September '26. So that gives us enough leverage in terms of managing the cost. And additional PA will definitely get converted into other products.

G
Gagan Thareja
analyst

So I mean, when you get into the next financial year, given the current status, is it reasonable to infer that you will have further benefits from backward integration. But in terms of output of final tonnage, it may not grow. You may choose to vary the mix basis market and basis backward integration. Is that how it will play out?

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

There are a lot of operational related -- we may not be announcing big CapEx as of now in terms of capacity expansion, but there are a lot of -- operational CapEx will also take the expansion plans on a routine basis, which goes up. But we'll definitely announce bigger plans once the MCFL merger is done.

G
Gagan Thareja
analyst

Right. And can you possibly also enumerate synergies from the MCFL acquisition? And over what time can you realize that?

U
Unknown Executive

Yes. So a couple of point is here. In terms of the synergies on the revenue side, of course, that gives us an access to markets, imported markets down south. And also in terms of the product mix rationalization, we can do a lot with the existing site that we have in both Goa and Paradeep. And on the cost side, of course, the Mangalore asset can get benefit through the economies of scale and scope, procuring from the kind of partners that we have been procuring. So there are synergies, very strong synergies on both revenue and the cost side.

G
Gagan Thareja
analyst

Is it possible to enumerate the number and the time frame over which you can achieve that number?

U
Unknown Executive

See, we are in the last stages of the regulatory process. So it should happen any time now. You can really just kind of keep looking at the website for the update. In terms of numbers, it's a listed entity. So I'm sure you can do the math very easily.

G
Gagan Thareja
analyst

Fine, sir. And is it -- you indicated INR 6,600 kind of EBITDA per tonne for the quarter. Is it possible to -- if not any, give us some flavor of how it would work out for Paradeep versus Goa?

U
Unknown Executive

No, we are not giving any unit-wise guidance to be very frank. We work at a company basis, company level, all the numbers at company level. Having said that, in fact, we will try to kind of a number better than INR 5,000, which has been the guidance a little on the conservative side from us.

G
Gagan Thareja
analyst

Right. And is the gross debt expected to go up further in the coming year? And to what extent -- I mean, at what level do you intend to sort of cap the gross debt?

U
Unknown Executive

See, debt is largely a function of the price of the raw materials because if you look at the total debt composition, it's largely the working capital debt, and that's a function of the raw material prices. So depending upon how the RM prices move, the debt will kind of improve or decrease. But more or less, we believe that it should be near about this level.

G
Gagan Thareja
analyst

Okay. Even if you announce further capacity expansion, you don't believe [indiscernible]

U
Unknown Executive

That is also right. We would not like to cross the bridge at the moment. Let us complete the merger, and we'll have -- we'll announce the larger plans.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we'll take this as the last question for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.

K
K. K. Nambiar
executive

Thank you, everyone, for taking the time to join us today and for your continued trust in our journey. Should you have any further questions, please feel free to reach out to our Investor Relations team. Thanking you again. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. On behalf of Antique Stockbroking Limited, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.

Other Earnings Calls
Get AI-powered insights for any company or topic.
Open AI Assistant

Intrinsic Value is all-important and is the only logical way to evaluate the relative attractiveness of investments and businesses.

Warren Buffett