AGX Intrinsic Valuation and Fundamental Analysis - Argan Inc - Alpha Spread

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Price: 605.52 USD 0.55% Market Closed

Market Cap: $8.5B

Intrinsic Value

The intrinsic value for Argan Inc (AGX) under the Base Case is 175.81 USD. Compared with the current market price of 605.52 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 71% .

Multiples-Based Value

Multiples-Based Value

Both DCF and multiples point to overvaluation.

Why combine DCF with multiples? What is Intrinsic Value?

AGX Intrinsic Value

Overvaluation 71%

Intrinsic Value

Price $605.52

Bear Case

Base Case

Bull Case

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20% below Intrinsic Value $140.65

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Current Price $605.52

Intrinsic Value $175.81

Margin of Safety 20% $140.65

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History Conclusion

Current Valuation

Average Value Growth

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Fundamental Analysis

Jan 2016 Apr 2016 Jul 2016 Oct 2016 Jan 2017 Apr 2017 Jul 2017 Oct 2017 Jan 2018 Apr 2018 Jul 2018 Oct 2018 Jan 2019 Apr 2019 Jul 2019 Oct 2019 Jan 2020 Apr 2020 Jul 2020 Oct 2020 Jan 2021 Apr 2021 Jul 2021 Oct 2021 Jan 2022 Apr 2022 Jul 2022 Oct 2022 Jan 2023 Apr 2023 Jul 2023 Oct 2023 Jan 2024 Apr 2024 Jul 2024 Oct 2024 Jan 2025 Apr 2025 Jul 2025 Oct 2025 Jan 2026

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Relative Valuation

Wall St Estimates

The intrinsic value for Argan Inc (AGX) under the Base Case is 175.81 USD.

Compared with the current market price of 605.52 USD, the stock appears Overvalued by 71% .

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